Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 5.73 XMR at 399.53$ per unit. Take profit: 402.3212 (0.7 %) & Stop Loss: 398.1344 (0.35 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 5.73 XMR at 399.53$ per unit. Take profit: 402.3212 (0.7 %) & Stop Loss: 398.1344 (0.35 %)
Position
Entry 399.53$
Qty 5.7324 XMR
Size 2290.2594$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 402.3212 (+0.7%)
TP $ 16$
SL 398.1344 (-0.35%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7132
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.92×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.10×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.47×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 13:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.083792 15m : 0.09825 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5776 | r1h: 0.480% · r4h: -0.704% · r1d: 1.32% · r3d: 2.42% · ema21_slope: 0.1254% · dist_ema21: 0.361% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6145 | rs_1h: 1.136% · rs_4h: 0.410% · rs_1d: 2.11% · rs_3d: 3.86% · beta_24h: 0.111 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2498 | rvol_20: 0.78× · zscore_50: -0.600 · trend: -15.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6222 | ADX: 18.5 (weak) · Chop: 42.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.916% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.411% | 1.2R | -1.051% | 3.0R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.411% | 1.2R | -1.502% | 4.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.411% | 1.2R | -1.502% | 4.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.411% | 1.2R | -1.750% | 5.0R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.411% | 1.2R | -1.750% | 5.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
70%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.65% | +0.84 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.35 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.65% | +0.41 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.11 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.12% | +0.29 | 13/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | normal | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.17 | range_low | -0.51% | -0.01 | 13/08 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 0.491×ATR | p0 | +2.293×ATR | p96 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 3.582×ATR | p58 | +0.816×ATR | p48 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.081×ATR | p33 | +0.226×ATR | p15 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.263×ATR | p0 | -0.488×ATR | p20 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63500.5
-0.0053787
63159
0.083792
63555.4
-0.00496413
63240
0.09825
64025.9
-0.0124001
63232
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409.24
193
0.6984
0.6708
0.3227
0.2679
0.3675
1
0.165
0.6049
0.6352
0.5155
0.7134
0.661
0.0504
0.0614
1
0.1891
1.1686
0.45
0.55
1
6
1
0.4643
0.5939
4.4003
0.65
2.9094
4.9116
1.1686
0.0325
0.1989
0.46
0.0593
0.5604
0.6136
0.7907
0.661
-3.7263
7.2663
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:58 | 399.53000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:06 | 398.69000000 | -0.21% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 14:35:00 | 402.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 405.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 15:15:00 | 401.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:35:00 | 403 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 15:55:00 | 399.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 16:15:00 | 402.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:50:00 | 403.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 17:25:00 | 399.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 17:35:00 | 402.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 17:55:00 | 399.53 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 17:45:00 | 398.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:45:00 | 391.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 21:30:00 | 390.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 23:30:00 | 391 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 03:45:00 | 398.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:15:00 | 393.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:45:00 | 409.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 15:45:00 | 399.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 16:45:00 | 403.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 17:15:00 | 399.65 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 401.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 10:00:00 | 399.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 375.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 400.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 13:00:00 | 394.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 400.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 390.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:00:00 | 393.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 409.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 399.49 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 399.53 | 398.1344 | 402.3212 | 2 | 535.42 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 398.1344 - 399.53 = -1.3955999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 399.53 - 402.3212 = -2.7912
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.7912 / -1.3955999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2290.2594 | 100 | 5.7324 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.3955999999999 = -5.73
Taille de position USD = -5.73 x 399.53 = -2289.31
Donc, tu peux acheter -5.73 avec un stoploss a 398.1344
Avec un position size USD de -2289.31$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5.73 x -1.3955999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5.73 x -2.7912 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.7 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7158 % | 204.92 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 399.53 | 398.1344 | 402.3212 | 2 | 535.42 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 398.1344 - 399.53 = -1.3955999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 399.53 - 402.3212 = -2.7912
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.7912 / -1.3955999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.411% | 1.2R | -1.051% | 3.0R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.411% | 1.2R | -1.502% | 4.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.411% | 1.2R | -1.502% | 4.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.411% | 1.2R | -1.750% | 5.0R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.411% | 1.2R | -1.750% | 5.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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