Short Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 1.83 ZEC at 492.32$ per unit. Take profit: 477.07 (3.1 %) & Stop Loss: 496.7016 (0.89 %)
Short Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 1.83 ZEC at 492.32$ per unit. Take profit: 477.07 (3.1 %) & Stop Loss: 496.7016 (0.89 %)
Position
Entry 492.32$
Qty 1.8258 ZEC
Size 898.8856$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 477.07 (+3.1%)
TP $ 27.84$
SL 496.7016 (-0.89%)
SL $ 8$
RR 3.48
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4549
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.19×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.23×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.44×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 00:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 14/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 14/08 00:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4922 | r1h: -0.077% · r4h: 0.230% · r1d: -0.37% · r3d: -0.39% · ema21_slope: -0.0285% · dist_ema21: 0.387% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5173 | rs_1h: 0.065% · rs_4h: 0.389% · rs_1d: 0.01% · rs_3d: 0.77% · beta_24h: 1.406 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3092 | rvol_20: 1.09× · zscore_50: -0.173 · trend: -29.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4610 | ADX: 13.6 (weak) · Chop: 57.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.807% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.662% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.662% | 0.7R | -0.544% | 0.6R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.521% | 1.7R | -0.544% | 0.6R | 2.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.826% | 2.1R | -0.544% | 0.6R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.423% | 2.7R | -0.544% | 0.6R | 4.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.23 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_medium | -1.08% | +0.00 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.2ATR | near -1.5ATR | 0.53 | range_low | -0.68% | -0.02 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.49 | range_low | -0.14% | +0.03 | 14/08 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 1.556×ATR | p0 | -0.198×ATR | p12 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 2.949×ATR | p30 | +0.056×ATR | p4 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 2.769×ATR | p48 | +0.822×ATR | p45 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.267×ATR | p0 | +0.565×ATR | p28 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
482.56
137
0.5409
0.5732
0.3108
0.1619
0.4325
1
0.2715
0.5099
0.2897
0.1203
0.4733
0.4112
0.0695
0.0247
1
0.5983
0.6251
0.3
0.7
-1
12
1
0.6761
0.6382
2.7747
0.5
1.5658
3.0217
0.6251
0.3785
0.2615
0
-0.1196
0.3533
0.4107
0
0.4112
-10.4496
7.2975
1
0
0
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[price] => 484.17
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[price] => 494.09
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[price] => 489.24
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[price] => 492.32
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[label] => LH
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[label] => HL
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[time] => 2026-08-13 22:30:00
[price] => 491.21
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
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[time] => 2026-08-13 23:15:00
[price] => 487.69
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-14 00:15:00
[price] => 492.29
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
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[time] => 2026-08-14 01:15:00
[price] => 488.63
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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482.56
496.37
496.37
482.56
479.93
474.21
477.07
0.8573
496.37
487.55
491.96
0.8303
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:40 | 492.32000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:10 | 490.48000000 | -0.374% |
| 3 | 02:52 | 489.88000000 | -0.496% |
| 4 | 02:58 | 489.88000000 | -0.496% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 492.32 | 496.7016 | 477.07 | 3.48 | 1142.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 496.7016 - 492.32 = 4.3816
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 492.32 - 477.07 = 15.25
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 15.25 / 4.3816 = 3.4805
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 898.8856 | 100 | 1.8258 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 4.3816 = 1.83
Taille de position USD = 1.83 x 492.32 = 900.95
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.83 avec un stoploss a 496.7016
Avec un position size USD de 900.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.83 x 4.3816 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.83 x 15.25 = 27.91
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 27.91$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.1 % | 27.84 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.89 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.89 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3061 % | 146.75 % | 19 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 492.32 | 496.7016 | 477.07 | 3.48 | 1142.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 496.7016 - 492.32 = 4.3816
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 492.32 - 477.07 = 15.25
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 15.25 / 4.3816 = 3.4805
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.662% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.662% | 0.7R | -0.544% | 0.6R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.521% | 1.7R | -0.544% | 0.6R | 2.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.826% | 2.1R | -0.544% | 0.6R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.423% | 2.7R | -0.544% | 0.6R | 4.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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