Short Trade on UNI (BosPullback)
With 170.25 UNI at 3.486$ per unit. Take profit: 3.3686 (3.37 %) & Stop Loss: 3.5331 (1.35 %)
Short Trade on UNI (BosPullback)
With 170.25 UNI at 3.486$ per unit. Take profit: 3.3686 (3.37 %) & Stop Loss: 3.5331 (1.35 %)
Position
Entry 3.4861$
Qty 170.25 UNI
Size 593.5084$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 3.3686 (+3.37%)
TP $ 20$
SL 3.5331 (-1.35%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0717
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.60×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.37×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.85×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 02:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4024 | r1h: 0.562% · r4h: -0.712% · r1d: -1.88% · r3d: -12.51% · ema21_slope: -0.0869% · dist_ema21: -0.264% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4067 | rs_1h: 0.592% · rs_4h: -0.375% · rs_1d: -1.12% · rs_3d: -11.55% · beta_24h: 1.225 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1914 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.555 · trend: -28.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6067 | ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 56.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.000% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.290% | 0.2R | -0.112% | 0.1R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.691% | 0.5R | -0.112% | 0.1R | 6.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.641% | 1.2R | -0.112% | 0.1R | 14.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.784% | 6.5R | -0.112% | 0.1R | 78.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.784% | 6.5R | -0.112% | 0.1R | 78.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.64 | bear_high | -4.59% | -0.39 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
50%
|
ranging_calm 47% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_medium | -1.11% | -0.83 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.39 | range_low | -0.74% | -0.24 | 14/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
33%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.21% | +0.04 | 14/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 4.953×ATR | p38 | -1.484×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 26b | — | 7.95×ATR | p100 | -1.713×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.824×ATR | p10 | -0.299×ATR | p18 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 4.352×ATR | p70 | +0.863×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
3.4248
146
0.2885
0.6964
0.328
0.2644
0.38
1
0.5081
0.338
0.3374
0.4193
0.7202
0.0904
-0.0763
-0.1154
0
-0.2614
-2.2612
0.45
0.55
-1
3
1
0.4711
0.7039
4.2421
0.6
1.4268
3.4135
-2.2612
0.6655
0.1761
0.28
0.0769
0.5792
0.4122
0.863
0.0904
-19.3736
1.9262
1
0
0
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3.4248
3.5301
3.5301
3.4248
3.4325
3.4248
3.42865
0.511
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.4861 | 3.5331 | 3.3686 | 2.5 | 6.4103 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.5331 - 3.4861 = 0.047
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.4861 - 3.3686 = 0.1175
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1175 / 0.047 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 593.5084 | 100 | 170.25 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.047 = 170.21
Taille de position USD = 170.21 x 3.4861 = 593.37
Donc, tu peux acheter 170.21 avec un stoploss a 3.5331
Avec un position size USD de 593.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 170.21 x 0.047 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 170.21 x 0.1175 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.37 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.35 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 3.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1119 % | 8.3 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.4861 | 3.5331 | 3.3686 | 2.5 | 6.4103 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.5331 - 3.4861 = 0.047
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.4861 - 3.3686 = 0.1175
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1175 / 0.047 = 2.5
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.290% | 0.2R | -0.112% | 0.1R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.691% | 0.5R | -0.112% | 0.1R | 6.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.641% | 1.2R | -0.112% | 0.1R | 14.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.784% | 6.5R | -0.112% | 0.1R | 78.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.784% | 6.5R | -0.112% | 0.1R | 78.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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