Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 15.73 BNB at 610.37$ per unit. Take profit: 611.3872 (0.17 %) & Stop Loss: 609.8614 (0.083 %)
Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 15.73 BNB at 610.37$ per unit. Take profit: 611.3872 (0.17 %) & Stop Loss: 609.8614 (0.083 %)
Position
Entry 610.37$
Qty 15.7297 BNB
Size 9600.9084$ (margin 100$) (leverage 96)
Risk Setup
TP 611.3872 (+0.17%)
TP $ 16$
SL 609.8614 (-0.083%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6347
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.42×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.03×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.99×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 01:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.5079 15m : 0.636888 |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+2) 14/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 00:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5119 | r1h: -0.002% · r4h: 0.126% · r1d: -0.17% · r3d: 1.94% · ema21_slope: 0.0029% · dist_ema21: 0.125% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5287 | rs_1h: -0.134% · rs_4h: 0.348% · rs_1d: 0.24% · rs_3d: 2.89% · beta_24h: 0.374 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1267 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -1.102 · trend: -49.87% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5283 | ADX: 15.3 (weak) · Chop: 50.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9709 | ATR%: 0.291% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.041% | 0.5R | -0.134% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.041% | 0.5R | -0.465% | 5.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.041% | 0.5R | -0.701% | 8.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.041% | 0.5R | -1.176% | 14.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.041% | 0.5R | -1.262% | 15.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -2.0ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.69 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
65%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.78 | bear_medium | -1.08% | +0.29 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.2ATR | near -0.4ATR | 0.59 | range_low | -0.69% | +0.01 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.17% | +0.02 | 14/08 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 21b | — | 4.476×ATR | p53 | +1.313×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 1.903×ATR | p0 | +0.679×ATR | p45 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.471×ATR | p66 | +0.439×ATR | p24 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.069×ATR | p0 | +0.761×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63454.3
-0.00118768
63379
0.5079
63501.8
-0.00193491
63379
0.636888
63904.1
-0.00784202
63403
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
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605.11
187
0.5604
0.5928
0.2868
0.2187
0.3425
1
0.3267
0.5011
0.3397
0.1388
0.5188
0.6095
0.0569
0.0291
1
0.4751
0.7073
0.45
0.55
-1
12
1
0.5627
0.6659
2.954
0.5
1.6524
2.9435
0.7073
0.518
0.2306
0.04
-0.1278
0.4195
0.4436
0
0.6095
-5.5552
8.6713
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:00 | 610.37000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:12 | 610.10000000 | -0.044% |
| 3 | 01:24 | 609.79000000 | -0.095% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 00:20:00 | 611 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 01:05:00 | 610.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 01:10:00 | 609.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:05:00 | 611.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 02:25:00 | 609.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:45:00 | 612.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:15:00 | 612.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:50:00 | 610.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 04:05:00 | 612.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 04:55:00 | 610.22 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 06:30:00 | 610.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:30:00 | 613.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 607.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 14:00:00 | 611.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:30:00 | 605.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 611.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:15:00 | 611 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 02:15:00 | 609.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 03:15:00 | 612.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 04:45:00 | 610.22 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 605.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:00:00 | 620.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:00:00 | 608.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 615.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 608.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 612.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 614.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 605.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 609.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 612.6 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610.37 | 609.8614 | 611.3872 | 2 | 718.94 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 609.8614 - 610.37 = -0.5086
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 610.37 - 611.3872 = -1.0172
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.0172 / -0.5086 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9600.9084 | 100 | 15.7297 | 96.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.5086 = -15.73
Taille de position USD = -15.73 x 610.37 = -9601.12
Donc, tu peux acheter -15.73 avec un stoploss a 609.8614
Avec un position size USD de -9601.12$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -15.73 x -0.5086 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -15.73 x -1.0172 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.083 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1081 % | 129.77 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610.37 | 609.8614 | 611.3872 | 2 | 718.94 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 609.8614 - 610.37 = -0.5086
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 610.37 - 611.3872 = -1.0172
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.0172 / -0.5086 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.041% | 0.5R | -0.134% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.041% | 0.5R | -0.465% | 5.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.041% | 0.5R | -0.701% | 8.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.041% | 0.5R | -1.176% | 14.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.041% | 0.5R | -1.262% | 15.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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