Short Trade on CRV (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 1408.45 CRV at 0.251$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2482 (1.19 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2569 (2.27 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 23:15:09
hyperliquid
CRV
SHORT
momentum_pullback_v1
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 23:15
→ 04:25
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2512$
Qty 1408.4507 CRV
Size 353.8451$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2482 (+1.19%)
TP $ 4.23$
SL 0.2569 (-2.27%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 0.53
Status
win
PnL
+1.19%
/ +4.23$
MAE -1.66%
MFE +3.65%
1.6R
expires
14 Aug 11:15
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68723)
#38 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 23:00
score du 13/08/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1860
Quality Score
0.443
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
7.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 23:00
13/08 23:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#38 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#38 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.55×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.43×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.81×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 23:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 13/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 13/08 22:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 23:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4430
Score SMA
0.4700
Rank
#38
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1860
Rank Norm SMA
0.2308
Calculé le
13/08/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3823 | r1h: -0.845% · r4h: -0.669% · r1d: -3.68% · r3d: -6.21% · ema21_slope: -0.1240% · dist_ema21: -1.127% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3652 | rs_1h: -0.740% · rs_4h: -0.638% · rs_1d: -3.65% · rs_3d: -5.40% · beta_24h: 0.500 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3009 | rvol_20: 1.14× · zscore_50: -0.270 · trend: -37.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5120 | ADX: 31.4 (trend) · Chop: 69.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.454% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.269%
(0.0057)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.354% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.096% | 0.0R | -1.354% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.096% | 0.0R | -1.660% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.273% | 1.0R | -1.660% | 0.7R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.655% | 1.6R | -1.660% | 0.7R | 2.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.25
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.98 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.39 | bear_medium | -0.78% | -0.07 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.23 | range_low | -0.56% | -0.02 | 13/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | near -0.9ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.03% | -0.13 | 13/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 2.491×ATR | p0 | +1.66×ATR | p86 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 3.742×ATR | p66 | -0.235×ATR | p17 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.273×ATR | p0 | -0.919×ATR | p43 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.773×ATR | p8 | -1.307×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.25691
- tp_price: 0.24824562
- atr: 0.00119375
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T15:15:09+00:00
Details
- rank: 43
- total: 46
- score: 0.3823
- avg_rank_8h: 38.1
- rank_velocity: 4.9
- pullback_depth_atr: 7.05
- trigger_price: 0.25209
- fip_24h: -0.167
- confidence: 0.933
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2512 | 0.2569 | 0.2482 | 0.53 | 0.354 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2512
- Stop Loss: 0.2569
- Take Profit: 0.2482
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2569 - 0.2512 = 0.0057
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2512 - 0.2482 = 0.003
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.003 / 0.0057 = 0.5263
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 353.8451 | 100 | 1408.4507 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0057
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0057 = 1403.51
Taille de position USD = 1403.51 x 0.2512 = 352.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 1403.51 avec un stoploss a 0.2569
Avec un position size USD de 352.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1403.51 x 0.0057 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1403.51 x 0.003 = 4.21
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.21$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1403.51
- Taille de position USD 352.56
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.21
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5263
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.19 % | 4.23 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.27 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.23 $ | 1.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.66 % | 73.16 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2512 | 0.2569 | 0.2482 | 0.53 | 0.354 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2512
- Stop Loss: 0.2569
- Take Profit: 0.2482
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2569 - 0.2512 = 0.0057
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2512 - 0.2482 = 0.003
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.003 / 0.0057 = 0.5263
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.269%
(0.0057)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.354% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.096% | 0.0R | -1.354% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.096% | 0.0R | -1.660% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.273% | 1.0R | -1.660% | 0.7R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.655% | 1.6R | -1.660% | 0.7R | 2.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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