Long Trade on ONDO (BosPullback)
With 1386.43 ONDO at 0.335$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3499 (4.32 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3297 (1.7 %)
Long Trade on ONDO (BosPullback)
With 1386.43 ONDO at 0.335$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3499 (4.32 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3297 (1.7 %)
Position
Entry 0.3354$
Qty 1386.4265 ONDO
Size 465.0491$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3499 (+4.32%)
TP $ 20.1$
SL 0.3297 (-1.7%)
SL $ 7.9$
RR 2.54
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4727
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.33×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.92×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.29×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 14:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 13/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 13/08 14:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4758 | r1h: 0.395% · r4h: -0.448% · r1d: -0.39% · r3d: -3.33% · ema21_slope: 0.0200% · dist_ema21: -0.260% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4965 | rs_1h: 0.236% · rs_4h: 0.279% · rs_1d: -0.04% · rs_3d: -2.23% · beta_24h: 1.892 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3105 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.421 · trend: 42.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4957 | ADX: 14.2 (weak) · Chop: 53.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.911% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.239% | 0.1R | -0.626% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.239% | 0.1R | -0.906% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.239% | 0.1R | -0.906% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.239% | 0.1R | -0.906% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.239% | 0.1R | -1.574% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -5.12% | -0.85 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.53 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.42% | -0.29 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.57 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.15% | +0.20 | 13/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.56% | +0.06 | 13/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 4.912×ATR | p69 | -1.51×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.418×ATR | p0 | -0.725×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.569×ATR | p4 | +0.144×ATR | p7 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.849×ATR | p55 | +0.325×ATR | p14 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.32998
147
0.3791
0.6706
0.3676
0.274
0.4442
1
0.1
0.4966
0.3145
0.6917
0.7069
0.274
0.0081
-0.0117
0.3333
0.1347
-0.22
0.35
0.65
-1
2
1
0.452
0.6719
3.0802
0.7
1.2691
3.382
-0.22
0.0539
0.2367
0.86
-0.0364
0.5528
0.5708
0.6583
0.274
-7.7329
2.9189
1
0
0
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0.32998
0.33946
0.33946
0.32998
0.33103
0.32549
0.32826
0.8306
0.341
0.33654
0.33877
0.7784
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:50 | 0.33543000 | +0.009% |
| 2 | 14:56 | 0.33543000 | +0.009% |
| 3 | 17:50 | 0.33382000 | -0.471% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3354 | 0.3297 | 0.3499 | 2.54 | 0.3478 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3297 - 0.3354 = -0.0057
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3354 - 0.3499 = -0.0145
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0145 / -0.0057 = 2.5439
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 465.0491 | 100 | 1386.4265 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0057 = -1403.51
Taille de position USD = -1403.51 x 0.3354 = -470.74
Donc, tu peux acheter -1403.51 avec un stoploss a 0.3297
Avec un position size USD de -470.74$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1403.51 x -0.0057 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1403.51 x -0.0145 = 20.35
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.35$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.32 % | 20.1 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.7 % | 7.9 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.9 $ | -1.70 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7352 % | 102.1 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3354 | 0.3297 | 0.3499 | 2.54 | 0.3478 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3297 - 0.3354 = -0.0057
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3354 - 0.3499 = -0.0145
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0145 / -0.0057 = 2.5439
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.239% | 0.1R | -0.626% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.239% | 0.1R | -0.906% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.239% | 0.1R | -0.906% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.239% | 0.1R | -0.906% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.239% | 0.1R | -1.574% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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