Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 52.28 HYPE at 56.59$ per unit. Take profit: 56.8961 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 56.437 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 52.28 HYPE at 56.59$ per unit. Take profit: 56.8961 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 56.437 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 56.59$
Qty 52.2771 HYPE
Size 2958.3632$ (margin 100$) (leverage 30)
Risk Setup
TP 56.8961 (+0.54%)
TP $ 16$
SL 56.437 (-0.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8160
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.97×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.08×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.90×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 23:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.497066 15m : 0.515854 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5394 | r1h: -0.126% · r4h: -0.451% · r1d: 1.14% · r3d: 3.46% · ema21_slope: 0.0434% · dist_ema21: -0.216% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5406 | rs_1h: -0.021% · rs_4h: -0.420% · rs_1d: 1.17% · rs_3d: 4.27% · beta_24h: 1.562 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1392 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -1.057 · trend: -42.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5568 | ADX: 26.7 (trend) · Chop: 58.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.805% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.463% | 1.7R | -0.148% | 0.6R | 3.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.569% | 2.1R | -0.148% | 0.6R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.569% | 2.1R | -0.558% | 2.1R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.569% | 2.1R | -0.710% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.569% | 2.1R | -1.986% | 7.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.03 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.54 | bear_medium | -1.04% | +0.26 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.53 | bear_low | -0.75% | -0.01 | 13/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_low_confirmed |
44%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.22% | -0.12 | 13/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 2.504×ATR | p0 | +0.505×ATR | p35 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 3.585×ATR | p59 | +0.815×ATR | p45 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 3.718×ATR | p64 | -0.797×ATR | p47 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 4.552×ATR | p87 | -2.743×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63479.2
-0.00216244
63342
0.497066
63510.9
-0.00267537
63341
0.515854
63883.2
-0.00789379
63379
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58.5
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0.1456
0.5788
0.4306
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-4.1312
6.7387
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:51 | 56.59000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:57 | 56.53000000 | -0.106% |
| 3 | 00:04 | 56.59200000 | +0.004% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 20:10:00 | 57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 20:25:00 | 57.545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:45:00 | 57.295 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 21:30:00 | 57.595 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 21:55:00 | 57.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:35:00 | 57.601 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 23:40:00 | 57.242 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 00:30:00 | 57.355 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 57.601 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:45:00 | 56.57 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 56.951 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:15:00 | 58.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:30:00 | 57.304 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 19:00:00 | 57.921 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:00:00 | 57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 21:45:00 | 57.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:30:00 | 57.601 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 23:30:00 | 57.242 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 57.601 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:45:00 | 56.57 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 54.765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 55.615 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 54.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 53.737 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 17:00:00 | 56.913 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 23:00:00 | 55.896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 58.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:00:00 | 57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 57.601 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 56.638 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.59 | 56.437 | 56.8961 | 2 | 79.154 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.437 - 56.59 = -0.15300000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.59 - 56.8961 = -0.30609999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.30609999999999 / -0.15300000000001 = 2.0007
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2958.3632 | 100 | 52.2771 | 30.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.15300000000001 = -52.29
Taille de position USD = -52.29 x 56.59 = -2959.09
Donc, tu peux acheter -52.29 avec un stoploss a 56.437
Avec un position size USD de -2959.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -52.29 x -0.15300000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -52.29 x -0.30609999999999 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.54 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1484 % | 54.88 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.59 | 56.437 | 56.8961 | 2 | 79.154 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.437 - 56.59 = -0.15300000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.59 - 56.8961 = -0.30609999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.30609999999999 / -0.15300000000001 = 2.0007
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.463% | 1.7R | -0.148% | 0.6R | 3.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.569% | 2.1R | -0.148% | 0.6R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.569% | 2.1R | -0.558% | 2.1R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.569% | 2.1R | -0.710% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.569% | 2.1R | -1.986% | 7.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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