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Long Trade on FARTCOIN

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13 Aug 2026 at 17:21:57 hyperliquid

Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 1684.88 FARTCOIN at 0.138$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1501 (8.61 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1335 (3.4 %)

FARTCOIN LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 13 Aug 2026 17:21 → 05:20 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.1382$

Qty 1684.8774 FARTCOIN

Size 232.8501$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1501 (+8.61%)

TP $ 20.05$

SL 0.1335 (-3.4%)

SL $ 7.92$

RR 2.53

Status win PnL +0.36% / +0.84$ MAE -0.62% MFE +4.38% 1.3R expires 14 Aug 05:21 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 68478)
#5 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7556

Quality Score
0.606
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
86 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 17:16

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#5 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.40 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.40 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.08×ATR
4h near 0.39×ATR
1d clear 4.49×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

13/08 17:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

12/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

13/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

13/08 16:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear transition — -1
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.80
Transition risk : 0.20
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 17:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.6055
Score SMA
0.5203
Rank
#5 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7556
Rank Norm SMA
0.5295
Calculé le
13/08/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6096 r1h: 0.700% · r4h: 3.348% · r1d: 2.91% · r3d: -0.15% · ema21_slope: 0.0824% · dist_ema21: 1.899%
Force Relative 25% 0.6371 rs_1h: 0.678% · rs_4h: 2.909% · rs_1d: 3.19% · rs_3d: 1.01% · beta_24h: 2.818
Volume 20% 0.4218 rvol_20: 1.26× · zscore_50: 0.104 · trend: 19.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5263 ADX: 14.8 (weak) · Chop: 50.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.346% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.401% (0.0047)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.984% 0.3R -0.246% 0.1R 4.0× 12
2h +0.984% 0.3R -0.622% 0.2R 1.6× 24
4h +4.385% 1.3R -0.622% 0.2R 7.1× 48
8h +4.385% 1.3R -0.622% 0.2R 7.1× 96
12h ★ +4.385% 1.3R -0.622% 0.2R 7.1× 144
24h +4.385% 1.3R -1.795% 0.5R 2.4× 288

computed 4 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.78
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 39% early — — 0.61 bear_high -5.12% +0.69 12/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 38% early — near 0.4ATR 0.61 bear_medium -1.03% +0.17 13/08 16:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 48% mid — near -0.1ATR 0.48 bear_medium -0.79% +0.44 13/08 16:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion bull_medium
61%
noisy_chop 47% mid — near 0.4ATR 0.48 range_low -0.18% +0.24 13/08 16:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 15b — 1.936×ATR p0 +0.298×ATR p19
4h ↑ up early 6b — 2.082×ATR p3 +0.498×ATR p35
1h ↑ up mid 4b — 2.983×ATR p66 +1.348×ATR p79
15m ↑ up mid 3b — 2.21×ATR p30 +1.351×ATR p64

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8593
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.99×ATR dur=31b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.13345188
  5. tp_price: 0.1500703
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.85929438532011
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-14T09:21:50.310033
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.85929438532011
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : -0.0008
  10. obi_top10 : -0.0167
  11. micro_price : 0.13863297
  12. spread_pct : 0.07215
  13. mid_price : 0.13865
  14. bid_wall_price : 0.138
  15. bid_wall_size : 2328499.46
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price : 0.139
  18. ask_wall_size : 1770276.3
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : 0.0141
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0169
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 6899
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    0.13637
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    0.1309
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    0.133635
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1786546800
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1786654800
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    2.9871
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    31
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: established
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.8593
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1786651200
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    0.13637
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.8065
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    1
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.9993
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    4
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    4
  54. regime : bull_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.0018312
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
31
inside_close_ratio
0.8065
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9993

Signaux confirmants (18)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 17:21 0.13820000 0%
2 17:27 0.13820000 0%
3 17:34 0.13820000 0%
4 18:10 0.13807000 -0.094%
5 18:16 0.13807000 -0.094%
6 18:21 0.13837000 +0.123%
7 18:27 0.13837000 +0.123%
8 18:34 0.13837000 +0.123%
9 18:39 0.13801000 -0.137%
10 18:45 0.13801000 -0.137%
11 18:51 0.13739000 -0.586%
12 18:57 0.13739000 -0.586%
13 19:04 0.13739000 -0.586%
14 19:39 0.13872000 +0.376%
15 19:45 0.13872000 +0.376%
16 19:51 0.13866000 +0.333%
17 19:57 0.13866000 +0.333%
18 20:04 0.13866000 +0.333%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6899ms Confidence avant OB : 86% → 86%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.001
avg 0.014 ± 0.017
OBI Top 10 -0.017

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1387
Micro Price
0.1386
Spread
0.0722%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.1380
Size
2,328,499.46

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.1390
Size
1,770,276.30

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1382 0.1335 0.1501 2.53 0.1403
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1382
  • Stop Loss: 0.1335
  • Take Profit: 0.1501

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1335 - 0.1382 = -0.0047

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1382 - 0.1501 = -0.0119

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0119 / -0.0047 = 2.5319

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
232.8501 100 1684.8774 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0047

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0047 = -1702.13

Taille de position USD = -1702.13 x 0.1382 = -235.23

Donc, tu peux acheter -1702.13 avec un stoploss a 0.1335

Avec un position size USD de -235.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1702.13 x -0.0047 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1702.13 x -0.0119 = 20.26

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.26$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1702.13
  • Taille de position USD -235.23
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.26
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5319

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
8.61 % 20.05 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.4 % 7.92 $
PNL PNL %
0.84 $ 0.36
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6223 % 18.3 % 14
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1382 0.1335 0.1501 2.53 0.1403
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1382
  • Stop Loss: 0.1335
  • Take Profit: 0.1501

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1335 - 0.1382 = -0.0047

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1382 - 0.1501 = -0.0119

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0119 / -0.0047 = 2.5319

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.401% (0.0047)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.984% 0.3R -0.246% 0.1R 4.0× 12
2h +0.984% 0.3R -0.622% 0.2R 1.6× 24
4h +4.385% 1.3R -0.622% 0.2R 7.1× 48
8h +4.385% 1.3R -0.622% 0.2R 7.1× 96
12h ★ +4.385% 1.3R -0.622% 0.2R 7.1× 144
24h +4.385% 1.3R -1.795% 0.5R 2.4× 288

computed 4 weeks ago

Commentaires

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