Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 18.63 TAO at 201.55$ per unit. Take profit: 202.4088 (0.43 %) & Stop Loss: 201.1206 (0.21 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 18.63 TAO at 201.55$ per unit. Take profit: 202.4088 (0.43 %) & Stop Loss: 201.1206 (0.21 %)
Position
Entry 201.55$
Qty 18.6302 TAO
Size 3754.9201$ (margin 100$) (leverage 38)
Risk Setup
TP 202.4088 (+0.43%)
TP $ 16$
SL 201.1206 (-0.21%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7814
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.38×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.50×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.57×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 01:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.355939 15m : 0.527991 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 14/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 14/08 00:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5393 | r1h: 0.099% · r4h: 0.005% · r1d: 1.14% · r3d: 1.51% · ema21_slope: 0.0714% · dist_ema21: 0.055% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5431 | rs_1h: -0.034% · rs_4h: 0.227% · rs_1d: 1.55% · rs_3d: 2.46% · beta_24h: 1.297 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3200 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.277 · trend: 45.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5592 | ADX: 12.9 (weak) · Chop: 44.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.826% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.109% | 0.5R | -0.223% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.109% | 0.5R | -0.809% | 3.8R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.109% | 0.5R | -1.216% | 5.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.109% | 0.5R | -1.761% | 8.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.109% | 0.5R | -4.222% | 19.8R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.64 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.69 | bear_medium | -1.08% | +0.22 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.50 | range_low | -0.69% | +0.14 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.17% | -0.03 | 14/08 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 17b | — | 2.502×ATR | p0 | +0.656×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.49×ATR | p0 | +0.316×ATR | p24 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.007×ATR | p26 | +0.06×ATR | p5 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 4.895×ATR | p82 | -0.982×ATR | p59 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63454.3
-0.00118768
63379
0.355939
63501.8
-0.00193491
63379
0.527991
63904.1
-0.00784202
63403
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205.56
197
0.6786
0.5337
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1
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0.4083
0.35
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2
1
0.4756
0.3492
4.1649
0.6
1.502
4.392
0.4083
0.1641
0.2716
0.38
0.156
0.582
0.5046
0.8631
0.4105
-5.111
3.5584
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:04 | 201.55000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:09 | 201.44000000 | -0.055% |
| 3 | 01:15 | 201.37000000 | -0.089% |
| 4 | 01:20 | 201.45000000 | -0.05% |
| 5 | 01:26 | 201.31000000 | -0.119% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 23:15:00 | 202.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 23:20:00 | 203.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:20:00 | 204.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 201.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:05:00 | 205.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 02:45:00 | 204.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 04:00:00 | 201.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 04:10:00 | 202.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 04:20:00 | 202.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 05:00:00 | 201.37 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 10:30:00 | 198.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 203.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:30:00 | 198.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 19:00:00 | 204.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:00:00 | 201.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 21:15:00 | 204.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:15:00 | 204.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 201.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 205.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 05:00:00 | 201.37 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 13:00:00 | 203.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 19:00:00 | 196.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:00:00 | 205.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 10:00:00 | 205.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:00:00 | 197.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 02:00:00 | 197.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 10:00:00 | 198.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 198.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 19:00:00 | 204.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 205.56 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201.55 | 201.1206 | 202.4088 | 2 | 225.19 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 201.1206 - 201.55 = -0.42940000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 201.55 - 202.4088 = -0.8588
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.8588 / -0.42940000000002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3754.9201 | 100 | 18.6302 | 38.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.42940000000002 = -18.63
Taille de position USD = -18.63 x 201.55 = -3754.88
Donc, tu peux acheter -18.63 avec un stoploss a 201.1206
Avec un position size USD de -3754.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -18.63 x -0.42940000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -18.63 x -0.8588 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.21 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2233 % | 104.84 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201.55 | 201.1206 | 202.4088 | 2 | 225.19 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 201.1206 - 201.55 = -0.42940000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 201.55 - 202.4088 = -0.8588
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.8588 / -0.42940000000002 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.109% | 0.5R | -0.223% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.109% | 0.5R | -0.809% | 3.8R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.109% | 0.5R | -1.216% | 5.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.109% | 0.5R | -1.761% | 8.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.109% | 0.5R | -4.222% | 19.8R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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