Short Trade on CRV

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13 Aug 2026 at 13:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 785.57 CRV at 0.252$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2461 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2626 (4.04 %)

CRV SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 13 Aug 2026 13:10 → 19:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2524$

Qty 785.566 CRV

Size 198.3004$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2461 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.95$

SL 0.2626 (-4.04%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.62

Status loss PnL -0.56% / -1.12$ MAE -1.79% MFE +1.95% 0.5R expires 13 Aug 19:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 68259)

#46 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3970

Quality Score

0.473

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

3 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

7.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 13:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#46 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.04 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#46 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.04 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.29×ATR
4h	clear	1.05×ATR
1d	clear	2.44×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 13:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

13/08 13:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 13/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 13/08 12:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

12/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

13/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

13/08 12:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	bear	transition	—	+1
Tactical	range	range	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.80

Transition risk : 0.20

Score contribution (this trade) +1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.63

Snapshot évalué : 13/08 13:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.4733

Score SMA

0.4982

Rank

#46 / 49

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3970

Rank Norm SMA

0.4271

Calculé le

13/08/2026 13:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3493	r1h: -0.789% · r4h: -0.476% · r1d: -7.18% · r3d: 3.82% · ema21_slope: -0.2708% · dist_ema21: -2.037%
Force Relative	25%	0.4718	rs_1h: -0.132% · rs_4h: 0.637% · rs_1d: -6.39% · rs_3d: 5.27% · beta_24h: -0.093
Volume	20%	0.3088	rvol_20: 1.09× · zscore_50: -0.317 · trend: -23.63%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5919	ADX: 33.8 (trend) · Chop: 61.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.712% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.041% (0.0102)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.725%	0.2R	-0.028%	0.0R	26.2×	12
2h	+1.945%	0.5R	-0.028%	0.0R	70.2×	24
4h	+1.945%	0.5R	-1.787%	0.4R	1.1×	48
6h ★	+1.945%	0.5R	-1.787%	0.4R	1.1×	72
8h	+1.945%	0.5R	-1.787%	0.4R	1.1×	96
12h	+1.945%	0.5R	-1.787%	0.4R	1.1×	144

computed 4 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 4.63

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	69%	noisy_chop 41%	late	—	—	0.66	bear_high	-4.65%	+0.97	12/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 37%	mid	—	—	0.39	bear_medium	-1.13%	+0.53	13/08 12:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 42%	late	—	—	0.23	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.55%	-0.37	13/08 12:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 40%	early	near -0.3ATR	—	—	bear_low_confirmed	-1.03%	+0.07	13/08 12:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	late	1b	—	2.54×ATR	p0	+1.584×ATR	p85
4h	↓ down	mid	9b	—	3.898×ATR	p66	-0.543×ATR	p43
1h	↓ down	late	24b	—	5.921×ATR	p92	-1.376×ATR	p62
15m	↓ down	early	4b	—	1.749×ATR	p7	-0.874×ATR	p47

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.26261374
tp_price: 0.24611925
atr: 0.0040735
expires_at: 2026-08-13T23:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 47
total: 50
score: 0.3493
delta_2h: -0.0701
extension_atr: -1.19
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.397
confidence: 0.939

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2524	0.2626	0.2461	0.62	0.3357

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2524
Stop Loss: 0.2626
Take Profit: 0.2461

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2626 - 0.2524 = 0.0102
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2524 - 0.2461 = 0.0063
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0063 / 0.0102 = 0.6176

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
198.3004	100	785.566	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0102

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0102 = 784.31

Taille de position USD = 784.31 x 0.2524 = 197.96

Donc, tu peux acheter 784.31 avec un stoploss a 0.2626

Avec un position size USD de 197.96$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 784.31 x 0.0102 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 784.31 x 0.0063 = 4.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.94$

Résumé

Taille de position 784.31
Taille de position USD 197.96
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.94
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6176

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.95 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.04 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.12 $	-0.56

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.7868 %	44.21 %	8

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2524	0.2626	0.2461	0.62	0.3357

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2524
Stop Loss: 0.2626
Take Profit: 0.2461

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2626 - 0.2524 = 0.0102
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2524 - 0.2461 = 0.0063
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0063 / 0.0102 = 0.6176

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.041% (0.0102)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.725%	0.2R	-0.028%	0.0R	26.2×	12
2h	+1.945%	0.5R	-0.028%	0.0R	70.2×	24
4h	+1.945%	0.5R	-1.787%	0.4R	1.1×	48
6h ★	+1.945%	0.5R	-1.787%	0.4R	1.1×	72
8h	+1.945%	0.5R	-1.787%	0.4R	1.1×	96
12h	+1.945%	0.5R	-1.787%	0.4R	1.1×	144

computed 4 weeks ago

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