Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 85754.1 PUMP at 0.00284$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003074 (8.2 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002748 (3.27 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 17:22:47
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 17:22
→ 05:20
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.002841$
Qty 85754.1001 PUMP
Size 243.6274$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.003074 (+8.2%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.002748 (-3.27%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Status
win
PnL
+1.58%
/ +3.86$
MAE -0.28%
MFE +5.32%
1.6R
expires
14 Aug 05:22
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68483)
#4 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 17:00
score du 13/08/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9163
Quality Score
0.623
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
30.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 17:17
13/08 17:17
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#4 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.60×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.81×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 17:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 17:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6226
Score SMA
0.5669
Rank
#4
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9163
Rank Norm SMA
0.7208
Calculé le
13/08/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6721 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.140% · r1d: 6.88% · r3d: 2.77% · ema21_slope: 0.1807% · dist_ema21: 2.663% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6775 | rs_1h: -0.022% · rs_4h: 2.701% · rs_1d: 7.15% · rs_3d: 3.93% · beta_24h: 1.983 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2797 | rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.372 · trend: 7.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6376 | ADX: 29.7 (trend) · Chop: 51.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.974% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.274%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.986% | 0.3R | -0.282% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.344% | 1.0R | -0.282% | 0.1R | 11.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.450% | 1.1R | -0.282% | 0.1R | 12.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.315% | 1.6R | -0.282% | 0.1R | 18.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.315% | 1.6R | -0.282% | 0.1R | 18.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.315% | 1.6R | -2.957% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.65
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -5.12% | +1.00 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 31% | mid | — | — | 0.36 | bear_medium | -1.03% | +0.46 | 13/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.27 | bear_medium | -0.79% | +0.52 | 13/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.28 | range_low | -0.22% | +0.01 | 13/08 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 30b | — | 6.998×ATR | p89 | +2.125×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.375×ATR | p26 | +1.214×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.822×ATR | p24 | +1.324×ATR | p72 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 3.538×ATR | p69 | +0.973×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8459
- reason: up_bo width=1.81×ATR dur=50b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 0.00274771
- tp_price: 0.00307423
- atr:
- score: 0.77594718797115
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T09:22:39.618764
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.77594718797115
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1742
- obi_top10 : 0.0537
- micro_price : 0.00283333
- spread_pct : 0.035298
- mid_price : 0.0028335
- bid_wall_price : 0.00282
- bid_wall_size : 58472360
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00285
- ask_wall_size : 39246871
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1735
- obi_top5_std : 0.0031
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6816
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002806
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.002701
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0027535
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786478400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786654800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.8127
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
50
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7759
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786644000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002806
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.76
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6042
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
14
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 5.792E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
50
inside_close_ratio
0.76
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6042
Signaux confirmants (18)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:22 | 0.00284100 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:28 | 0.00284100 | 0% |
| 3 | 17:35 | 0.00284100 | 0% |
| 4 | 17:40 | 0.00284800 | +0.246% |
| 5 | 17:46 | 0.00284800 | +0.246% |
| 6 | 17:52 | 0.00284600 | +0.176% |
| 7 | 17:58 | 0.00284600 | +0.176% |
| 8 | 18:05 | 0.00284600 | +0.176% |
| 9 | 18:11 | 0.00286000 | +0.669% |
| 10 | 18:17 | 0.00286000 | +0.669% |
| 11 | 18:22 | 0.00285800 | +0.598% |
| 12 | 18:28 | 0.00285800 | +0.598% |
| 13 | 18:34 | 0.00285800 | +0.598% |
| 14 | 18:40 | 0.00287000 | +1.021% |
| 15 | 18:46 | 0.00287000 | +1.021% |
| 16 | 18:52 | 0.00288300 | +1.478% |
| 17 | 18:58 | 0.00288300 | +1.478% |
| 18 | 19:05 | 0.00288300 | +1.478% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6816ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
85%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.174
avg 0.174
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
0.054
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0028
Micro Price
0.0028
Spread
0.0353%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0028
Size
58,472,360.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0029
Size
39,246,871.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002841 | 0.002748 | 0.003074 | 2.51 | 0.003643 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002841
- Stop Loss: 0.002748
- Take Profit: 0.003074
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002748 - 0.002841 = -9.3E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002841 - 0.003074 = -0.000233
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000233 / -9.3E-5 = 2.5054
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 243.6274 | 100 | 85754.1001 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -9.3E-5
Taille de position = 8 / -9.3E-5 = -86021.51
Taille de position USD = -86021.51 x 0.002841 = -244.39
Donc, tu peux acheter -86021.51 avec un stoploss a 0.002748
Avec un position size USD de -244.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -86021.51 x -9.3E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -86021.51 x -0.000233 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position -86021.51
- Taille de position USD -244.39
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5054
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.2 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.27 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.86 $ | 1.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2816 % | 8.6 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002841 | 0.002748 | 0.003074 | 2.51 | 0.003643 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002841
- Stop Loss: 0.002748
- Take Profit: 0.003074
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002748 - 0.002841 = -9.3E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002841 - 0.003074 = -0.000233
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000233 / -9.3E-5 = 2.5054
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.274%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.986% | 0.3R | -0.282% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.344% | 1.0R | -0.282% | 0.1R | 11.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.450% | 1.1R | -0.282% | 0.1R | 12.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.315% | 1.6R | -0.282% | 0.1R | 18.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.315% | 1.6R | -0.282% | 0.1R | 18.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.315% | 1.6R | -2.957% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Commentaires
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