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Short Trade on kPEPE

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13 Aug 2026 at 14:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on kPEPE (momentum_rotation_score)

With 112170.5 kPEPE at 0.00265$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002725 (2.68 %)

kPEPE SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 13 Aug 2026 14:10 → 17:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.002654$

Qty 112170.4992 kPEPE

Size 297.7005$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 297.7$

SL 0.002725 (-2.68%)

SL $ 7.96$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.68% / -2.02$ MAE -1.02% MFE +0.11% 0.0R expires 13 Aug 17:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 68307)
#31 / 48 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3464

Quality Score
0.497
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
7.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 14:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#31 / 48 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.68 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#31 / 48 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.68 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.82×ATR
4h near -0.56×ATR
1d clear 1.79×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

13/08 14:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

12/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

13/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

13/08 13:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear transition — +1
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.80
Transition risk : 0.20
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 14:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.4974
Score SMA
0.4967
Rank
#31 / 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3464
Rank Norm SMA
0.4099
Calculé le
13/08/2026 14:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3500 r1h: 0.075% · r4h: -1.595% · r1d: -4.84% · r3d: -7.34% · ema21_slope: -0.1361% · dist_ema21: -1.894%
Force Relative 25% 0.3704 rs_1h: -0.083% · rs_4h: -0.868% · rs_1d: -4.49% · rs_3d: -6.24% · beta_24h: 1.778
Volume 20% 0.4269 rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: 0.065 · trend: 219.53%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7629 ADX: 39.1 (trend) · Chop: 46.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.917% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -2.675% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.113% 0.0R -0.867% 0.3R 0.1× 12
2h +0.113% 0.0R -1.017% 0.4R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.113% 0.0R -1.017% 0.4R 0.1× 36
4h +0.113% 0.0R -1.206% 0.5R 0.1× 48
8h +0.113% 0.0R -1.997% 0.8R 0.1× 96
12h +0.113% 0.0R -2.072% 0.8R 0.1× 144

computed 4 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.13
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.69 bear_high -4.65% +0.01 12/08 20:00
4h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 45% late near -0.6ATR — 0.66 bear_medium_confirmed -1.65% -0.50 13/08 12:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 38% late near -0.8ATR — 0.56 bear_medium_confirmed -1.12% -0.22 13/08 13:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_medium_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 44% early near -0.8ATR — — range_low -0.57% -0.09 13/08 13:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 17b — 3.069×ATR p7 -0.912×ATR p53
4h ↓ down late 3b — 1.623×ATR p0 -2.175×ATR p95
1h ↓ down late 11b — 3.247×ATR p63 -2.431×ATR p94
15m ↓ down early 5b — 0.674×ATR p0 -1.265×ATR p46

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00272532
  2. atr: 2.377E-5
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-13T21:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 49
  2. total: 50
  3. score: 0.35
  4. confidence: 0.98

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002654 0.002725 0.003407
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002654
  • Stop Loss: 0.002725
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002725 - 0.002654 = 7.1E-5

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002654 - = 0.002654

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002654 / 7.1E-5 = 37.3803

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
297.7005 100 112170.4992 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 7.1E-5

Taille de position = 8 / 7.1E-5 = 112676.06

Taille de position USD = 112676.06 x 0.002654 = 299.04

Donc, tu peux acheter 112676.06 avec un stoploss a 0.002725

Avec un position size USD de 299.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 112676.06 x 7.1E-5 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 112676.06 x 0.002654 = 299.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 299.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 112676.06
  • Taille de position USD 299.04
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 299.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 37.3803

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 297.7 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.68 % 7.96 $
PNL PNL %
-2.02 $ -0.68
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0173 % 38.03 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002654 0.002725 0.003407
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002654
  • Stop Loss: 0.002725
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002725 - 0.002654 = 7.1E-5

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002654 - = 0.002654

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002654 / 7.1E-5 = 37.3803

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -2.675% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.113% 0.0R -0.867% 0.3R 0.1× 12
2h +0.113% 0.0R -1.017% 0.4R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.113% 0.0R -1.017% 0.4R 0.1× 36
4h +0.113% 0.0R -1.206% 0.5R 0.1× 48
8h +0.113% 0.0R -1.997% 0.8R 0.1× 96
12h +0.113% 0.0R -2.072% 0.8R 0.1× 144

computed 4 weeks ago

Commentaires

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