Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 2220.4 ETHFI at 0.433$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4402 (1.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4294 (0.83 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 2220.4 ETHFI at 0.433$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4402 (1.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4294 (0.83 %)
Position
Entry 0.433$
Qty 2220.4027 ETHFI
Size 961.4344$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4402 (+1.66%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 0.4294 (-0.83%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9829
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.25×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.21×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.30×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 23:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.030089 15m : 0.150017 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 13/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7696 | r1h: -0.292% · r4h: -0.170% · r1d: 15.08% · r3d: 12.79% · ema21_slope: 0.7342% · dist_ema21: 5.573% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7277 | rs_1h: -0.187% · rs_4h: -0.138% · rs_1d: 15.11% · rs_3d: 13.60% · beta_24h: 2.457 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2380 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.303 · trend: -6.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8902 | ADX: 46.8 (trend) · Chop: 15.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.946% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.933% | 1.1R | -2.028% | 2.4R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.933% | 1.1R | -2.028% | 2.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.356% | 1.6R | -2.028% | 2.4R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.667% | 2.0R | -2.028% | 2.4R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.667% | 2.0R | -2.141% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 31% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.68 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.35 | bear_medium | -0.78% | +0.86 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
choppy 48% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.31 | range_low | -0.56% | +0.90 | 13/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.03% | -0.13 | 13/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.349×ATR | p22 | +1.518×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 5.492×ATR | p80 | +3.125×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 1.264×ATR | p2 | +1.92×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.22×ATR | p0 | +0.671×ATR | p20 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63477.4
-0.000573869
63441
-0.030089
63501.9
-0.000959647
63441
0.150017
63884.5
-0.00694236
63441
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 22:00:00
[1] => 0.38251
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 04:00:00
[1] => 0.3934
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 16:00:00
[1] => 0.36784
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 22:00:00
[1] => 0.38503
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 06:00:00
[1] => 0.36853
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 12:00:00
[1] => 0.38724
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 21:00:00
[1] => 0.37138
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 01:00:00
[1] => 0.38493
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 11:00:00
[1] => 0.37496
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 21:00:00
[1] => 0.45149
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.2293074043722
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 16.521762321314
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 20.410177085556
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 08:00:00
[1] => 0.37977
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 09:45:00
[1] => 0.38666
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 11:45:00
[1] => 0.37496
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 13:15:00
[1] => 0.37735
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 14:45:00
[1] => 0.41146
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 19:30:00
[1] => 0.43536
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 21:30:00
[1] => 0.45149
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 00:30:00
[1] => 0.4352
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 02:00:00
[1] => 0.44441
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 03:00:00
[1] => 0.43216
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.5674489772957
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.19437245464643
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8345982969271
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 23:20:00
[1] => 0.44437
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 00:00:00
[1] => 0.43799
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 00:25:00
[1] => 0.44436
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 00:40:00
[1] => 0.4352
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 01:10:00
[1] => 0.44301
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 01:30:00
[1] => 0.43533
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 02:00:00
[1] => 0.44441
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 02:10:00
[1] => 0.43896
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 02:35:00
[1] => 0.44257
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 03:05:00
[1] => 0.43216
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1623697946088
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.19437245464643
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4088300629397
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
0.45149
193
0.7726
0.6966
0.3057
0.2668
0.3375
1
0.5001
0.534
0.6864
0.844
0.7468
0.8257
0.3
0.1961
1
2.0086
4.1089
0.5
0.5
1
6
1
0.4664
0.5981
5.9445
0.65
3.5003
8.18
4.1089
0.2323
0.2288
0.74
1.4366
0.6973
0.5861
0.9396
0.8257
-1.7307
8.1988
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 23:20:00 | 0.44437 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:00:00 | 0.43799 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 00:25:00 | 0.44436 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:40:00 | 0.4352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:10:00 | 0.44301 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 01:30:00 | 0.43533 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.44441 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 02:10:00 | 0.43896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:35:00 | 0.44257 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:05:00 | 0.43216 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 0.37977 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:45:00 | 0.38666 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:45:00 | 0.37496 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:15:00 | 0.37735 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 14:45:00 | 0.41146 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 19:30:00 | 0.43536 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 21:30:00 | 0.45149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:30:00 | 0.4352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.44441 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 0.43216 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 0.38251 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 0.3934 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 16:00:00 | 0.36784 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 22:00:00 | 0.38503 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:00:00 | 0.36853 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 0.38724 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.37138 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 01:00:00 | 0.38493 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 0.37496 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 21:00:00 | 0.45149 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.433 | 0.4294 | 0.4402 | 2 | 0.6472 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4294 - 0.433 = -0.0036
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.433 - 0.4402 = -0.0072
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0072 / -0.0036 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 961.4344 | 100 | 2220.4027 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0036 = -2222.22
Taille de position USD = -2222.22 x 0.433 = -962.22
Donc, tu peux acheter -2222.22 avec un stoploss a 0.4294
Avec un position size USD de -962.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2222.22 x -0.0036 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2222.22 x -0.0072 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.66 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.83 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.83 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.0277 % | 243.89 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.433 | 0.4294 | 0.4402 | 2 | 0.6472 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4294 - 0.433 = -0.0036
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.433 - 0.4402 = -0.0072
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0072 / -0.0036 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4402
[entry_price] => 0.433
[stop_loss] => 0.42904
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 03:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4402
[entry_price] => 0.433
[stop_loss] => 0.42868
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 03:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4402
[entry_price] => 0.433
[stop_loss] => 0.42832
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 03:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4402
[entry_price] => 0.433
[stop_loss] => 0.4276
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 03:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.933% | 1.1R | -2.028% | 2.4R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.933% | 1.1R | -2.028% | 2.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.356% | 1.6R | -2.028% | 2.4R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.667% | 2.0R | -2.028% | 2.4R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.667% | 2.0R | -2.141% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.