Long Trade on AVNT (CatchTheWave)
With 3926.75 AVNT at 0.0998$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1039 (4.08 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09779 (2.04 %)
Long Trade on AVNT (CatchTheWave)
With 3926.75 AVNT at 0.0998$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1039 (4.08 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09779 (2.04 %)
Position
Entry 0.09983$
Qty 3926.7465 AVNT
Size 392.0032$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1039 (+4.08%)
TP $ 15.98$
SL 0.09779 (-2.04%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9512
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.39×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.50×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.058631 15m : 0.010401 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 14/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6793 | r1h: -0.709% · r4h: -4.301% · r1d: 10.54% · r3d: 14.68% · ema21_slope: 0.3838% · dist_ema21: -0.128% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6391 | rs_1h: -0.679% · rs_4h: -3.965% · rs_1d: 11.31% · rs_3d: 15.64% · beta_24h: 3.646 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2360 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.459 · trend: -0.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6990 | ADX: 51.8 (trend) · Chop: 67.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6667 | ATR%: 4.000% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.661% | 0.3R | -1.263% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.872% | 0.4R | -1.545% | 0.8R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.202% | 0.6R | -1.545% | 0.8R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.993% | 1.0R | -1.545% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +11.259% | 5.5R | -1.545% | 0.8R | 7.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.95 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.52 | bear_medium | -1.11% | +0.91 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.27 | range_low | -0.74% | +0.38 | 14/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.07 | range_low | -0.20% | +0.12 | 14/08 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.61×ATR | p65 | +2.46×ATR | p97 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 1.746×ATR | p0 | +1.463×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.678×ATR | p12 | +0.203×ATR | p12 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 3.145×ATR | p59 | -0.482×ATR | p34 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63440.9
-0.0035617
63215
0.058631
63526.3
-0.00453914
63238
0.010401
63852.9
-0.00867523
63299
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0.2267
0.84
0.3162
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0.5137
0.6999
0.4226
-3.1497
2.305
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:22 | 0.09982900 | -0.001% |
| 2 | 02:28 | 0.09940500 | -0.426% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 01:40:00 | 0.10555 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:10:00 | 0.11323 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 02:55:00 | 0.1063 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 03:10:00 | 0.11318 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:30:00 | 0.10643 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 04:40:00 | 0.10452 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 05:00:00 | 0.10727 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 05:15:00 | 0.10511 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 05:30:00 | 0.10745 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 06:10:00 | 0.0985 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 09:30:00 | 0.10999 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 10:15:00 | 0.096799 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:15:00 | 0.11489 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:15:00 | 0.10418 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 17:45:00 | 0.11263 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 18:45:00 | 0.10345 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 0.11123 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:45:00 | 0.10525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.11323 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 0.0985 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 02:00:00 | 0.093847 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 0.091139 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.090778 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 20:00:00 | 0.095804 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.095985 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.088757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 0.11489 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 18:00:00 | 0.10345 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.11323 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 0.0985 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09983 | 0.09779 | 0.1039 | 2 | 0.09455 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09779 - 0.09983 = -0.00204
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09983 - 0.1039 = -0.00407
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00407 / -0.00204 = 1.9951
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 392.0032 | 100 | 3926.7465 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00204 = -3921.57
Taille de position USD = -3921.57 x 0.09983 = -391.49
Donc, tu peux acheter -3921.57 avec un stoploss a 0.09779
Avec un position size USD de -391.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3921.57 x -0.00204 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3921.57 x -0.00407 = 15.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.08 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.04 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.98 $ | 4.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5446 % | 75.59 % | 22 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09983 | 0.09779 | 0.1039 | 2 | 0.09455 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09779 - 0.09983 = -0.00204
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09983 - 0.1039 = -0.00407
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00407 / -0.00204 = 1.9951
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.661% | 0.3R | -1.263% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.872% | 0.4R | -1.545% | 0.8R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.202% | 0.6R | -1.545% | 0.8R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.993% | 1.0R | -1.545% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +11.259% | 5.5R | -1.545% | 0.8R | 7.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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