Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 57899.69 PUMP at 0.00289$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003231 (11.95 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002748 (4.78 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 20:52:09
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 20:52
→ 08:50
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.002886$
Qty 57899.6888 PUMP
Size 167.0985$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.003231 (+11.95%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.002748 (-4.78%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.46%
/ -2.43$
MAE -2.70%
MFE +3.67%
0.8R
expires
14 Aug 08:52
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68617)
#3 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 20:00
score du 13/08/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9105
Quality Score
0.616
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
30.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 20:47
13/08 20:47
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#3 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.21×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.20×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 20:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6159
Score SMA
0.5765
Rank
#3
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9105
Rank Norm SMA
0.7580
Calculé le
13/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6614 | r1h: -0.274% · r4h: 0.796% · r1d: 5.73% · r3d: 4.78% · ema21_slope: 0.2166% · dist_ema21: 2.723% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6262 | rs_1h: -0.160% · rs_4h: 0.701% · rs_1d: 5.75% · rs_3d: 5.56% · beta_24h: 1.803 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3328 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: 0.158 · trend: -4.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6293 | ADX: 29.3 (trend) · Chop: 52.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.970% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.782%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.534% | 0.7R | -0.243% | 0.1R | 14.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.673% | 0.8R | -0.243% | 0.1R | 15.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.673% | 0.8R | -0.243% | 0.1R | 15.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.673% | 0.8R | -1.213% | 0.3R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.673% | 0.8R | -2.703% | 0.6R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.673% | 0.8R | -4.470% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.52
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -4.59% | +1.00 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.36 | bear_medium | -0.95% | +0.35 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.27 | range_low | -0.56% | +0.43 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.25 | range_low | -0.04% | -0.03 | 13/08 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 31b | — | 7.816×ATR | p89 | +2.282×ATR | p94 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 2.572×ATR | p29 | +1.238×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.924×ATR | p26 | +0.89×ATR | p53 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.937×ATR | p25 | +0.183×ATR | p16 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7488
- reason: up_bo width=1.85×ATR dur=53b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.00274783
- tp_price: 0.00323141
- atr:
- score: 0.74880863009178
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T12:52:01.934044
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.74880863009178
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0175
- obi_top10 : 0.0803
- micro_price : 0.0028865
- spread_pct : 0.069324
- mid_price : 0.002886
- bid_wall_price : 0.00288
- bid_wall_size : 64846191.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0029
- ask_wall_size : 72955552
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0195
- obi_top5_std : 0.0026
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7135
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002806
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.002701
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0027535
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786478400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786665600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.8534
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
53
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7488
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786644000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002806
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.717
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
6
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4121
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
14
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 5.665E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
53
inside_close_ratio
0.717
bars_since_breakout
6
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4121
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:52 | 0.00288600 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:58 | 0.00288600 | 0% |
| 3 | 21:05 | 0.00288600 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7135ms
Confidence avant OB :
75%
→
75%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.018
avg -0.020
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
0.080
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0029
Micro Price
0.0029
Spread
0.0693%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0029
Size
64,846,191.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0029
Size
72,955,552.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002886 | 0.002748 | 0.003231 | 2.5 | 0.003613 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002886
- Stop Loss: 0.002748
- Take Profit: 0.003231
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002748 - 0.002886 = -0.000138
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002886 - 0.003231 = -0.000345
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000345 / -0.000138 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167.0985 | 100 | 57899.6888 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.000138
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000138 = -57971.01
Taille de position USD = -57971.01 x 0.002886 = -167.3
Donc, tu peux acheter -57971.01 avec un stoploss a 0.002748
Avec un position size USD de -167.3$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -57971.01 x -0.000138 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -57971.01 x -0.000345 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -57971.01
- Taille de position USD -167.3
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.95 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.78 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.43 $ | -1.46 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.7027 % | 56.52 % | 27 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002886 | 0.002748 | 0.003231 | 2.5 | 0.003613 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002886
- Stop Loss: 0.002748
- Take Profit: 0.003231
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002748 - 0.002886 = -0.000138
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002886 - 0.003231 = -0.000345
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000345 / -0.000138 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.782%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.534% | 0.7R | -0.243% | 0.1R | 14.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.673% | 0.8R | -0.243% | 0.1R | 15.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.673% | 0.8R | -0.243% | 0.1R | 15.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.673% | 0.8R | -1.213% | 0.3R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.673% | 0.8R | -2.703% | 0.6R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.673% | 0.8R | -4.470% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Commentaires
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