Short Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 423.12 ZRO at 0.786$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7666 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8052 (2.4 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 02:10:08
hyperliquid
ZRO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 02:10
→ 08:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.7863$
Qty 423.1192 ZRO
Size 332.6817$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7666 (+2.51%)
TP $ 8.34$
SL 0.8052 (-2.4%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.04
Status
win
PnL
+0.50%
/ +1.65$
MAE -0.08%
MFE +1.39%
0.6R
expires
14 Aug 08:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68865)
#44 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 02:00
score du 14/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1962
Quality Score
0.409
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 02:00
14/08 02:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#44 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.40 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.40 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.24×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.78×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.67×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 02:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 02:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4092
Score SMA
0.4732
Rank
#44
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1962
Rank Norm SMA
0.2233
Calculé le
14/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3239 | r1h: -0.427% · r4h: -1.365% · r1d: -4.28% · r3d: -7.64% · ema21_slope: -0.1812% · dist_ema21: -2.073% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3625 | rs_1h: -0.397% · rs_4h: -1.029% · rs_1d: -3.52% · rs_3d: -6.67% · beta_24h: 2.338 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1834 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.703 · trend: -27.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5647 | ADX: 29.6 (trend) · Chop: 60.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.012% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.404%
(0.0189)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.678% | 0.3R | -0.078% | 0.0R | 8.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.009% | 0.4R | -0.078% | 0.0R | 13.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.394% | 0.6R | -0.078% | 0.0R | 18.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.394% | 0.6R | -0.078% | 0.0R | 18.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.917% | 0.8R | -0.078% | 0.0R | 24.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.073% | 0.9R | -0.463% | 0.2R | 4.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.23
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.47 | bear_high | -4.59% | -0.56 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.28 | bear_medium | -1.11% | -0.64 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.25 | range_low | -0.74% | -0.45 | 14/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.21% | -0.01 | 14/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 1.847×ATR | p0 | -0.384×ATR | p24 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 3.043×ATR | p46 | -2.046×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 2.944×ATR | p60 | -2.16×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.194×ATR | p46 | -1.887×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.8051672
- tp_price: 0.7666035
- atr: 0.00756288
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T12:10:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 44
- total: 45
- score: 0.3239
- delta_2h: -0.0645
- extension_atr: -1.97
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1962
- confidence: 0.977
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:10 | 0.78626000 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 03:10 | 0.78393000 | -0.301% |
| 3 | 04:10 | 0.77978000 | -0.829% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7863 | 0.8052 | 0.7666 | 1.04 | 0.977 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7863
- Stop Loss: 0.8052
- Take Profit: 0.7666
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8052 - 0.7863 = 0.0189
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7863 - 0.7666 = 0.0197
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0197 / 0.0189 = 1.0423
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 332.6817 | 100 | 423.1192 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0189
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0189 = 423.28
Taille de position USD = 423.28 x 0.7863 = 332.83
Donc, tu peux acheter 423.28 avec un stoploss a 0.8052
Avec un position size USD de 332.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 423.28 x 0.0189 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 423.28 x 0.0197 = 8.34
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.34$
Résumé
- Taille de position 423.28
- Taille de position USD 332.83
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8.34
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0423
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 8.34 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.4 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.65 $ | 0.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0776 % | 3.23 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7863 | 0.8052 | 0.7666 | 1.04 | 0.977 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7863
- Stop Loss: 0.8052
- Take Profit: 0.7666
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8052 - 0.7863 = 0.0189
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7863 - 0.7666 = 0.0197
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0197 / 0.0189 = 1.0423
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.404%
(0.0189)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.678% | 0.3R | -0.078% | 0.0R | 8.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.009% | 0.4R | -0.078% | 0.0R | 13.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.394% | 0.6R | -0.078% | 0.0R | 18.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.394% | 0.6R | -0.078% | 0.0R | 18.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.917% | 0.8R | -0.078% | 0.0R | 24.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.073% | 0.9R | -0.463% | 0.2R | 4.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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