Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 3156.74 ETHFI at 0.428$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4333 (1.19 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4257 (0.58 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 3156.74 ETHFI at 0.428$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4333 (1.19 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4257 (0.58 %)
Position
Entry 0.4282$
Qty 3156.74 ETHFI
Size 1351.6845$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4333 (+1.19%)
TP $ 16.1$
SL 0.4257 (-0.58%)
SL $ 7.89$
RR 2.04
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9713
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.45×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.79×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.30×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.051804 15m : 0.139642 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 14/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6997 | r1h: -0.896% · r4h: -2.634% · r1d: 12.39% · r3d: 10.07% · ema21_slope: 0.6773% · dist_ema21: 2.165% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6330 | rs_1h: -0.866% · rs_4h: -2.297% · rs_1d: 13.15% · rs_3d: 11.04% · beta_24h: 3.065 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2605 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.317 · trend: 11.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8633 | ADX: 43.6 (trend) · Chop: 30.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.001% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.492% | 4.3R | -0.568% | 1.0R | 4.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.807% | 4.8R | -0.568% | 1.0R | 5.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.807% | 4.8R | -0.771% | 1.3R | 3.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.807% | 4.8R | -1.044% | 1.8R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.807% | 4.8R | -1.044% | 1.8R | 2.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 31% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.68 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.35 | bear_medium | -1.11% | +0.83 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.30 | range_low | -0.74% | +0.81 | 14/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.21% | -0.10 | 14/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.349×ATR | p22 | +1.518×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 4.825×ATR | p76 | +2.229×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 0.769×ATR | p2 | +0.897×ATR | p55 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.613×ATR | p0 | -1.183×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63436.4
-0.00147382
63343
0.051804
63534.4
-0.00301336
63343
0.139642
63853.8
-0.00799968
63343
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 04:00:00
[1] => 0.3934
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 16:00:00
[1] => 0.36784
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 22:00:00
[1] => 0.38503
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 06:00:00
[1] => 0.36853
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 12:00:00
[1] => 0.38724
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 21:00:00
[1] => 0.37138
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 01:00:00
[1] => 0.38493
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 11:00:00
[1] => 0.37496
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 21:00:00
[1] => 0.45149
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 03:00:00
[1] => 0.42368
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.8616802144012
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3831193353474
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.563916163142
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 09:45:00
[1] => 0.38666
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 11:45:00
[1] => 0.37496
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 13:15:00
[1] => 0.37735
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 14:45:00
[1] => 0.41146
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 19:30:00
[1] => 0.43536
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 21:30:00
[1] => 0.45149
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 00:30:00
[1] => 0.4352
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 02:00:00
[1] => 0.44441
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 03:00:00
[1] => 0.42368
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 06:00:00
[1] => 0.42807
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.6497828581715
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0280327983741
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0361593655589
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 01:10:00
[1] => 0.44301
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 01:30:00
[1] => 0.43533
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 02:00:00
[1] => 0.44441
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 02:10:00
[1] => 0.43896
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 02:35:00
[1] => 0.44257
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 03:05:00
[1] => 0.42368
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 04:00:00
[1] => 0.43704
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 04:10:00
[1] => 0.432
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 04:40:00
[1] => 0.43687
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 06:05:00
[1] => 0.42807
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9868610799551
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0280327983741
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0557385474338
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.42368
196
0.7569
0.5628
0.365
0.2347
0.4717
0.4963
0.3745
0.7904
0.6994
0.796
0.649
0.7376
0.1689
0.1542
1
0.8229
2.9712
0.55
0.45
1
9
1
0.5306
0.3785
5.9445
0.55
0.4963
2.9502
2.9712
0.1315
0.2475
0.66
1.0566
0.5893
0.5628
0.8683
0.7376
-2.7213
7.6494
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 01:10:00 | 0.44301 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 01:30:00 | 0.43533 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.44441 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 02:10:00 | 0.43896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:35:00 | 0.44257 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:05:00 | 0.42368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 04:00:00 | 0.43704 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 04:10:00 | 0.432 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 04:40:00 | 0.43687 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 06:05:00 | 0.42807 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 09:45:00 | 0.38666 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:45:00 | 0.37496 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:15:00 | 0.37735 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 14:45:00 | 0.41146 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 19:30:00 | 0.43536 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 21:30:00 | 0.45149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:30:00 | 0.4352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.44441 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 0.42368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 0.42807 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 0.3934 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 16:00:00 | 0.36784 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 22:00:00 | 0.38503 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:00:00 | 0.36853 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 0.38724 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.37138 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 01:00:00 | 0.38493 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 0.37496 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 21:00:00 | 0.45149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 0.42368 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4282 | 0.4257 | 0.4333 | 2.04 | 0.5933 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4257 - 0.4282 = -0.0025
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4282 - 0.4333 = -0.0051
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0051 / -0.0025 = 2.04
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1351.6845 | 100 | 3156.74 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0025 = -3200
Taille de position USD = -3200 x 0.4282 = -1370.24
Donc, tu peux acheter -3200 avec un stoploss a 0.4257
Avec un position size USD de -1370.24$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3200 x -0.0025 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3200 x -0.0051 = 16.32
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.32$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.19 % | 16.1 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 7.89 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.1 $ | 1.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5675 % | 97.21 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4282 | 0.4257 | 0.4333 | 2.04 | 0.5933 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4257 - 0.4282 = -0.0025
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4282 - 0.4333 = -0.0051
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0051 / -0.0025 = 2.04
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4332
[stop_loss] => 0.4257
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 06:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.43445
[stop_loss] => 0.4257
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 06:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4357
[stop_loss] => 0.4257
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 06:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.43695
[stop_loss] => 0.4257
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 06:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4382
[stop_loss] => 0.4257
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 07:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.43945
[stop_loss] => 0.4257
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 07:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4407
[stop_loss] => 0.4257
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 09:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.44195
[stop_loss] => 0.4257
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 09:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4432
[stop_loss] => 0.4257
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 09:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.44445
[stop_loss] => 0.4257
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 09:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4457
[stop_loss] => 0.4257
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 09:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.492% | 4.3R | -0.568% | 1.0R | 4.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.807% | 4.8R | -0.568% | 1.0R | 5.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.807% | 4.8R | -0.771% | 1.3R | 3.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.807% | 4.8R | -1.044% | 1.8R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.807% | 4.8R | -1.044% | 1.8R | 2.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.