Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 14.17 TAO at 202.6$ per unit. Take profit: 203.729 (0.56 %) & Stop Loss: 202.0355 (0.28 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 14.17 TAO at 202.6$ per unit. Take profit: 203.729 (0.56 %) & Stop Loss: 202.0355 (0.28 %)
Position
Entry 202.6$
Qty 14.1714 TAO
Size 2871.1237$ (margin 100$) (leverage 29)
Risk Setup
TP 203.729 (+0.56%)
TP $ 16$
SL 202.0355 (-0.28%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6730
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.41×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.13×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.57×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 20:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.412467 15m : 0.580182 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 20:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5422 | r1h: -0.152% · r4h: 0.510% · r1d: 1.51% · r3d: 1.77% · ema21_slope: 0.0625% · dist_ema21: 0.771% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5474 | rs_1h: -0.039% · rs_4h: 0.415% · rs_1d: 1.53% · rs_3d: 2.55% · beta_24h: 1.351 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2135 | rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: -0.380 · trend: -32.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5239 | ADX: 15.1 (weak) · Chop: 50.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.783% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.681% | 2.4R | -0.380% | 1.4R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.461% | 5.2R | -0.380% | 1.4R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.461% | 5.2R | -0.380% | 1.4R | 3.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.461% | 5.2R | -1.728% | 6.2R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.461% | 5.2R | -2.236% | 8.0R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.64 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.70 | bear_medium | -0.95% | +0.21 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.50 | range_low | -0.55% | +0.21 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.57 | range_low | -0.12% | +0.02 | 13/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 17b | — | 2.502×ATR | p0 | +0.656×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 0.673×ATR | p0 | +0.677×ATR | p52 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 3.717×ATR | p77 | +1.287×ATR | p75 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 18b | — | 2.383×ATR | p25 | +0.636×ATR | p42 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63423.2
0.00162044
63526
0.412467
63501.5
-0.00118998
63426
0.580182
63939.5
-0.00818795
63416
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198.17
191
0.5615
0.7434
0.3395
0.2055
0.4492
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0.7312
0.4746
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1
0.9211
1.2489
0.3
0.7
-1
8
1
0.5891
0.8865
2.9241
0.65
1.1131
3.1069
1.2489
0.1517
0.3551
0.16
-0.0608
0.4335
0.4925
0.7814
0.4746
-5.1223
4.6264
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:44 | 202.60000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:50 | 202.31000000 | -0.143% |
| 3 | 20:56 | 202.19000000 | -0.202% |
| 4 | 21:03 | 201.83000000 | -0.38% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 20:00:00 | 201.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 20:40:00 | 202.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 21:25:00 | 204.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 203.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:10:00 | 203.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 22:50:00 | 203.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 23:15:00 | 202.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 23:20:00 | 203.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:20:00 | 204.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:40:00 | 202.5 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 07:15:00 | 200.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:45:00 | 201.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 10:30:00 | 198.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 203.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:30:00 | 198.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 19:00:00 | 204.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:00:00 | 201.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 21:15:00 | 204.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 23:15:00 | 202.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 00:15:00 | 204.08 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 08:00:00 | 198.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 13:00:00 | 203.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 19:00:00 | 196.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:00:00 | 205.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 10:00:00 | 205.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:00:00 | 197.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 02:00:00 | 197.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 10:00:00 | 198.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 198.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 19:00:00 | 204.09 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202.6 | 202.0355 | 203.729 | 2 | 236 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 202.0355 - 202.6 = -0.56449999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 202.6 - 203.729 = -1.129
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.129 / -0.56449999999998 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2871.1237 | 100 | 14.1714 | 29.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.56449999999998 = -14.17
Taille de position USD = -14.17 x 202.6 = -2870.84
Donc, tu peux acheter -14.17 avec un stoploss a 202.0355
Avec un position size USD de -2870.84$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -14.17 x -0.56449999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -14.17 x -1.129 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.56 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3801 % | 136.43 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202.6 | 202.0355 | 203.729 | 2 | 236 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 202.0355 - 202.6 = -0.56449999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 202.6 - 203.729 = -1.129
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.129 / -0.56449999999998 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.681% | 2.4R | -0.380% | 1.4R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.461% | 5.2R | -0.380% | 1.4R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.461% | 5.2R | -0.380% | 1.4R | 3.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.461% | 5.2R | -1.728% | 6.2R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.461% | 5.2R | -2.236% | 8.0R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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