Short Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 3046.75 ADA at 0.18$ per unit. Take profit: 0.173 (3.67 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1822 (1.45 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 07:08:23
hyperliquid
ADA
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 07:08
→ 19:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1796$
Qty 3046.7485 ADA
Size 547.1351$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.173 (+3.67%)
TP $ 20.11$
SL 0.1822 (-1.45%)
SL $ 7.92$
RR 2.54
Status
win
PnL
+0.33%
/ +1.83$
MAE -0.75%
MFE +0.89%
0.6R
expires
14 Aug 19:08
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 69102)
#25 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 07:00
score du 14/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4651
Quality Score
0.486
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 07:00
14/08 07:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#25 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.45 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#25 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.45 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 3.44×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.59×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 06:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4864
Score SMA
0.4941
Rank
#25
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4651
Rank Norm SMA
0.4014
Calculé le
14/08/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3893 | r1h: -1.357% · r4h: -1.124% · r1d: -2.80% · r3d: -4.50% · ema21_slope: -0.0318% · dist_ema21: -1.459% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3774 | rs_1h: -1.499% · rs_4h: -0.959% · rs_1d: -1.61% · rs_3d: -2.41% · beta_24h: 1.016 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4758 | rvol_20: 1.52× · zscore_50: 0.366 · trend: 16.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5343 | ADX: 16.1 (weak) · Chop: 50.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.782% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.448%
(0.0026)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.212% | 0.2R | -0.434% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.245% | 0.2R | -0.434% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.885% | 0.6R | -0.434% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.885% | 0.6R | -0.752% | 0.5R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.885% | 0.6R | -0.752% | 0.5R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.885% | 0.6R | -1.192% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.16
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -4.90% | +0.83 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.54 | bear_medium | -1.93% | -0.21 | 14/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.26 | bear_low | -1.38% | -0.13 | 14/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.70% | -0.06 | 14/08 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 3.247×ATR | p33 | -0.059×ATR | p4 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 46b | — | 10.308×ATR | p97 | -0.98×ATR | p49 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 2.884×ATR | p64 | -2.122×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -2.986×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8263
- reason: down_bo width=1.84×ATR dur=39b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.18220575
- tp_price: 0.17301563
- atr:
- score: 0.82631795258322
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T23:08:15.748403
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82631795258322
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0036
- obi_top10 : 0.1002
- micro_price : 0.17958777
- spread_pct : 0.05571
- mid_price : 0.17955
- bid_wall_price : 0.179
- bid_wall_size : 9915588
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.18
- ask_wall_size : 9387431.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0042
- obi_top5_std : 0.0004
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7210
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.18332
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.18082
- balance_zone_mid:
0.18207
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786568400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786705200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.8417
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
39
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8263
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786701600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.18082
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6923
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.9135
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00135747 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
39
inside_close_ratio
0.6923
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9135
Signaux confirmants (45)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:08 | 0.17958000 | -0.011% |
| 2 | 07:14 | 0.17958000 | -0.011% |
| 3 | 07:20 | 0.17932000 | -0.156% |
| 4 | 07:26 | 0.17932000 | -0.156% |
| 5 | 07:32 | 0.17932000 | -0.156% |
| 6 | 07:38 | 0.18014000 | +0.301% |
| 7 | 07:44 | 0.18014000 | +0.301% |
| 8 | 07:50 | 0.18021000 | +0.34% |
| 9 | 07:56 | 0.18021000 | +0.34% |
| 10 | 08:03 | 0.18021000 | +0.34% |
| 11 | 08:08 | 0.18030000 | +0.39% |
| 12 | 08:14 | 0.18030000 | +0.39% |
| 13 | 08:20 | 0.17996000 | +0.2% |
| 14 | 08:26 | 0.17996000 | +0.2% |
| 15 | 08:32 | 0.17996000 | +0.2% |
| 16 | 08:38 | 0.17993000 | +0.184% |
| 17 | 08:44 | 0.17993000 | +0.184% |
| 18 | 08:50 | 0.17938000 | -0.122% |
| 19 | 08:56 | 0.17938000 | -0.122% |
| 20 | 09:03 | 0.17938000 | -0.122% |
| 21 | 09:08 | 0.17969000 | +0.05% |
| 22 | 09:14 | 0.17969000 | +0.05% |
| 23 | 09:20 | 0.17960000 | 0% |
| 24 | 09:26 | 0.17960000 | 0% |
| 25 | 09:32 | 0.17960000 | 0% |
| 26 | 09:38 | 0.17927000 | -0.184% |
| 27 | 09:44 | 0.17927000 | -0.184% |
| 28 | 09:50 | 0.17947000 | -0.072% |
| 29 | 09:56 | 0.17947000 | -0.072% |
| 30 | 10:03 | 0.17947000 | -0.072% |
| 31 | 10:08 | 0.17946000 | -0.078% |
| 32 | 10:14 | 0.17946000 | -0.078% |
| 33 | 10:20 | 0.17931000 | -0.161% |
| 34 | 10:26 | 0.17931000 | -0.161% |
| 35 | 10:32 | 0.17931000 | -0.161% |
| 36 | 10:38 | 0.17898000 | -0.345% |
| 37 | 10:44 | 0.17898000 | -0.345% |
| 38 | 10:50 | 0.17895000 | -0.362% |
| 39 | 10:56 | 0.17895000 | -0.362% |
| 40 | 11:03 | 0.17895000 | -0.362% |
| 41 | 11:38 | 0.17885000 | -0.418% |
| 42 | 11:44 | 0.17885000 | -0.418% |
| 43 | 11:50 | 0.17962000 | +0.011% |
| 44 | 11:56 | 0.17962000 | +0.011% |
| 45 | 12:03 | 0.17962000 | +0.011% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7210ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.004
avg 0.004
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.100
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1796
Micro Price
0.1796
Spread
0.0557%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1790
Size
9,915,588.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1800
Size
9,387,431.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1796 | 0.1822 | 0.173 | 2.54 | 0.1947 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1796
- Stop Loss: 0.1822
- Take Profit: 0.173
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1822 - 0.1796 = 0.0026
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1796 - 0.173 = 0.0066
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0066 / 0.0026 = 2.5385
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 547.1351 | 100 | 3046.7485 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0026
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0026 = 3076.92
Taille de position USD = 3076.92 x 0.1796 = 552.61
Donc, tu peux acheter 3076.92 avec un stoploss a 0.1822
Avec un position size USD de 552.61$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3076.92 x 0.0026 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3076.92 x 0.0066 = 20.31
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.31$
Résumé
- Taille de position 3076.92
- Taille de position USD 552.61
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.31
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5385
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.67 % | 20.11 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.45 % | 7.92 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.83 $ | 0.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7517 % | 51.92 % | 24 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1796 | 0.1822 | 0.173 | 2.54 | 0.1947 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1796
- Stop Loss: 0.1822
- Take Profit: 0.173
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1822 - 0.1796 = 0.0026
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1796 - 0.173 = 0.0066
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0066 / 0.0026 = 2.5385
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.448%
(0.0026)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.212% | 0.2R | -0.434% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.245% | 0.2R | -0.434% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.885% | 0.6R | -0.434% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.885% | 0.6R | -0.752% | 0.5R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.885% | 0.6R | -0.752% | 0.5R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.885% | 0.6R | -1.192% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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