Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 704.86 AVAX at 6.445$ per unit. Take profit: 6.4676 (0.35 %) & Stop Loss: 6.4336 (0.18 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 704.86 AVAX at 6.445$ per unit. Take profit: 6.4676 (0.35 %) & Stop Loss: 6.4336 (0.18 %)
Position
Entry 6.4449$
Qty 704.8626 AVAX
Size 4542.7689$ (margin 100$) (leverage 45)
Risk Setup
TP 6.4676 (+0.35%)
TP $ 16$
SL 6.4336 (-0.18%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6215
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.90×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.01×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.32×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 22:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.486468 15m : 0.472037 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 13/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 13/08 22:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5149 | r1h: -0.076% · r4h: 0.642% · r1d: 0.97% · r3d: -0.99% · ema21_slope: -0.0157% · dist_ema21: 0.256% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5127 | rs_1h: -0.117% · rs_4h: 0.492% · rs_1d: 0.75% · rs_3d: -0.26% · beta_24h: 1.315 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1545 | rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.698 · trend: -49.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5636 | ADX: 18.0 (weak) · Chop: 48.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.613% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.110% | 0.6R | -0.405% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.110% | 0.6R | -0.628% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.110% | 0.6R | -0.751% | 4.3R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.110% | 0.6R | -1.516% | 8.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.110% | 0.6R | -1.549% | 8.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.3ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.78 | bear_high | -4.59% | -0.32 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.60 | bear_medium | -0.78% | +0.06 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.52 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.06 | 13/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.07% | +0.05 | 13/08 22:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 1.914×ATR | p0 | +0×ATR | p0 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.744×ATR | p0 | +0.432×ATR | p33 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 2.598×ATR | p47 | +0.467×ATR | p30 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.727×ATR | p57 | -0.358×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63455.9
0.000458582
63485
0.486468
63501.6
-0.000261714
63485
0.472037
63886.3
-0.00506143
63563
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
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6.3635
189
0.7251
0.6624
0.3788
0.254
0.4808
0.7242
0.2653
0.5855
0.6908
0
0.5803
0.7364
0.0534
0.0488
1
0.5147
1.2259
0.6
0.4
1
14
1
0.492
0.5999
4.9989
0.55
0.7242
3.6202
1.2259
0.2686
0.2024
0
-0.4815
0.4111
0.5446
0.4193
0.7364
-4.2157
11.7755
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:30 | 6.44490000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:36 | 6.44210000 | -0.043% |
| 3 | 22:42 | 6.43720000 | -0.119% |
| 4 | 22:48 | 6.44040000 | -0.07% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 21:15:00 | 6.4054 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:15:00 | 6.4435 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 22:45:00 | 6.4372 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 23:10:00 | 6.4372 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 00:10:00 | 6.4721 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:30:00 | 6.4483 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:15:00 | 6.4844 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 01:30:00 | 6.4536 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 6.471 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 02:25:00 | 6.4441 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 6.545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:15:00 | 6.5421 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:30:00 | 6.4749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 6.4799 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 12:45:00 | 6.5481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:30:00 | 6.3635 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 18:45:00 | 6.4381 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 21:15:00 | 6.4054 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:15:00 | 6.4844 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 02:15:00 | 6.4441 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 6.1123 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 22:00:00 | 6.3297 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:00:00 | 6.2085 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 6.5403 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 20:00:00 | 6.4194 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 6.2932 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 6.545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 12:00:00 | 6.5481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 6.3635 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 6.4844 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4449 | 6.4336 | 6.4676 | 2.01 | 7.4574 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.4336 - 6.4449 = -0.011299999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.4449 - 6.4676 = -0.0227
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0227 / -0.011299999999999 = 2.0088
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4542.7689 | 100 | 704.8626 | 45.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.011299999999999 = -707.96
Taille de position USD = -707.96 x 6.4449 = -4562.73
Donc, tu peux acheter -707.96 avec un stoploss a 6.4336
Avec un position size USD de -4562.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -707.96 x -0.011299999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -707.96 x -0.0227 = 16.07
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.07$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.96 $ | -0.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2312 % | 131.89 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4449 | 6.4336 | 6.4676 | 2.01 | 7.4574 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.4336 - 6.4449 = -0.011299999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.4449 - 6.4676 = -0.0227
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0227 / -0.011299999999999 = 2.0088
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.110% | 0.6R | -0.405% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.110% | 0.6R | -0.628% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.110% | 0.6R | -0.751% | 4.3R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.110% | 0.6R | -1.516% | 8.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.110% | 0.6R | -1.549% | 8.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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