Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 77.67 VVV at 12.196$ per unit. Take profit: 12.402 (1.69 %) & Stop Loss: 12.093 (0.84 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 77.67 VVV at 12.196$ per unit. Take profit: 12.402 (1.69 %) & Stop Loss: 12.093 (0.84 %)
Position
Entry 12.196$
Qty 77.6719 VVV
Size 947.2868$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 12.402 (+1.69%)
TP $ 16$
SL 12.093 (-0.84%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9057
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.22×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.32×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.65×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 15:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.424604 15m : 0.404048 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7123 | r1h: 1.257% · r4h: 0.418% · r1d: 7.77% · r3d: 5.46% · ema21_slope: 0.2661% · dist_ema21: 1.969% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7326 | rs_1h: 1.154% · rs_4h: 1.424% · rs_1d: 8.04% · rs_3d: 6.53% · beta_24h: 1.968 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2178 | rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.605 · trend: -6.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7654 | ADX: 34.8 (trend) · Chop: 41.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.433% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.238% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.238% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.550% | 1.8R | -0.590% | 0.7R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.091% | 2.5R | -1.935% | 2.3R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.091% | 2.5R | -4.174% | 4.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -5.12% | +0.08 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.44 | bear_medium | -1.07% | +0.52 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.39 | bear_medium | -0.80% | +0.47 | 13/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_high |
32%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.41 | range_low | -0.20% | -0.08 | 13/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 2.879×ATR | p19 | +0.624×ATR | p32 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 0.865×ATR | p0 | +1.783×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.738×ATR | p0 | -0.074×ATR | p5 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 3.459×ATR | p61 | -1.076×ATR | p41 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63404.9
0.000253505
63421
0.424604
63497.6
-0.00128618
63416
0.404048
63993.1
-0.00908197
63412
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12.09
196
0.654
0.5481
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0.5233
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0.3006
0.7714
0.7161
0.988
0.6427
0.6751
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0.0558
0.6667
-0.1138
0.8576
0.65
0.35
1
11
1
0.4963
0.3846
7.636
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0.5385
4.112
0.8576
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0.2125
0.98
1.0088
0.6709
0.5882
0.7405
0.6751
-2.479
5.1518
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:52 | 12.19600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:57 | 12.21200000 | +0.131% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 13:25:00 | 12.359 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 14:30:00 | 12.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 14:50:00 | 12.414 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:30:00 | 12.358 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:50:00 | 12.462 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:45:00 | 12.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 17:45:00 | 12.378 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 18:05:00 | 12.263 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 19:10:00 | 12.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 19:50:00 | 12.169 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 06:00:00 | 12.442 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:15:00 | 12.295 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:45:00 | 12.783 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 12.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:00:00 | 12.556 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 13:15:00 | 12.359 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 14:30:00 | 12.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:45:00 | 12.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 19:00:00 | 12.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 19:45:00 | 12.177 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 03:00:00 | 11.984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:00:00 | 11.771 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 09:00:00 | 11.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 16:00:00 | 11.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 18:00:00 | 11.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 12.147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 11.496 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 12.783 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 12.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 19:00:00 | 12.6 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.196 | 12.093 | 12.402 | 2 | 24.05 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.093 - 12.196 = -0.103
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.196 - 12.402 = -0.206
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.206 / -0.103 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 947.2868 | 100 | 77.6719 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.103 = -77.67
Taille de position USD = -77.67 x 12.196 = -947.26
Donc, tu peux acheter -77.67 avec un stoploss a 12.093
Avec un position size USD de -947.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -77.67 x -0.103 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -77.67 x -0.206 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.69 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.84 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9347 % | 110.68 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.196 | 12.093 | 12.402 | 2 | 24.05 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.093 - 12.196 = -0.103
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.196 - 12.402 = -0.206
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.206 / -0.103 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.238% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.238% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.550% | 1.8R | -0.590% | 0.7R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.091% | 2.5R | -1.935% | 2.3R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.091% | 2.5R | -4.174% | 4.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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