Long Trade on AVNT (CatchTheWave)
With 3199.81 AVNT at 0.104$ per unit. Take profit: 0.109 (4.81 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1015 (2.4 %)
Long Trade on AVNT (CatchTheWave)
With 3199.81 AVNT at 0.104$ per unit. Take profit: 0.109 (4.81 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1015 (2.4 %)
Position
Entry 0.104$
Qty 3199.808 AVNT
Size 332.812$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.109 (+4.81%)
TP $ 16$
SL 0.1015 (-2.4%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6607
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.00×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.82×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 14:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.047749 15m : 0.050864 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 13/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 13/08 14:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9885 | r1h: 3.981% · r4h: 5.024% · r1d: 24.10% · r3d: 16.33% · ema21_slope: 0.8139% · dist_ema21: 10.421% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9948 | rs_1h: 3.823% · rs_4h: 5.751% · rs_1d: 24.45% · rs_3d: 17.43% · beta_24h: 5.952 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6534 | rvol_20: 1.53× · zscore_50: 1.329 · trend: 182.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9463 | ADX: 53.6 (trend) · Chop: 14.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8199 | ATR%: 3.540% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.779% | 1.6R | -0.529% | 0.2R | 7.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +6.327% | 2.6R | -0.529% | 0.2R | 12.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +6.952% | 2.9R | -0.529% | 0.2R | 13.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.875% | 3.7R | -0.529% | 0.2R | 16.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.875% | 3.7R | -5.289% | 2.2R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -5.12% | +0.97 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.53 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.42% | +0.93 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.31 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.12% | +0.97 | 13/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | — | range_low | -0.72% | +0.52 | 13/08 14:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.741×ATR | p65 | +3.042×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.288×ATR | p0 | +2.689×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.426×ATR | p2 | +1.612×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.146×ATR | p0 | +0.362×ATR | p16 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63427.4
-0.00368082
63194
0.047749
63516.2
-0.00507297
63194
0.050864
64003.2
-0.012644
63194
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0.6559
-1.7496
3.3349
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:46 | 0.10401000 | +0.01% |
| 2 | 14:52 | 0.10414000 | +0.135% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 10:30:00 | 0.099116 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 10:50:00 | 0.097532 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:15:00 | 0.10634 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 13:20:00 | 0.10345 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:20:00 | 0.11489 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 15:55:00 | 0.10559 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 16:25:00 | 0.10418 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 17:10:00 | 0.11205 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 17:45:00 | 0.11263 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 18:45:00 | 0.10384 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 02:30:00 | 0.091495 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 03:15:00 | 0.092171 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 04:30:00 | 0.091038 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:30:00 | 0.096456 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:30:00 | 0.10999 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 10:15:00 | 0.096799 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:15:00 | 0.11489 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:15:00 | 0.10418 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 17:45:00 | 0.11263 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 18:45:00 | 0.10384 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 08:00:00 | 0.096309 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 17:00:00 | 0.097049 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 0.090981 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 02:00:00 | 0.093847 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 0.091139 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.090778 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 20:00:00 | 0.095804 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.095985 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.088757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 0.11489 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.104 | 0.1015 | 0.109 | 2 | 0.1006 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1015 - 0.104 = -0.0025
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.104 - 0.109 = -0.005
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.005 / -0.0025 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 332.812 | 100 | 3199.808 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0025 = -3200
Taille de position USD = -3200 x 0.104 = -332.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -3200 avec un stoploss a 0.1015
Avec un position size USD de -332.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3200 x -0.0025 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3200 x -0.005 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.81 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.4 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 4.81 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5288 % | 22 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.104 | 0.1015 | 0.109 | 2 | 0.1006 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1015 - 0.104 = -0.0025
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.104 - 0.109 = -0.005
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.005 / -0.0025 = 2
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(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.779% | 1.6R | -0.529% | 0.2R | 7.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +6.327% | 2.6R | -0.529% | 0.2R | 12.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +6.952% | 2.9R | -0.529% | 0.2R | 13.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.875% | 3.7R | -0.529% | 0.2R | 16.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.875% | 3.7R | -5.289% | 2.2R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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