Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 354924.58 PUMP at 0.00287$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002913 (1.57 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002845 (0.8 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 354924.58 PUMP at 0.00287$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002913 (1.57 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002845 (0.8 %)
Position
Entry 0.002868$
Qty 354924.5785 PUMP
Size 1017.9237$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002913 (+1.57%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 0.002845 (-0.8%)
SL $ 8.16$
RR 1.96
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9284
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.07×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.219181 15m : 0.389037 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 14/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5474 | r1h: -0.719% · r4h: -2.850% · r1d: 1.68% · r3d: 2.08% · ema21_slope: 0.2588% · dist_ema21: 0.671% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4749 | rs_1h: -0.689% · rs_4h: -2.513% · rs_1d: 2.45% · rs_3d: 3.05% · beta_24h: 1.617 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3420 | rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: -0.012 · trend: 29.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6201 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 53.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.131% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.813% | 2.3R | -0.593% | 0.7R | 3.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.813% | 2.3R | -0.593% | 0.7R | 3.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.813% | 2.3R | -2.092% | 2.6R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.813% | 2.3R | -2.092% | 2.6R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.813% | 2.3R | -3.870% | 4.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -4.90% | +1.00 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.35 | bear_medium | -1.17% | +0.45 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.26 | bear_low | -0.82% | +0.32 | 14/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.25 | range_low | -0.39% | -0.11 | 14/08 02:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 31b | — | 7.45×ATR | p89 | +2.139×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 2.334×ATR | p23 | +0.937×ATR | p53 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.844×ATR | p24 | +0.075×ATR | p3 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 3.227×ATR | p67 | -1.074×ATR | p71 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63443
-0.00372131
63207
0.219181
63526.3
-0.00453914
63238
0.389037
63852.9
-0.00867523
63299
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0.2515
0.68
0.1725
0.5199
0.526
0.9154
0.7924
-1.8508
7.0638
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 01:45:00 | 0.002988 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 01:55:00 | 0.002988 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 02:35:00 | 0.002928 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:45:00 | 0.002992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:20:00 | 0.002988 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:35:00 | 0.002915 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 04:20:00 | 0.002975 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 04:40:00 | 0.0029 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 05:05:00 | 0.002937 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 06:25:00 | 0.002866 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 10:15:00 | 0.002809 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:15:00 | 0.002745 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:30:00 | 0.002943 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 17:15:00 | 0.002787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 20:00:00 | 0.002901 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 21:15:00 | 0.002828 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 23:15:00 | 0.002936 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:30:00 | 0.002872 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:45:00 | 0.002992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 0.00288 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 17:00:00 | 0.00267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 20:00:00 | 0.002803 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.002814 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:00:00 | 0.002632 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 0.002806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.002658 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 0.00287 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 0.002745 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 0.002943 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.002992 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002868 | 0.002845 | 0.002913 | 1.96 | 0.00352 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002845 - 0.002868 = -2.3E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002868 - 0.002913 = -4.5E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.5E-5 / -2.3E-5 = 1.9565
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1017.9237 | 100 | 354924.5785 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.3E-5 = -347826.09
Taille de position USD = -347826.09 x 0.002868 = -997.57
Donc, tu peux acheter -347826.09 avec un stoploss a 0.002845
Avec un position size USD de -997.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -347826.09 x -2.3E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -347826.09 x -4.5E-5 = 15.65
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.65$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.57 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.8 % | 8.16 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.97 $ | 1.57 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5927 % | 73.9 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002868 | 0.002845 | 0.002913 | 1.96 | 0.00352 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002845 - 0.002868 = -2.3E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002868 - 0.002913 = -4.5E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.5E-5 / -2.3E-5 = 1.9565
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.813% | 2.3R | -0.593% | 0.7R | 3.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.813% | 2.3R | -0.593% | 0.7R | 3.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.813% | 2.3R | -2.092% | 2.6R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.813% | 2.3R | -2.092% | 2.6R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.813% | 2.3R | -3.870% | 4.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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