Long Trade on JTO (CatchTheWave)
With 2096.74 JTO at 0.563$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5706 (1.37 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5591 (0.68 %)
Long Trade on JTO (CatchTheWave)
With 2096.74 JTO at 0.563$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5706 (1.37 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5591 (0.68 %)
Position
Entry 0.5629$
Qty 2096.7383 JTO
Size 1180.2959$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5706 (+1.37%)
TP $ 16.14$
SL 0.5591 (-0.68%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.03
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5131
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.43×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.84×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.28×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 00:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.313554 15m : 0.120712 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 23:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5371 | r1h: -0.945% · r4h: 2.027% · r1d: -3.26% · r3d: 3.30% · ema21_slope: -0.0470% · dist_ema21: 0.913% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5133 | rs_1h: -0.803% · rs_4h: 2.186% · rs_1d: -2.88% · rs_3d: 4.47% · beta_24h: 0.399 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9057 | rvol_20: 3.73× · zscore_50: 1.586 · trend: 117.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5740 | ADX: 16.4 (weak) · Chop: 45.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.391% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.458% | 0.7R | -0.759% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.458% | 0.7R | -1.501% | 2.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.458% | 0.7R | -1.501% | 2.2R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.458% | 0.7R | -4.454% | 6.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.458% | 0.7R | -4.454% | 6.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -4.59% | -0.43 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.22 | bear_medium | -1.04% | +0.47 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.14 | bear_low | -0.75% | -0.16 | 13/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.22% | +0.27 | 13/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.193×ATR | p0 | +0.261×ATR | p13 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.541×ATR | p0 | +0.876×ATR | p40 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.796×ATR | p10 | +0.677×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 0.968×ATR | p4 | +0.48×ATR | p24 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63470.3
-0.00107639
63402
0.313554
63507.1
-0.00165515
63402
0.120712
63903.7
-0.0081335
63384
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197
0.7227
0.6667
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0.4442
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0.3243
0.5668
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0.5626
0.7082
0.0841
0.0361
1
0.4675
0.6547
0.65
0.35
1
2
1
0.5546
0.6761
4.2477
0.55
1.1808
4.1816
0.6547
0.4676
0.32
0.4
0.0376
0.4467
0.4309
0.214
0.7082
-3.3583
8.1515
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:08 | 0.56292000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 00:38 | 0.56178000 | -0.199% |
| 3 | 00:44 | 0.56167000 | -0.219% |
| 4 | 00:50 | 0.56047000 | -0.432% |
| 5 | 01:03 | 0.56057000 | -0.414% |
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 20:35:00 | 0.54701 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 21:05:00 | 0.55056 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 21:15:00 | 0.54744 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:15:00 | 0.55258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 23:00:00 | 0.55101 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 00:05:00 | 0.55579 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:35:00 | 0.55273 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:30:00 | 0.5794 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:20:00 | 0.56179 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 04:05:00 | 0.56292 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 03:45:00 | 0.587 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 05:15:00 | 0.57459 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 0.54859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:15:00 | 0.54402 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:15:00 | 0.57444 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:15:00 | 0.54968 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 20:30:00 | 0.54701 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:30:00 | 0.5794 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:15:00 | 0.56179 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 14:00:00 | 0.53135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:00:00 | 0.5734 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 08:00:00 | 0.53606 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:00:00 | 0.56852 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.55232 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 01:00:00 | 0.58915 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 13:00:00 | 0.54402 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 0.57444 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:00:00 | 0.54701 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.5794 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5629 | 0.5591 | 0.5706 | 2.03 | 0.4502 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5591 - 0.5629 = -0.0037999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5629 - 0.5706 = -0.0077
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0077 / -0.0037999999999999 = 2.0263
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1180.2959 | 100 | 2096.7383 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0037999999999999 = -2105.26
Taille de position USD = -2105.26 x 0.5629 = -1185.05
Donc, tu peux acheter -2105.26 avec un stoploss a 0.5591
Avec un position size USD de -1185.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2105.26 x -0.0037999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2105.26 x -0.0077 = 16.21
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.21$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.37 % | 16.14 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.68 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -0.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7586 % | 112.37 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5629 | 0.5591 | 0.5706 | 2.03 | 0.4502 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5591 - 0.5629 = -0.0037999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5629 - 0.5706 = -0.0077
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0077 / -0.0037999999999999 = 2.0263
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.458% | 0.7R | -0.759% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.458% | 0.7R | -1.501% | 2.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.458% | 0.7R | -1.501% | 2.2R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.458% | 0.7R | -4.454% | 6.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.458% | 0.7R | -4.454% | 6.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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