Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1341.71 SUI at 0.684$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6689 (2.18 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6898 (0.88 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 13:07:42
hyperliquid
SUI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 13:07
→ 18:25
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.6838$
Qty 1341.7056 SUI
Size 917.4717$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6689 (+2.18%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.6898 (-0.88%)
SL $ 8.05$
RR 2.48
Status
loss
PnL
-0.88%
/ -8.05$
MAE -1.00%
MFE +0.15%
0.2R
expires
14 Aug 01:07
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68257)
#38 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 13:00
score du 13/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4696
Quality Score
0.506
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 13:00
13/08 13:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#38 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#38 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.09×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.22×ATR |
| 1d | near | -3.38×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 13:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 13/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 13/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 13:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5056
Score SMA
0.5147
Rank
#38
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4696
Rank Norm SMA
0.4991
Calculé le
13/08/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4629 | r1h: -0.460% · r4h: -1.188% · r1d: -0.16% · r3d: -0.66% · ema21_slope: 0.0209% · dist_ema21: -0.793% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5211 | rs_1h: 0.197% · rs_4h: -0.074% · rs_1d: 0.64% · rs_3d: 0.78% · beta_24h: 1.484 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3171 | rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.136 · trend: 11.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4869 | ADX: 11.8 (weak) · Chop: 52.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.649% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.877%
(0.0060)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.086% | 0.1R | -0.265% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.086% | 0.1R | -0.581% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.086% | 0.1R | -0.581% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.086% | 0.1R | -0.999% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.146% | 0.2R | -0.999% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.789% | 2.0R | -0.999% | 1.1R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.22
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | near -3.4ATR | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -4.65% | -0.24 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.2ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.72 | bear_medium | -1.13% | +0.08 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.62 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.55% | +0.02 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_low |
34%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | — | bear_low_confirmed | -1.03% | +0.00 | 13/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 40b | — | 4.029×ATR | p56 | -0.406×ATR | p23 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.888×ATR | p0 | -0.484×ATR | p39 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 2.772×ATR | p52 | -1.366×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 2.578×ATR | p39 | -3.225×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8815
- reason: down_bo width=2.12×ATR dur=59b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.68977256
- tp_price: 0.66890361
- atr:
- score: 0.88148146578345
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T05:07:34.424657
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.88148146578345
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0043
- obi_top10 : 0.0332
- micro_price : 0.68301192
- spread_pct : 0.014641
- mid_price : 0.68305
- bid_wall_price : 0.682
- bid_wall_size : 1289331.08
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0035
- obi_top5_std : 0.0058
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7206
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.693815
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.68489
- balance_zone_mid:
0.6893525
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786431600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786640400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1247
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
59
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8815
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786636800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.68489
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6949
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.2571
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
14
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00420057 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
59
inside_close_ratio
0.6949
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2571
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:07 | 0.68381000 | +0.001% |
| 2 | 13:13 | 0.68381000 | +0.001% |
| 3 | 13:37 | 0.68420000 | +0.058% |
| 4 | 13:43 | 0.68420000 | +0.058% |
| 5 | 14:37 | 0.68420000 | +0.058% |
| 6 | 14:43 | 0.68420000 | +0.058% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7206ms
Confidence avant OB :
88%
→
88%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.004
avg -0.004
± 0.006
OBI Top 10
0.033
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.6831
Micro Price
0.6830
Spread
0.0146%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.6820
Size
1,289,331.08
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6838 | 0.6898 | 0.6689 | 2.48 | 0.7251 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6838
- Stop Loss: 0.6898
- Take Profit: 0.6689
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6898 - 0.6838 = 0.006
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6838 - 0.6689 = 0.0149
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0149 / 0.006 = 2.4833
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 917.4717 | 100 | 1341.7056 | 9.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.006
Taille de position = 8 / 0.006 = 1333.33
Taille de position USD = 1333.33 x 0.6838 = 911.73
Donc, tu peux acheter 1333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.6898
Avec un position size USD de 911.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1333.33 x 0.006 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1333.33 x 0.0149 = 19.87
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.87$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1333.33
- Taille de position USD 911.73
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.87
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4833
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.18 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.88 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.05 $ | -0.88 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8994 % | 102.51 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6838 | 0.6898 | 0.6689 | 2.48 | 0.7251 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6838
- Stop Loss: 0.6898
- Take Profit: 0.6689
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6898 - 0.6838 = 0.006
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6838 - 0.6689 = 0.0149
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0149 / 0.006 = 2.4833
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.877%
(0.0060)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.086% | 0.1R | -0.265% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.086% | 0.1R | -0.581% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.086% | 0.1R | -0.581% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.086% | 0.1R | -0.999% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.146% | 0.2R | -0.999% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.789% | 2.0R | -0.999% | 1.1R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Commentaires
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