Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 422.13 LINK at 8.831$ per unit. Take profit: 8.8686 (0.43 %) & Stop Loss: 8.8117 (0.22 %)
Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 422.13 LINK at 8.831$ per unit. Take profit: 8.8686 (0.43 %) & Stop Loss: 8.8117 (0.22 %)
Position
Entry 8.8307$
Qty 422.1328 LINK
Size 3727.7285$ (margin 100$) (leverage 37)
Risk Setup
TP 8.8686 (+0.43%)
TP $ 16$
SL 8.8117 (-0.22%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 1.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8148
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.28×ATR |
| 1d | near | -2.16×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 21:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.479515 15m : 0.58382 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 13/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5698 | r1h: -0.143% · r4h: 0.452% · r1d: 2.62% · r3d: 6.45% · ema21_slope: 0.0649% · dist_ema21: 0.897% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5901 | rs_1h: -0.211% · rs_4h: 0.256% · rs_1d: 2.66% · rs_3d: 7.24% · beta_24h: 1.579 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2817 | rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: -0.433 · trend: 3.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5301 | ADX: 15.6 (weak) · Chop: 50.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.677% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.392% | 1.8R | -0.120% | 0.6R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.392% | 1.8R | -0.227% | 1.1R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.392% | 1.8R | -0.644% | 3.0R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.392% | 1.8R | -1.258% | 5.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.563% | 2.6R | -1.258% | 5.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 31% | late | — | near -2.2ATR | 0.85 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.60 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.82 | bear_medium | -0.89% | +0.65 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_medium |
65%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | range_low | -0.48% | +0.11 | 13/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.07% | +0.01 | 13/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 3.527×ATR | p27 | +1.702×ATR | p85 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 2.192×ATR | p3 | +1.615×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 3.006×ATR | p66 | +0.774×ATR | p54 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.728×ATR | p12 | +0.195×ATR | p10 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63443.4
0.0014748
63537
0.479515
63525.5
0.00038458
63550
0.58382
63917.1
-0.0054306
63570
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8.6749
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0.5787
0.5332
0.7894
0.9291
-0.9599
12.5813
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 19:25:00 | 8.7801 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 20:15:00 | 8.8493 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:45:00 | 8.8214 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:05:00 | 8.9023 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 22:45:00 | 8.8344 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 23:15:00 | 8.8321 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 23:55:00 | 8.8983 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:30:00 | 8.8528 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:15:00 | 8.8427 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:50:00 | 8.8283 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 06:30:00 | 8.7404 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:45:00 | 8.7715 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 8.7491 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:15:00 | 8.6711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 8.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:30:00 | 8.6749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 8.9023 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 23:15:00 | 8.8321 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 23:45:00 | 8.8983 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 01:45:00 | 8.8379 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 8.4995 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:00:00 | 8.8224 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:00:00 | 8.6623 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 8.8874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 8.6913 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 02:00:00 | 8.6142 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 8.8095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 8.6711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 8.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 8.9023 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.8307 | 8.8117 | 8.8686 | 1.99 | 11.347 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.8117 - 8.8307 = -0.019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.8307 - 8.8686 = -0.0379
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0379 / -0.019 = 1.9947
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3727.7285 | 100 | 422.1328 | 37.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.019 = -421.05
Taille de position USD = -421.05 x 8.8307 = -3718.17
Donc, tu peux acheter -421.05 avec un stoploss a 8.8117
Avec un position size USD de -3718.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -421.05 x -0.019 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -421.05 x -0.0379 = 15.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.22 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -0.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2265 % | 105.25 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.8307 | 8.8117 | 8.8686 | 1.99 | 11.347 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.8117 - 8.8307 = -0.019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.8307 - 8.8686 = -0.0379
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0379 / -0.019 = 1.9947
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.392% | 1.8R | -0.120% | 0.6R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.392% | 1.8R | -0.227% | 1.1R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.392% | 1.8R | -0.644% | 3.0R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.392% | 1.8R | -1.258% | 5.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.563% | 2.6R | -1.258% | 5.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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