Short Trade on TRUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 265.58 TRUMP at 1.384$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3497 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.4144 (2.17 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 13:10:04
hyperliquid
TRUMP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 13:10
→ 19:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 1.3843$
Qty 265.578 TRUMP
Size 367.6396$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 1.3497 (+2.5%)
TP $ 9.19$
SL 1.4144 (-2.17%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 1.15
Status
loss
PnL
-0.26%
/ -0.96$
MAE -0.59%
MFE +1.18%
0.5R
expires
13 Aug 19:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68284)
#40 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 13:00
score du 13/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1677
Quality Score
0.503
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 13:02
13/08 13:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#40 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.17 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#40 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.17 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.12×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 13:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 13/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 13/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 13:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5032
Score SMA
0.4712
Rank
#40
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1677
Rank Norm SMA
0.2324
Calculé le
13/08/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3382 | r1h: -0.527% · r4h: -1.176% · r1d: -4.97% · r3d: -7.12% · ema21_slope: -0.1376% · dist_ema21: -1.932% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4046 | rs_1h: 0.129% · rs_4h: -0.063% · rs_1d: -4.17% · rs_3d: -5.68% · beta_24h: 1.411 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4436 | rvol_20: 1.52× · zscore_50: 0.392 · trend: -9.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7458 | ADX: 42.9 (trend) · Chop: 52.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.907% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.174%
(0.0301)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.383% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.178% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.178% | 0.5R | -0.087% | 0.0R | 13.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.178% | 0.5R | -0.592% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.178% | 0.5R | -1.134% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.178% | 0.5R | -1.235% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.63
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -4.65% | -0.77 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_medium | -1.13% | -0.45 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.43 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.55% | -0.27 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.42 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.03% | -0.05 | 13/08 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 40b | — | 7.767×ATR | p75 | -1.696×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 6.522×ATR | p100 | -2.263×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 1.992×ATR | p28 | -2.138×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 2.137×ATR | p25 | -2.049×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.41442298
- tp_price: 1.3496925
- atr: 0.01204919
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T23:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 48
- total: 50
- score: 0.3382
- delta_2h: -0.0676
- extension_atr: -1.46
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1677
- confidence: 0.959
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:10 | 1.38430000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:10 | 1.38150000 | -0.202% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3843 | 1.4144 | 1.3497 | 1.15 | 2.0019 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.3843
- Stop Loss: 1.4144
- Take Profit: 1.3497
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4144 - 1.3843 = 0.0301
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.3843 - 1.3497 = 0.0346
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0346 / 0.0301 = 1.1495
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 367.6396 | 100 | 265.578 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0301
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0301 = 265.78
Taille de position USD = 265.78 x 1.3843 = 367.92
Donc, tu peux acheter 265.78 avec un stoploss a 1.4144
Avec un position size USD de 367.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 265.78 x 0.0301 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 265.78 x 0.0346 = 9.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.2$
Résumé
- Taille de position 265.78
- Taille de position USD 367.92
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 9.2
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.1495
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 9.19 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.17 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.96 $ | -0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5924 % | 27.24 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3843 | 1.4144 | 1.3497 | 1.15 | 2.0019 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.3843
- Stop Loss: 1.4144
- Take Profit: 1.3497
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4144 - 1.3843 = 0.0301
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.3843 - 1.3497 = 0.0346
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0346 / 0.0301 = 1.1495
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.174%
(0.0301)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.383% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.178% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.178% | 0.5R | -0.087% | 0.0R | 13.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.178% | 0.5R | -0.592% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.178% | 0.5R | -1.134% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.178% | 0.5R | -1.235% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Commentaires
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