Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 82619.02 PUMP at 0.00283$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003068 (8.56 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002729 (3.43 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 12:40:59
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 12:40
→ 00:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.002826$
Qty 82619.023 PUMP
Size 233.4814$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.003068 (+8.56%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.002729 (-3.43%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.49
Status
win
PnL
+2.69%
/ +6.28$
MAE -1.38%
MFE +5.87%
1.7R
expires
14 Aug 00:40
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68239)
#2 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 12:00
score du 13/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7993
Quality Score
0.784
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
25.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 12:32
13/08 12:32
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#2 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.18×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.48×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 12:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 13/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.7843
Score SMA
0.5411
Rank
#2
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7993
Rank Norm SMA
0.5999
Calculé le
13/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7999 | r1h: 1.884% · r4h: 4.697% · r1d: 5.30% · r3d: 5.04% · ema21_slope: 0.1968% · dist_ema21: 4.562% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7874 | rs_1h: 2.094% · rs_4h: 4.319% · rs_1d: 4.86% · rs_3d: 5.93% · beta_24h: 0.860 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7319 | rvol_20: 2.35× · zscore_50: 1.680 · trend: 42.65% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6742 | ADX: 28.5 (trend) · Chop: 46.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.932% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.432%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.380% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.345% | 0.4R | -1.380% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.654% | 0.8R | -1.380% | 0.4R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.892% | 1.1R | -1.380% | 0.4R | 2.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.874% | 1.7R | -1.380% | 0.4R | 4.3× | 143 |
| 24h | +5.874% | 1.7R | -2.442% | 0.7R | 2.4× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.59
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -4.65% | +1.00 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.36 | bear_medium | -1.13% | +0.67 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.25 | bear_low | -0.81% | +0.56 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.37% | +0.34 | 13/08 12:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 30b | — | 6.826×ATR | p89 | +1.889×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.456×ATR | p26 | +1.438×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.344×ATR | p49 | +1.371×ATR | p73 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.622×ATR | p60 | +0.359×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8732
- reason: up_bo width=2.43×ATR dur=48b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.00272917
- tp_price: 0.00306808
- atr:
- score: 0.8731847176797
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T04:40:51.768387
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8731847176797
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0432
- obi_top10 : 0.0636
- micro_price : 0.002817
- spread_pct : 0.071048
- mid_price : 0.002816
- bid_wall_price : 0.00281
- bid_wall_size : 50543066.8
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00286
- ask_wall_size : 37682081
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0823
- obi_top5_std : 0.0614
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7007
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002806
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.002664
- balance_zone_mid:
0.002735
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786467600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786636800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4349
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
48
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8732
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786626000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002806
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8542
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3429
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 5.832E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
48
inside_close_ratio
0.8542
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3429
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:40 | 0.00282600 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:47 | 0.00282600 | 0% |
| 3 | 12:52 | 0.00280900 | -0.602% |
| 4 | 12:58 | 0.00280900 | -0.602% |
| 5 | 13:05 | 0.00280900 | -0.602% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7007ms
Confidence avant OB :
87%
→
87%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.043
avg 0.082
± 0.061
OBI Top 10
0.064
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0028
Micro Price
0.0028
Spread
0.0710%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0028
Size
50,543,066.80
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0029
Size
37,682,081.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002826 | 0.002729 | 0.003068 | 2.49 | 0.003599 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002826
- Stop Loss: 0.002729
- Take Profit: 0.003068
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002729 - 0.002826 = -9.7E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002826 - 0.003068 = -0.000242
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000242 / -9.7E-5 = 2.4948
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 233.4814 | 100 | 82619.023 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -9.7E-5
Taille de position = 8 / -9.7E-5 = -82474.23
Taille de position USD = -82474.23 x 0.002826 = -233.07
Donc, tu peux acheter -82474.23 avec un stoploss a 0.002729
Avec un position size USD de -233.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -82474.23 x -9.7E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -82474.23 x -0.000242 = 19.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.96$
Résumé
- Taille de position -82474.23
- Taille de position USD -233.07
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.96
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4948
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.56 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.43 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.28 $ | 2.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.38 % | 40.21 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002826 | 0.002729 | 0.003068 | 2.49 | 0.003599 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002826
- Stop Loss: 0.002729
- Take Profit: 0.003068
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002729 - 0.002826 = -9.7E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002826 - 0.003068 = -0.000242
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000242 / -9.7E-5 = 2.4948
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.432%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.380% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.345% | 0.4R | -1.380% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.654% | 0.8R | -1.380% | 0.4R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.892% | 1.1R | -1.380% | 0.4R | 2.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.874% | 1.7R | -1.380% | 0.4R | 4.3× | 143 |
| 24h | +5.874% | 1.7R | -2.442% | 0.7R | 2.4× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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