Short Trade on UNI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 93.85 UNI at 3.452$ per unit. Take profit: 3.3659 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.5374 (2.47 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 00:10:05
hyperliquid
UNI
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 00:10
→ 06:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 3.4522$
Qty 93.8462 UNI
Size 323.976$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 3.3659 (+2.5%)
TP $ 8.1$
SL 3.5374 (-2.47%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.01
Status
win
PnL
+0.79%
/ +2.57$
MAE -1.26%
MFE +0.94%
0.4R
expires
14 Aug 06:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68775)
#41 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 00:00
score du 14/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0570
Quality Score
0.445
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 00:00
14/08 00:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#41 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#41 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.24×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.39×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.85×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 00:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 13/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 13/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 00:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4453
Score SMA
0.4567
Rank
#41
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0570
Rank Norm SMA
0.1429
Calculé le
14/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3288 | r1h: -0.973% · r4h: -0.440% · r1d: -2.31% · r3d: -13.59% · ema21_slope: -0.1000% · dist_ema21: -1.222% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3319 | rs_1h: -0.831% · rs_4h: -0.281% · rs_1d: -1.93% · rs_3d: -12.42% · beta_24h: 0.847 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4511 | rvol_20: 1.64× · zscore_50: 0.081 · trend: -2.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4897 | ADX: 29.8 (trend) · Chop: 70.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.910% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.468%
(0.0852)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.829% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.263% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.263% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.944% | 0.4R | -1.263% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +7.888% | 3.2R | -1.263% | 0.5R | 6.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.888% | 3.2R | -1.263% | 0.5R | 6.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.15
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.64 | bear_high | -4.59% | -0.39 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_medium | -1.04% | -0.83 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.39 | bear_low | -0.75% | -0.29 | 13/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -4.6ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.22% | -0.06 | 13/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 4.953×ATR | p38 | -1.484×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 25b | — | 8.056×ATR | p100 | -2.014×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 2.185×ATR | p25 | -1.56×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 4.722×ATR | p85 | -1.642×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 3.53744582
- tp_price: 3.365895
- atr: 0.03409833
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T10:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 42
- total: 45
- score: 0.3288
- delta_2h: -0.0826
- extension_atr: -1.25
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.057
- confidence: 0.932
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.4522 | 3.5374 | 3.3659 | 1.01 | 6.6324 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 3.4522
- Stop Loss: 3.5374
- Take Profit: 3.3659
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.5374 - 3.4522 = 0.0852
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.4522 - 3.3659 = 0.0863
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0863 / 0.0852 = 1.0129
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 323.976 | 100 | 93.8462 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0852
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0852 = 93.9
Taille de position USD = 93.9 x 3.4522 = 324.16
Donc, tu peux acheter 93.9 avec un stoploss a 3.5374
Avec un position size USD de 324.16$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 93.9 x 0.0852 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 93.9 x 0.0863 = 8.1
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.1$
Résumé
- Taille de position 93.9
- Taille de position USD 324.16
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8.1
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0129
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 8.1 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.47 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.57 $ | 0.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.263 % | 51.18 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.4522 | 3.5374 | 3.3659 | 1.01 | 6.6324 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 3.4522
- Stop Loss: 3.5374
- Take Profit: 3.3659
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.5374 - 3.4522 = 0.0852
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.4522 - 3.3659 = 0.0863
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0863 / 0.0852 = 1.0129
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.468%
(0.0852)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.829% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.263% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.263% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.944% | 0.4R | -1.263% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +7.888% | 3.2R | -1.263% | 0.5R | 6.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.888% | 3.2R | -1.263% | 0.5R | 6.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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