Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 55031.99 PUMP at 0.00296$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003039 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00282 (4.89 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 55031.99 PUMP at 0.00296$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003039 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00282 (4.89 %)
Position
Entry 0.002965$
Qty 55031.9873 PUMP
Size 163.1698$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.003039 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.07$
SL 0.00282 (-4.89%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.51
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9278
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.24×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.20×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 22:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7858 | r1h: 3.254% · r4h: 4.447% · r1d: 8.87% · r3d: 5.33% · ema21_slope: 0.2488% · dist_ema21: 4.521% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8732 | rs_1h: 3.213% · rs_4h: 4.297% · rs_1d: 8.65% · rs_3d: 6.06% · beta_24h: 1.954 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6194 | rvol_20: 1.75× · zscore_50: 1.861 · trend: 21.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6575 | ADX: 29.2 (trend) · Chop: 48.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.020% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.911% | 0.2R | -1.248% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.911% | 0.2R | -1.686% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.911% | 0.2R | -2.867% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.911% | 0.2R | -3.845% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.911% | 0.2R | -5.295% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.911% | 0.2R | -5.295% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -4.59% | +1.00 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.36 | bear_medium | -0.89% | +0.28 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.27 | range_low | -0.48% | +0.39 | 13/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.25 | range_low | +0.07% | +0.22 | 13/08 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 31b | — | 7.816×ATR | p89 | +2.282×ATR | p94 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 2.352×ATR | p26 | +1.057×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 2.855×ATR | p59 | +1.663×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.378×ATR | p66 | +2.266×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:10 | 0.00296500 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:10 | 0.00297400 | +0.304% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002965 | 0.00282 | 0.003039 | 0.51 | 0.003609 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00282 - 0.002965 = -0.000145
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002965 - 0.003039 = -7.4E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.4E-5 / -0.000145 = 0.5103
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 163.1698 | 100 | 55031.9873 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000145 = -55172.41
Taille de position USD = -55172.41 x 0.002965 = -163.59
Donc, tu peux acheter -55172.41 avec un stoploss a 0.00282
Avec un position size USD de -163.59$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -55172.41 x -0.000145 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -55172.41 x -7.4E-5 = 4.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.08$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.07 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.89 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.96 $ | -2.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.8449 % | 78.62 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002965 | 0.00282 | 0.003039 | 0.51 | 0.003609 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00282 - 0.002965 = -0.000145
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002965 - 0.003039 = -7.4E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.4E-5 / -0.000145 = 0.5103
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.911% | 0.2R | -1.248% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.911% | 0.2R | -1.686% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.911% | 0.2R | -2.867% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.911% | 0.2R | -3.845% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.911% | 0.2R | -5.295% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.911% | 0.2R | -5.295% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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