Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 378.85 ETHFI at 0.436$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4465 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4145 (4.84 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 04:10:04
hyperliquid
ETHFI
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 04:10
→ 10:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.4356$
Qty 378.846 ETHFI
Size 165.0291$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4465 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.13$
SL 0.4145 (-4.84%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.52
Status
loss
PnL
-1.74%
/ -2.88$
MAE -2.73%
MFE +0.47%
0.1R
expires
14 Aug 10:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68967)
#4 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 04:00
score du 14/08/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9574
Quality Score
0.670
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
9.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 04:01
14/08 04:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#4 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.09×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.29×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.08×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 04:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 14/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 04:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6702
Score SMA
0.7049
Rank
#4
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9574
Rank Norm SMA
0.8782
Calculé le
14/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7499 | r1h: -1.049% · r4h: -0.626% · r1d: 13.78% · r3d: 10.82% · ema21_slope: 0.5763% · dist_ema21: 2.236% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6785 | rs_1h: -1.125% · rs_4h: -0.151% · rs_1d: 15.05% · rs_3d: 12.42% · beta_24h: 1.760 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2943 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: 0.125 · trend: 6.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7780 | ADX: 40.3 (trend) · Chop: 45.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.021% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.844%
(0.0211)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.422% | 0.1R | -0.686% | 0.1R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.422% | 0.1R | -2.456% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.473% | 0.1R | -2.456% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.473% | 0.1R | -2.725% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.473% | 0.1R | -2.725% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.636% | 1.2R | -2.725% | 0.6R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.24
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 30% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.90% | +0.55 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.35 | bear_medium | -1.59% | +0.88 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.28 | bear_low | -1.23% | +0.89 | 14/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.66% | -0.11 | 14/08 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.85×ATR | p0 | +1.102×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 5.06×ATR | p76 | +2.502×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.086×ATR | p2 | +0.937×ATR | p57 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.447×ATR | p0 | -0.321×ATR | p10 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.41449324
- tp_price: 0.44650025
- atr: 0.0084467
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T14:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 2
- total: 46
- score: 0.7499
- delta_2h: 0.0502
- extension_atr: 1.13
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9574
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:10 | 0.43561000 | +0.002% |
| 2 | 05:10 | 0.43347000 | -0.489% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4356 | 0.4145 | 0.4465 | 0.52 | 0.5972 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4356
- Stop Loss: 0.4145
- Take Profit: 0.4465
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4145 - 0.4356 = -0.0211
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4356 - 0.4465 = -0.0109
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0109 / -0.0211 = 0.5166
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165.0291 | 100 | 378.846 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0211
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0211 = -379.15
Taille de position USD = -379.15 x 0.4356 = -165.16
Donc, tu peux acheter -379.15 avec un stoploss a 0.4145
Avec un position size USD de -165.16$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -379.15 x -0.0211 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -379.15 x -0.0109 = 4.13
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.13$
Résumé
- Taille de position -379.15
- Taille de position USD -165.16
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.13
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5166
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.84 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.88 $ | -1.74 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.725 % | 56.26 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4356 | 0.4145 | 0.4465 | 0.52 | 0.5972 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4356
- Stop Loss: 0.4145
- Take Profit: 0.4465
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4145 - 0.4356 = -0.0211
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4356 - 0.4465 = -0.0109
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0109 / -0.0211 = 0.5166
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.844%
(0.0211)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.422% | 0.1R | -0.686% | 0.1R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.422% | 0.1R | -2.456% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.473% | 0.1R | -2.456% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.473% | 0.1R | -2.725% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.473% | 0.1R | -2.725% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.636% | 1.2R | -2.725% | 0.6R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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