Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1002.96 CRV at 0.247$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2406 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2548 (3.24 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 06:10:04
hyperliquid
CRV
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 06:10
→ 12:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2468$
Qty 1002.9638 CRV
Size 247.5114$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2406 (+2.51%)
TP $ 6.22$
SL 0.2548 (-3.24%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.77
Status
win
PnL
+0.72%
/ +1.79$
MAE -0.89%
MFE +1.94%
0.6R
expires
14 Aug 12:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 69043)
#44 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 06:00
score du 14/08/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2555
Quality Score
0.434
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 06:00
14/08 06:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#44 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.24 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.24 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.05×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.66×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.63×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 06:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 14/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 05:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 06:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4340
Score SMA
0.4674
Rank
#44
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2555
Rank Norm SMA
0.2574
Calculé le
14/08/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3369 | r1h: -0.649% · r4h: -2.027% · r1d: -3.47% · r3d: -7.58% · ema21_slope: -0.1111% · dist_ema21: -2.452% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3960 | rs_1h: -0.376% · rs_4h: -1.021% · rs_1d: -1.89% · rs_3d: -5.21% · beta_24h: 0.483 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2450 | rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: -0.500 · trend: -44.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5663 | ADX: 27.8 (trend) · Chop: 58.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.392% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.242%
(0.0080)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.685% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.669% | 0.2R | -0.887% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.937% | 0.6R | -0.887% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.937% | 0.6R | -0.887% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.690% | 0.8R | -0.887% | 0.3R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.298% | 1.0R | -0.887% | 0.3R | 3.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.05
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -4.90% | +0.98 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.38 | bear_medium | -1.86% | -0.51 | 14/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.22 | bear_low | -1.59% | -0.09 | 14/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bear_medium_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | — | bear_low | -0.94% | -0.13 | 14/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 2.57×ATR | p0 | +1.513×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 4.836×ATR | p80 | -0.862×ATR | p59 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 3.036×ATR | p57 | -2.1×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -3.098×ATR | p99 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.25475636
- tp_price: 0.2406105
- atr: 0.00319054
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T16:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 44
- total: 48
- score: 0.3369
- delta_2h: -0.1058
- extension_atr: -1.65
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2555
- confidence: 0.915
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2468 | 0.2548 | 0.2406 | 0.77 | 0.3145 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2468
- Stop Loss: 0.2548
- Take Profit: 0.2406
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2548 - 0.2468 = 0.008
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2468 - 0.2406 = 0.0062
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0062 / 0.008 = 0.775
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 247.5114 | 100 | 1002.9638 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.008
Taille de position = 8 / 0.008 = 1000
Taille de position USD = 1000 x 0.2468 = 246.8
Donc, tu peux acheter 1000 avec un stoploss a 0.2548
Avec un position size USD de 246.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1000 x 0.008 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1000 x 0.0062 = 6.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.2$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1000
- Taille de position USD 246.8
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.2
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.775
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 6.22 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.24 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.79 $ | 0.72 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8874 % | 27.38 % | 18 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2468 | 0.2548 | 0.2406 | 0.77 | 0.3145 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2468
- Stop Loss: 0.2548
- Take Profit: 0.2406
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2548 - 0.2468 = 0.008
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2468 - 0.2406 = 0.0062
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0062 / 0.008 = 0.775
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.242%
(0.0080)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.685% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.669% | 0.2R | -0.887% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.937% | 0.6R | -0.887% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.937% | 0.6R | -0.887% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.690% | 0.8R | -0.887% | 0.3R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.298% | 1.0R | -0.887% | 0.3R | 3.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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