Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1294.18 FARTCOIN at 0.14$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1554 (11.08 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1337 (4.43 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 02:21:38
hyperliquid
FARTCOIN
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 02:21
→ 14:20
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1399$
Qty 1294.1801 FARTCOIN
Size 181.0558$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1554 (+11.08%)
TP $ 20.06$
SL 0.1337 (-4.43%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.50%
/ -2.72$
MAE -2.99%
MFE +0.39%
0.1R
expires
14 Aug 14:21
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68880)
#4 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 02:00
score du 14/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9222
Quality Score
0.634
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
8.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 02:16
14/08 02:16
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#4 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.49×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.97×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.81×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 14/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 02:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6336
Score SMA
0.5928
Rank
#4
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9222
Rank Norm SMA
0.7875
Calculé le
14/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6716 | r1h: 1.330% · r4h: -0.260% · r1d: 5.64% · r3d: 4.88% · ema21_slope: 0.2677% · dist_ema21: 2.768% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6871 | rs_1h: 1.360% · rs_4h: 0.076% · rs_1d: 6.41% · rs_3d: 5.85% · beta_24h: 2.530 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2661 | rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: -0.269 · trend: 1.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7139 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 28.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.448% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.432%
(0.0062)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.386% | 0.1R | -1.515% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.386% | 0.1R | -1.515% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.386% | 0.1R | -1.515% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.386% | 0.1R | -2.988% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.386% | 0.1R | -2.988% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.966% | 0.7R | -2.988% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.29
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.86 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.60 | bear_medium | -1.11% | +0.39 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.47 | range_low | -0.74% | +0.47 | 14/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.45 | range_low | -0.21% | -0.04 | 14/08 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 2.847×ATR | p11 | +1.042×ATR | p59 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 3.261×ATR | p48 | +1.405×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 1.238×ATR | p0 | +1.604×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.115×ATR | p28 | +1.151×ATR | p57 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8459
- reason: up_bo width=2.93×ATR dur=51b phase=extending|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 0.13371848
- tp_price: 0.15535379
- atr:
- score: 0.77592052701857
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T18:21:31.150664
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.77592052701857
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1895
- obi_top10 : 0.1232
- micro_price : 0.14047885
- spread_pct : 0.071225
- mid_price : 0.14045
- bid_wall_price : 0.14
- bid_wall_size : 1544265.48
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.141
- ask_wall_size : 1543465.58
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1941
- obi_top5_std : 0.0106
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7054
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.13695
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.1309
- balance_zone_mid:
0.133925
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786507200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786687200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9296
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
51
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7759
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786654800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.13695
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7059
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
9
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4285
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00206516 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
51
inside_close_ratio
0.7059
bars_since_breakout
9
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4285
Signaux confirmants (16)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:21 | 0.13990000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:27 | 0.13990000 | 0% |
| 3 | 02:34 | 0.13990000 | 0% |
| 4 | 02:39 | 0.13962000 | -0.2% |
| 5 | 02:45 | 0.13962000 | -0.2% |
| 6 | 02:51 | 0.13988000 | -0.014% |
| 7 | 02:57 | 0.13988000 | -0.014% |
| 8 | 03:04 | 0.13988000 | -0.014% |
| 9 | 03:21 | 0.13903000 | -0.622% |
| 10 | 03:27 | 0.13903000 | -0.622% |
| 11 | 03:34 | 0.13903000 | -0.622% |
| 12 | 03:39 | 0.13881000 | -0.779% |
| 13 | 03:45 | 0.13881000 | -0.779% |
| 14 | 03:51 | 0.13854000 | -0.972% |
| 15 | 03:57 | 0.13854000 | -0.972% |
| 16 | 04:04 | 0.13854000 | -0.972% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7054ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
85%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.190
avg 0.194
± 0.011
OBI Top 10
0.123
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1405
Micro Price
0.1405
Spread
0.0712%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1400
Size
1,544,265.48
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1410
Size
1,543,465.58
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1399 | 0.1337 | 0.1554 | 2.5 | 0.1354 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1399
- Stop Loss: 0.1337
- Take Profit: 0.1554
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1337 - 0.1399 = -0.0062
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1399 - 0.1554 = -0.0155
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0155 / -0.0062 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 181.0558 | 100 | 1294.1801 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0062
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0062 = -1290.32
Taille de position USD = -1290.32 x 0.1399 = -180.52
Donc, tu peux acheter -1290.32 avec un stoploss a 0.1337
Avec un position size USD de -180.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1290.32 x -0.0062 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1290.32 x -0.0155 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1290.32
- Taille de position USD -180.52
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.08 % | 20.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.43 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.72 $ | -1.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.9878 % | 67.42 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1399 | 0.1337 | 0.1554 | 2.5 | 0.1354 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1399
- Stop Loss: 0.1337
- Take Profit: 0.1554
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1337 - 0.1399 = -0.0062
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1399 - 0.1554 = -0.0155
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0155 / -0.0062 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.432%
(0.0062)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.386% | 0.1R | -1.515% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.386% | 0.1R | -1.515% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.386% | 0.1R | -1.515% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.386% | 0.1R | -2.988% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.386% | 0.1R | -2.988% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.966% | 0.7R | -2.988% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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