Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 54.09 HYPE at 56.892$ per unit. Take profit: 57.1878 (0.52 %) & Stop Loss: 56.7441 (0.26 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 54.09 HYPE at 56.892$ per unit. Take profit: 57.1878 (0.52 %) & Stop Loss: 56.7441 (0.26 %)
Position
Entry 56.892$
Qty 54.0894 HYPE
Size 3077.2526$ (margin 100$) (leverage 31)
Risk Setup
TP 57.1878 (+0.52%)
TP $ 16$
SL 56.7441 (-0.26%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8160
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.67×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.08×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.90×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 23:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.493752 15m : 0.510848 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5394 | r1h: -0.126% · r4h: -0.451% · r1d: 1.14% · r3d: 3.46% · ema21_slope: 0.0434% · dist_ema21: -0.216% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5406 | rs_1h: -0.021% · rs_4h: -0.420% · rs_1d: 1.17% · rs_3d: 4.27% · beta_24h: 1.562 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1392 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -1.057 · trend: -42.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5568 | ADX: 26.7 (trend) · Chop: 58.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.805% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.088% | 0.3R | -0.679% | 2.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.088% | 0.3R | -0.679% | 2.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.088% | 0.3R | -1.086% | 4.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.088% | 0.3R | -1.086% | 4.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.088% | 0.3R | -2.507% | 9.6R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.03 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.54 | bear_medium | -1.04% | +0.26 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.53 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.01 | 13/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.40 | range_low | +0.07% | -0.08 | 13/08 23:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 2.504×ATR | p0 | +0.505×ATR | p35 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 3.585×ATR | p59 | +0.815×ATR | p45 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 3.419×ATR | p60 | -0.542×ATR | p32 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.03×ATR | p64 | -1.344×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63490
0.000629256
63530
0.493752
63507.4
0.00101614
63572
0.510848
63885.4
-0.00623648
63487
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 01:00:00
[1] => 54.765
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 04:00:00
[1] => 55.615
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 07:00:00
[1] => 54.8
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 15:00:00
[1] => 53.737
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 17:00:00
[1] => 56.913
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 23:00:00
[1] => 55.896
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 15:00:00
[1] => 58.5
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 20:00:00
[1] => 57
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 01:00:00
[1] => 57.601
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 03:00:00
[1] => 56.808
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.116300064235
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.26404731727925
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.395930150683
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 11:30:00
[1] => 56.951
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 15:15:00
[1] => 58.5
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 16:30:00
[1] => 57.304
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 19:00:00
[1] => 57.921
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 20:00:00
[1] => 57
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 21:45:00
[1] => 57.02
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 22:30:00
[1] => 57.601
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 23:30:00
[1] => 57.242
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 01:00:00
[1] => 57.601
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 03:00:00
[1] => 56.808
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.96526101977396
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.41719476130123
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.395930150683
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 20:10:00
[1] => 57
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 20:25:00
[1] => 57.545
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 20:45:00
[1] => 57.295
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 21:30:00
[1] => 57.595
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 21:55:00
[1] => 57.02
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 22:35:00
[1] => 57.601
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 23:40:00
[1] => 57.242
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 00:30:00
[1] => 57.355
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 01:00:00
[1] => 57.601
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 03:10:00
[1] => 56.808
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2308814083089
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.14786649767639
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 29
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.395930150683
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
58.5
187
0.7086
0.5491
0.3723
0.262
0.4625
0
0.1215
0.622
0.8042
0.4979
0.5868
0.6783
-0.0065
0.06
0.6667
-0.6576
0.7034
0.75
0.25
1
12
1
0.4761
0.4489
2.9887
0.65
0
0
0.7034
0
0.24
0.4
0.0868
0.5475
0.4544
0.5864
0.6783
-3.6858
7.7731
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:27 | 56.89200000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:33 | 56.86500000 | -0.047% |
| 3 | 23:39 | 56.81700000 | -0.132% |
| 4 | 23:45 | 56.71100000 | -0.318% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 20:10:00 | 57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 20:25:00 | 57.545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:45:00 | 57.295 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 21:30:00 | 57.595 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 21:55:00 | 57.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:35:00 | 57.601 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 23:40:00 | 57.242 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 00:30:00 | 57.355 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 57.601 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:10:00 | 56.808 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 56.951 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:15:00 | 58.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:30:00 | 57.304 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 19:00:00 | 57.921 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:00:00 | 57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 21:45:00 | 57.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:30:00 | 57.601 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 23:30:00 | 57.242 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 57.601 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 56.808 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 54.765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 55.615 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 54.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 53.737 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 17:00:00 | 56.913 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 23:00:00 | 55.896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 58.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:00:00 | 57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 57.601 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 56.808 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.892 | 56.7441 | 57.1878 | 2 | 78.858 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.7441 - 56.892 = -0.1479
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.892 - 57.1878 = -0.2958
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2958 / -0.1479 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3077.2526 | 100 | 54.0894 | 31.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1479 = -54.09
Taille de position USD = -54.09 x 56.892 = -3077.29
Donc, tu peux acheter -54.09 avec un stoploss a 56.7441
Avec un position size USD de -3077.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -54.09 x -0.1479 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -54.09 x -0.2958 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4201 % | 161.58 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.892 | 56.7441 | 57.1878 | 2 | 78.858 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.7441 - 56.892 = -0.1479
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.892 - 57.1878 = -0.2958
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2958 / -0.1479 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.1878
[entry_price] => 56.892
[stop_loss] => 56.72931
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 03:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.1878
[entry_price] => 56.892
[stop_loss] => 56.71452
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 03:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.1878
[entry_price] => 56.892
[stop_loss] => 56.69973
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 03:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.1878
[entry_price] => 56.892
[stop_loss] => 56.67015
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 03:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.088% | 0.3R | -0.679% | 2.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.088% | 0.3R | -0.679% | 2.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.088% | 0.3R | -1.086% | 4.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.088% | 0.3R | -1.086% | 4.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.088% | 0.3R | -2.507% | 9.6R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.