Short Trade on APT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 912.31 APT at 0.549$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5351 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5576 (1.6 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 00:10:05
hyperliquid
APT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 00:10
→ 06:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.5488$
Qty 912.3141 APT
Size 500.678$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5351 (+2.5%)
TP $ 12.5$
SL 0.5576 (-1.6%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 1.56
Status
win
PnL
+1.26%
/ +6.29$
MAE -0.47%
MFE +2.08%
1.3R
expires
14 Aug 06:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68771)
#37 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 00:00
score du 14/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6865
Quality Score
0.457
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 00:00
14/08 00:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#37 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#37 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.22×ATR |
| 4h | near | -2.90×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 00:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 13/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) 13/08 23:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 00:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4570
Score SMA
0.5647
Rank
#37
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6865
Rank Norm SMA
0.7922
Calculé le
14/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3287 | r1h: -0.887% · r4h: -2.232% · r1d: -3.32% · r3d: -6.70% · ema21_slope: -0.0805% · dist_ema21: -1.987% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3430 | rs_1h: -0.745% · rs_4h: -2.073% · rs_1d: -2.94% · rs_3d: -5.53% · beta_24h: 1.084 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3319 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.544 · trend: 76.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7081 | ADX: 25.0 (weak) · Chop: 33.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.659% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -1.604%
(0.0088)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.419% | 0.3R | -0.474% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.765% | 0.5R | -0.474% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.077% | 1.3R | -0.474% | 0.3R | 4.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.077% | 1.3R | -0.474% | 0.3R | 4.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.843% | 1.8R | -0.474% | 0.3R | 6.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.952% | 1.8R | -0.474% | 0.3R | 6.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.82
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | near -2.9ATR | — | 0.69 | bear_medium | -1.04% | -0.52 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.50 | bear_low | -0.75% | -0.25 | 13/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_low |
53%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.22% | -0.18 | 13/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 30b | — | 8.496×ATR | p100 | -2.547×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 4.187×ATR | p87 | -2.83×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 3.067×ATR | p46 | -2.911×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.55756891
- tp_price: 0.53508
- atr: 0.00350756
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T10:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 43
- total: 45
- score: 0.3287
- delta_2h: -0.0471
- extension_atr: -2.49
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.6865
- confidence: 0.955
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5488 | 0.5576 | 0.5351 | 1.56 | 0.583 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5488
- Stop Loss: 0.5576
- Take Profit: 0.5351
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5576 - 0.5488 = 0.0088
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5488 - 0.5351 = 0.0137
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0137 / 0.0088 = 1.5568
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 500.678 | 100 | 912.3141 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0088
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0088 = 909.09
Taille de position USD = 909.09 x 0.5488 = 498.91
Donc, tu peux acheter 909.09 avec un stoploss a 0.5576
Avec un position size USD de 498.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 909.09 x 0.0088 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 909.09 x 0.0137 = 12.45
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 12.45$
Résumé
- Taille de position 909.09
- Taille de position USD 498.91
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 12.45
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.5568
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 12.5 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.6 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.29 $ | 1.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4738 % | 29.55 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5488 | 0.5576 | 0.5351 | 1.56 | 0.583 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5488
- Stop Loss: 0.5576
- Take Profit: 0.5351
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5576 - 0.5488 = 0.0088
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5488 - 0.5351 = 0.0137
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0137 / 0.0088 = 1.5568
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -1.604%
(0.0088)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.419% | 0.3R | -0.474% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.765% | 0.5R | -0.474% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.077% | 1.3R | -0.474% | 0.3R | 4.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.077% | 1.3R | -0.474% | 0.3R | 4.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.843% | 1.8R | -0.474% | 0.3R | 6.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.952% | 1.8R | -0.474% | 0.3R | 6.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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