Long Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_score)
With 16.41 VVV at 12.271$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 11.7834 (3.97 %)
Long Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_score)
With 16.41 VVV at 12.271$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 11.7834 (3.97 %)
Position
Entry 12.271$
Qty 16.4057 VVV
Size 201.3145$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 201.31$
SL 11.7834 (-3.97%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9082
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.77×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.64×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.55×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 14:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6742 | r1h: 1.528% · r4h: -1.001% · r1d: 6.43% · r3d: 3.68% · ema21_slope: 0.2877% · dist_ema21: 1.088% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6760 | rs_1h: 1.369% · rs_4h: -0.274% · rs_1d: 6.79% · rs_3d: 4.78% · beta_24h: 2.034 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2738 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.377 · trend: 23.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7987 | ADX: 35.8 (trend) · Chop: 36.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.393% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.681% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.681% | 0.7R | -0.831% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +2.681% | 0.7R | -0.831% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 36 |
| 4h | +2.681% | 0.7R | -0.831% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.681% | 0.7R | -2.029% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.681% | 0.7R | -2.534% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -4.65% | +0.10 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.65% | +0.38 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 49% | early | — | — | 0.40 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.12% | +0.64 | 13/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.41 | range_low | -0.51% | -0.00 | 13/08 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 2.779×ATR | p19 | +0.733×ATR | p39 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.887×ATR | p0 | +1.011×ATR | p65 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.569×ATR | p7 | +0.671×ATR | p44 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 3.459×ATR | p67 | +0.326×ATR | p15 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.271 | 11.7834 | 23.454 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.7834 - 12.271 = -0.4876
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.271 - = 12.271
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 12.271 / -0.4876 = -25.1661
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201.3145 | 100 | 16.4057 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.4876 = -16.41
Taille de position USD = -16.41 x 12.271 = -201.37
Donc, tu peux acheter -16.41 avec un stoploss a 11.7834
Avec un position size USD de -201.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -16.41 x -0.4876 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -16.41 x 12.271 = -201.37
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -201.37$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 201.31 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.97 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.71 $ | 0.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8312 % | 20.92 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.271 | 11.7834 | 23.454 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.7834 - 12.271 = -0.4876
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.271 - = 12.271
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 12.271 / -0.4876 = -25.1661
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.681% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.681% | 0.7R | -0.831% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +2.681% | 0.7R | -0.831% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 36 |
| 4h | +2.681% | 0.7R | -0.831% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.681% | 0.7R | -2.029% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.681% | 0.7R | -2.534% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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