Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 18.28 VVV at 11.633$ per unit. Take profit: 11.3422 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 12.0706 (3.76 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 04:10:04
hyperliquid
VVV
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 04:10
→ 10:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 11.633$
Qty 18.2811 VVV
Size 212.6638$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 11.3422 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.32$
SL 12.0706 (-3.76%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.66
Status
loss
PnL
-1.90%
/ -4.04$
MAE -2.30%
MFE +0.52%
0.1R
expires
14 Aug 10:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68973)
#6 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 04:00
score du 14/08/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7551
Quality Score
0.592
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 04:02
14/08 04:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.27×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.37×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.38×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 04:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 14/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 14/08 03:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 04:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5922
Score SMA
0.6024
Rank
#6
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7551
Rank Norm SMA
0.8700
Calculé le
14/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3484 | r1h: -1.144% · r4h: -3.165% · r1d: -5.39% · r3d: -0.44% · ema21_slope: -0.0847% · dist_ema21: -3.062% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3513 | rs_1h: -1.220% · rs_4h: -2.689% · rs_1d: -4.12% · rs_3d: 1.16% · beta_24h: 0.777 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.62× · zscore_50: 3.811 · trend: 136.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6654 | ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 39.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.547% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.762%
(0.4376)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.516% | 0.1R | -0.817% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.516% | 0.1R | -1.057% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.516% | 0.1R | -2.295% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.516% | 0.1R | -2.295% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.516% | 0.1R | -4.195% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.516% | 0.1R | -4.298% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.5
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -4.90% | -0.68 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | range_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.43 | bear_medium | -1.59% | +0.12 | 14/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.39 | bear_low | -1.23% | -0.47 | 14/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
59%
|
choppy 52% | late | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.42 | range_low | -0.66% | -0.33 | 14/08 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 19b | — | 3.358×ATR | p43 | +0.193×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.844×ATR | p25 | -0.209×ATR | p12 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 3.301×ATR | p67 | -1.917×ATR | p87 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 9.527×ATR | p96 | -3.67×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 12.07061082
- tp_price: 11.342175
- atr: 0.17504433
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T14:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 43
- total: 46
- score: 0.3484
- delta_2h: -0.1237
- extension_atr: -2.48
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7551
- confidence: 0.933
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.633 | 12.0706 | 11.3422 | 0.66 | 21.468 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 11.633
- Stop Loss: 12.0706
- Take Profit: 11.3422
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.0706 - 11.633 = 0.4376
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.633 - 11.3422 = 0.2908
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2908 / 0.4376 = 0.6645
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 212.6638 | 100 | 18.2811 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.4376
Taille de position = 8 / 0.4376 = 18.28
Taille de position USD = 18.28 x 11.633 = 212.65
Donc, tu peux acheter 18.28 avec un stoploss a 12.0706
Avec un position size USD de 212.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 18.28 x 0.4376 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 18.28 x 0.2908 = 5.32
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.32$
Résumé
- Taille de position 18.28
- Taille de position USD 212.65
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.32
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6645
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.32 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.76 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.04 $ | -1.90 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.2952 % | 61.01 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.633 | 12.0706 | 11.3422 | 0.66 | 21.468 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 11.633
- Stop Loss: 12.0706
- Take Profit: 11.3422
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.0706 - 11.633 = 0.4376
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.633 - 11.3422 = 0.2908
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2908 / 0.4376 = 0.6645
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.762%
(0.4376)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.516% | 0.1R | -0.817% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.516% | 0.1R | -1.057% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.516% | 0.1R | -2.295% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.516% | 0.1R | -2.295% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.516% | 0.1R | -4.195% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.516% | 0.1R | -4.298% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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