Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 41.83 HYPE at 57.206$ per unit. Take profit: 57.5885 (0.67 %) & Stop Loss: 57.0148 (0.33 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 41.83 HYPE at 57.206$ per unit. Take profit: 57.5885 (0.67 %) & Stop Loss: 57.0148 (0.33 %)
Position
Entry 57.206$
Qty 41.8338 HYPE
Size 2393.1436$ (margin 100$) (leverage 24)
Risk Setup
TP 57.5885 (+0.67%)
TP $ 16$
SL 57.0148 (-0.33%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9266
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.21×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.40×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.61×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 16:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.113642 15m : 0.529364 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 13/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5661 | r1h: -0.374% · r4h: -0.424% · r1d: 2.38% · r3d: 3.02% · ema21_slope: 0.1232% · dist_ema21: 0.599% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5302 | rs_1h: -0.553% · rs_4h: -0.473% · rs_1d: 2.39% · rs_3d: 3.98% · beta_24h: 1.569 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2132 | rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.731 · trend: -3.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7059 | ADX: 37.6 (trend) · Chop: 51.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.891% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.640% | 1.9R | -0.149% | 0.4R | 4.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.680% | 2.0R | -0.325% | 1.0R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.691% | 2.1R | -0.325% | 1.0R | 2.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.691% | 2.1R | -1.224% | 3.7R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.691% | 2.1R | -1.629% | 4.9R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -5.12% | +0.17 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.54 | bear_medium | -1.07% | +0.67 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.53 | bear_medium | -0.80% | +0.27 | 13/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.42 | range_low | -0.20% | -0.04 | 13/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 2.363×ATR | p0 | +0.517×ATR | p35 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 4.561×ATR | p69 | +2.023×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.871×ATR | p19 | +0.623×ATR | p36 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.458×ATR | p3 | -0.392×ATR | p23 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63403.4
0.000165967
63414
-0.113642
63495
-0.00127669
63414
0.529364
63976.2
-0.00897639
63402
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58.5
194
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1.7488
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0.2715
0.84
0.1571
0.5831
0.4535
0.8795
0.7576
-2.3509
7.348
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:10 | 57.20600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:15 | 57.14700000 | -0.103% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 14:05:00 | 57.492 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 14:35:00 | 58.345 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 15:20:00 | 58.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:40:00 | 57.304 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 17:45:00 | 57.784 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 17:55:00 | 57.369 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 18:15:00 | 57.709 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 18:35:00 | 57.381 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 19:05:00 | 57.921 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:05:00 | 57.154 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 56.365 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:15:00 | 57.383 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 57.476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:15:00 | 56.805 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:45:00 | 57.755 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 56.951 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:15:00 | 58.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:30:00 | 57.304 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 19:00:00 | 57.921 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:00:00 | 57.154 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 55.244 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 16:00:00 | 53.947 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 20:00:00 | 56.079 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 54.765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 55.615 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 54.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 53.737 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 17:00:00 | 56.913 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 23:00:00 | 55.896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 58.5 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.206 | 57.0148 | 57.5885 | 2 | 78.89 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 57.0148 - 57.206 = -0.1912
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 57.206 - 57.5885 = -0.3825
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3825 / -0.1912 = 2.0005
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2393.1436 | 100 | 41.8338 | 24.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1912 = -41.84
Taille de position USD = -41.84 x 57.206 = -2393.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -41.84 avec un stoploss a 57.0148
Avec un position size USD de -2393.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -41.84 x -0.1912 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -41.84 x -0.3825 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.67 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.67 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1486 % | 44.46 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.206 | 57.0148 | 57.5885 | 2 | 78.89 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 57.0148 - 57.206 = -0.1912
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 57.206 - 57.5885 = -0.3825
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3825 / -0.1912 = 2.0005
Array
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[result] => win
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.640% | 1.9R | -0.149% | 0.4R | 4.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.680% | 2.0R | -0.325% | 1.0R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.691% | 2.1R | -0.325% | 1.0R | 2.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.691% | 2.1R | -1.224% | 3.7R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.691% | 2.1R | -1.629% | 4.9R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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