Short Trade on UNI (BosPullback)
With 149.06 UNI at 3.445$ per unit. Take profit: 3.3107 (3.9 %) & Stop Loss: 3.4986 (1.56 %)
Short Trade on UNI (BosPullback)
With 149.06 UNI at 3.445$ per unit. Take profit: 3.3107 (3.9 %) & Stop Loss: 3.4986 (1.56 %)
Position
Entry 3.4449$
Qty 149.0554 UNI
Size 513.4808$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 3.3107 (+3.9%)
TP $ 20$
SL 3.4986 (-1.56%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0960
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.66×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.24×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.83×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 05:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3525 | r1h: -0.269% · r4h: -0.427% · r1d: -4.29% · r3d: -12.36% · ema21_slope: -0.0728% · dist_ema21: -1.038% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3836 | rs_1h: -0.111% · rs_4h: 0.471% · rs_1d: -2.84% · rs_3d: -10.33% · beta_24h: 0.994 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1612 | rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.585 · trend: -49.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6117 | ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 55.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.948% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.465% | 0.3R | -0.206% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.968% | 1.3R | -0.206% | 0.1R | 9.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +7.693% | 4.9R | -0.206% | 0.1R | 37.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.693% | 4.9R | -0.206% | 0.1R | 37.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.989% | 5.1R | -0.206% | 0.1R | 38.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.64 | bear_high | -4.90% | -0.34 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_medium | -1.75% | -0.85 | 14/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.39 | bear_low | -1.52% | -0.00 | 14/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | — | bear_low_confirmed | -0.89% | +0.08 | 14/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 4.765×ATR | p38 | -1.406×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 27b | — | 8.551×ATR | p100 | -1.735×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 0.895×ATR | p2 | -1.198×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 0.947×ATR | p4 | -0.805×ATR | p55 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
3.4958
146
0.2734
0.5178
0.4016
0.2641
0.5142
0.6743
0.5608
0.3161
0.3123
0.1188
0.5929
0.0318
-0.081
-0.1221
0
-1.3175
-3.5026
0.4
0.6
-1
6
1
0.4718
0.409
3.0944
0.6
0.6743
2.0866
-3.5026
0.519
0.187
0.12
-0.2298
0.4935
0.4231
0.9224
0.0318
-22.9786
0.7545
1
0
1
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[price] => 3.5226
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[price] => 3.6137
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[price] => 3.4798
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[price] => 3.5088
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[price] => 3.5069
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[price] => 3.472
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[price] => 3.4989
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[price] => 3.465
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[label] => LL
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[price] => 3.5301
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[price] => 3.4248
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[price] => 3.4958
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[price] => 3.448
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3.4248
3.4958
3.4958
3.4248
3.4325
3.4248
3.42865
0.5098
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:08 | 3.44490000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:14 | 3.45200000 | +0.206% |
| 3 | 05:20 | 3.44680000 | +0.055% |
| 4 | 05:26 | 3.44680000 | +0.055% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.4449 | 3.4986 | 3.3107 | 2.5 | 6.3607 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.4986 - 3.4449 = 0.0537
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.4449 - 3.3107 = 0.1342
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1342 / 0.0537 = 2.4991
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 513.4808 | 100 | 149.0554 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0537 = 148.98
Taille de position USD = 148.98 x 3.4449 = 513.22
Donc, tu peux acheter 148.98 avec un stoploss a 3.4986
Avec un position size USD de 513.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 148.98 x 0.0537 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 148.98 x 0.1342 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.9 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.56 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 3.90 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2061 % | 13.22 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.4449 | 3.4986 | 3.3107 | 2.5 | 6.3607 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.4986 - 3.4449 = 0.0537
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.4449 - 3.3107 = 0.1342
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1342 / 0.0537 = 2.4991
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.465% | 0.3R | -0.206% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.968% | 1.3R | -0.206% | 0.1R | 9.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +7.693% | 4.9R | -0.206% | 0.1R | 37.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.693% | 4.9R | -0.206% | 0.1R | 37.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.989% | 5.1R | -0.206% | 0.1R | 38.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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