Long Trade on AVNT (CatchTheWave)
With 4617.15 AVNT at 0.0997$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1032 (3.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09797 (1.75 %)
Long Trade on AVNT (CatchTheWave)
With 4617.15 AVNT at 0.0997$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1032 (3.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09797 (1.75 %)
Position
Entry 0.09971$
Qty 4617.1516 AVNT
Size 460.3623$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1032 (+3.5%)
TP $ 16.11$
SL 0.09797 (-1.75%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9512
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.49×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.65×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.08207 15m : 0.017645 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 14/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 02:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6793 | r1h: -0.709% · r4h: -4.301% · r1d: 10.54% · r3d: 14.68% · ema21_slope: 0.3838% · dist_ema21: -0.128% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6391 | rs_1h: -0.679% · rs_4h: -3.965% · rs_1d: 11.31% · rs_3d: 15.64% · beta_24h: 3.646 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2360 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.459 · trend: -0.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6990 | ADX: 51.8 (trend) · Chop: 67.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6667 | ATR%: 4.000% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.782% | 0.5R | -1.144% | 0.7R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.993% | 0.6R | -1.426% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.324% | 0.8R | -1.426% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.059% | 1.8R | -1.426% | 0.8R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +11.393% | 6.5R | -1.426% | 0.8R | 8.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.90% | +0.81 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bear_medium | -1.17% | +0.74 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.26 | bear_low | -0.82% | +0.15 | 14/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.42% | -0.59 | 14/08 02:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 3.003×ATR | p12 | +1.191×ATR | p56 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.759×ATR | p35 | +0.477×ATR | p34 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.053×ATR | p70 | -0.968×ATR | p55 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 5.5×ATR | p84 | -2.334×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63430.5
-0.0035551
63205
0.08207
63512.1
-0.0047094
63213
0.017645
63851.3
-0.00987283
63221
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4
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0.2205
0.84
0.3162
0.5646
0.5074
0.6974
0.4076
-3.2315
2.2232
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:40 | 0.09970700 | -0.003% |
| 2 | 02:46 | 0.09992700 | +0.218% |
| 3 | 03:05 | 0.09951600 | -0.195% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 01:40:00 | 0.10555 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:10:00 | 0.11323 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 02:55:00 | 0.1063 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 03:10:00 | 0.11318 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:30:00 | 0.10643 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 04:40:00 | 0.10452 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 05:00:00 | 0.10727 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 05:15:00 | 0.10511 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 05:30:00 | 0.10745 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 06:10:00 | 0.0985 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 09:30:00 | 0.10999 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 10:15:00 | 0.096799 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:15:00 | 0.11489 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:15:00 | 0.10418 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 17:45:00 | 0.11263 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 18:45:00 | 0.10345 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 0.11123 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:45:00 | 0.10525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.11323 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 0.0985 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 02:00:00 | 0.093847 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 0.091139 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.090778 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 20:00:00 | 0.095804 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.095985 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.088757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 0.11489 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 18:00:00 | 0.10345 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.11323 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 0.0985 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09971 | 0.09797 | 0.1032 | 2.01 | 0.09502 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09797 - 0.09971 = -0.00174
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09971 - 0.1032 = -0.00349
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00349 / -0.00174 = 2.0057
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 460.3623 | 100 | 4617.1516 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00174 = -4597.7
Taille de position USD = -4597.7 x 0.09971 = -458.44
Donc, tu peux acheter -4597.7 avec un stoploss a 0.09797
Avec un position size USD de -458.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4597.7 x -0.00174 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4597.7 x -0.00349 = 16.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.05$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.5 % | 16.11 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.75 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.11 $ | 3.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4261 % | 81.72 % | 23 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09971 | 0.09797 | 0.1032 | 2.01 | 0.09502 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09797 - 0.09971 = -0.00174
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09971 - 0.1032 = -0.00349
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00349 / -0.00174 = 2.0057
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.782% | 0.5R | -1.144% | 0.7R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.993% | 0.6R | -1.426% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.324% | 0.8R | -1.426% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.059% | 1.8R | -1.426% | 0.8R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +11.393% | 6.5R | -1.426% | 0.8R | 8.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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