Long Trade on LINK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 96.74 LINK at 8.821$ per unit. Take profit: 9.0278 (2.34 %) & Stop Loss: 8.7384 (0.94 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 16:08:00
hyperliquid
LINK
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 16:08
→ 04:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 8.8211$
Qty 96.7365 LINK
Size 853.3222$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 9.0278 (+2.34%)
TP $ 20$
SL 8.7384 (-0.94%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.73%
/ -6.24$
MAE -0.84%
MFE +0.92%
1.0R
expires
14 Aug 04:07
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68406)
#8 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 16:00
score du 13/08/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7092
Quality Score
0.546
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 16:00
13/08 16:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#8 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.19×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.81×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.70×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 16:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 13/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 16:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5460
Score SMA
0.5305
Rank
#8
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7092
Rank Norm SMA
0.6777
Calculé le
13/08/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5829 | r1h: 0.101% · r4h: 0.875% · r1d: 0.87% · r3d: 6.57% · ema21_slope: 0.0276% · dist_ema21: 0.687% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5878 | rs_1h: -0.078% · rs_4h: 0.827% · rs_1d: 0.88% · rs_3d: 7.54% · beta_24h: 1.686 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2798 | rvol_20: 0.98× · zscore_50: -0.404 · trend: -27.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4550 | ADX: 12.9 (weak) · Chop: 57.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.731% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.938%
(0.0827)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.417% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.921% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +0.921% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +0.921% | 1.0R | -0.118% | 0.1R | 7.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.921% | 1.0R | -0.838% | 0.9R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.017% | 2.2R | -1.151% | 1.2R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.39
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 32% | mid | — | near -1.7ATR | 0.85 | bear_high | -5.12% | +0.57 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.82 | bear_medium | -1.07% | +0.70 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_medium |
66%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.67 | bear_medium | -0.80% | +0.17 | 13/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bull_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | — | range_low | -0.20% | +0.05 | 13/08 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.997×ATR | p12 | +1.368×ATR | p78 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 0.506×ATR | p0 | +1.443×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.18×ATR | p29 | +0.944×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 4.725×ATR | p69 | +1.437×ATR | p65 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8576
- reason: up_bo width=2.35×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 8.73840111
- tp_price: 9.02784723
- atr:
- score: 0.85756635573501
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T08:07:52.724300
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.85756635573501
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1025
- obi_top10 : -0.0249
- micro_price : 8.84072432
- spread_pct : 0.011312
- mid_price : 8.8405
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 8.85
- ask_wall_size : 88285.6
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0948
- obi_top5_std : 0.0072
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7138
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
8.81595
- balance_zone_bottom:
8.673
- balance_zone_mid:
8.744475
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786496400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786651200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3535
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
44
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8576
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786647600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
8.81595
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.75
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0848
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.06073892 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.75
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0848
Signaux confirmants (50)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:08 | 8.82110000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:13 | 8.82110000 | 0% |
| 3 | 16:19 | 8.84320000 | +0.251% |
| 4 | 16:25 | 8.84320000 | +0.251% |
| 5 | 16:31 | 8.84320000 | +0.251% |
| 6 | 16:37 | 8.83730000 | +0.184% |
| 7 | 16:43 | 8.83730000 | +0.184% |
| 8 | 16:49 | 8.83160000 | +0.119% |
| 9 | 16:55 | 8.83160000 | +0.119% |
| 10 | 17:02 | 8.83160000 | +0.119% |
| 11 | 17:07 | 8.84880000 | +0.314% |
| 12 | 17:13 | 8.84880000 | +0.314% |
| 13 | 17:19 | 8.84480000 | +0.269% |
| 14 | 17:25 | 8.84480000 | +0.269% |
| 15 | 17:31 | 8.84480000 | +0.269% |
| 16 | 17:37 | 8.85680000 | +0.405% |
| 17 | 17:43 | 8.85680000 | +0.405% |
| 18 | 17:49 | 8.86670000 | +0.517% |
| 19 | 17:55 | 8.86670000 | +0.517% |
| 20 | 18:02 | 8.86670000 | +0.517% |
| 21 | 18:07 | 8.88810000 | +0.76% |
| 22 | 18:13 | 8.88810000 | +0.76% |
| 23 | 18:19 | 8.87920000 | +0.659% |
| 24 | 18:25 | 8.87920000 | +0.659% |
| 25 | 18:31 | 8.87920000 | +0.659% |
| 26 | 18:37 | 8.85960000 | +0.436% |
| 27 | 18:43 | 8.85960000 | +0.436% |
| 28 | 18:49 | 8.85440000 | +0.378% |
| 29 | 18:55 | 8.85440000 | +0.378% |
| 30 | 19:02 | 8.85440000 | +0.378% |
| 31 | 19:08 | 8.84250000 | +0.243% |
| 32 | 19:13 | 8.84250000 | +0.243% |
| 33 | 19:19 | 8.83720000 | +0.183% |
| 34 | 19:25 | 8.83720000 | +0.183% |
| 35 | 19:31 | 8.83720000 | +0.183% |
| 36 | 19:37 | 8.85790000 | +0.417% |
| 37 | 19:43 | 8.85790000 | +0.417% |
| 38 | 19:49 | 8.85890000 | +0.429% |
| 39 | 19:55 | 8.85890000 | +0.429% |
| 40 | 20:02 | 8.85890000 | +0.429% |
| 41 | 20:07 | 8.86950000 | +0.549% |
| 42 | 20:13 | 8.86950000 | +0.549% |
| 43 | 20:19 | 8.86960000 | +0.55% |
| 44 | 20:25 | 8.86960000 | +0.55% |
| 45 | 20:32 | 8.86960000 | +0.55% |
| 46 | 20:37 | 8.85540000 | +0.389% |
| 47 | 20:43 | 8.85540000 | +0.389% |
| 48 | 20:49 | 8.87480000 | +0.609% |
| 49 | 20:55 | 8.87480000 | +0.609% |
| 50 | 21:02 | 8.87480000 | +0.609% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7138ms
Confidence avant OB :
86%
→
86%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.103
avg -0.095
± 0.007
OBI Top 10
-0.025
Microstructure
Mid Price
8.8405
Micro Price
8.8407
Spread
0.0113%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
8.8500
Size
88,285.60
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.8211 | 8.7384 | 9.0278 | 2.5 | 11.503 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 8.8211
- Stop Loss: 8.7384
- Take Profit: 9.0278
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.7384 - 8.8211 = -0.082699999999999
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.8211 - 9.0278 = -0.2067
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2067 / -0.082699999999999 = 2.4994
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 853.3222 | 100 | 96.7365 | 9.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.082699999999999
Taille de position = 8 / -0.082699999999999 = -96.74
Taille de position USD = -96.74 x 8.8211 = -853.35
Donc, tu peux acheter -96.74 avec un stoploss a 8.7384
Avec un position size USD de -853.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -96.74 x -0.082699999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -96.74 x -0.2067 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -96.74
- Taille de position USD -853.35
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4994
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.34 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.94 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -6.24 $ | -0.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8378 % | 89.37 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.8211 | 8.7384 | 9.0278 | 2.5 | 11.503 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 8.8211
- Stop Loss: 8.7384
- Take Profit: 9.0278
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.7384 - 8.8211 = -0.082699999999999
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.8211 - 9.0278 = -0.2067
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2067 / -0.082699999999999 = 2.4994
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.938%
(0.0827)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.417% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.921% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +0.921% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +0.921% | 1.0R | -0.118% | 0.1R | 7.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.921% | 1.0R | -0.838% | 0.9R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.017% | 2.2R | -1.151% | 1.2R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.