Long Trade on XMR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.49 XMR at 401.91$ per unit. Take profit: 415.3239 (3.34 %) & Stop Loss: 396.5445 (1.34 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 08:40:43
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 08:40
→ 10:15
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 401.91$
Qty 1.491 XMR
Size 599.2455$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 415.3239 (+3.34%)
TP $ 20$
SL 396.5445 (-1.34%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.34%
/ -8$
MAE -1.83%
MFE +0.01%
0.0R
expires
14 Aug 20:40
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 69172)
#25 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 08:00
score du 14/08/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5428
Quality Score
0.485
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 08:32
14/08 08:32
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#25 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.34 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#25 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.34 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 4.10×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.23×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.01×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 06:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 14/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4847
Score SMA
0.5096
Rank
#25
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5428
Rank Norm SMA
0.5854
Calculé le
14/08/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5193 | r1h: 0.083% · r4h: 0.911% · r1d: -2.17% · r3d: 0.58% · ema21_slope: -0.0238% · dist_ema21: 0.611% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5270 | rs_1h: -0.032% · rs_4h: 0.960% · rs_1d: -1.25% · rs_3d: 2.88% · beta_24h: 0.127 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1473 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -1.085 · trend: -37.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4515 | ADX: 22.5 (weak) · Chop: 67.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.720% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.335%
(5.3655)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.008% | 0.0R | -1.070% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.008% | 0.0R | -1.433% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.008% | 0.0R | -1.433% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.008% | 0.0R | -1.826% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.008% | 0.0R | -1.826% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 143 |
| 24h | +1.764% | 1.3R | -1.826% | 1.4R | 1.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.01
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.49 | bear_high | -5.66% | +0.83 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.30 | bear_medium | -1.85% | +0.26 | 14/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.11 | bear_low | -1.42% | -0.00 | 14/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | range_low |
45%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near -0.5ATR | — | range_low | -0.62% | +0.14 | 14/08 08:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 1.004×ATR | p0 | +1.75×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.426×ATR | p0 | +0.592×ATR | p37 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.676×ATR | p51 | +0.98×ATR | p57 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 0.868×ATR | p0 | +1.478×ATR | p70 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8572
- reason: up_bo width=2.48×ATR dur=52b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 396.54445276
- tp_price: 415.32386811
- atr:
- score: 0.85719122556479
- expires_at: 2026-08-15T00:40:35.427623
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.85719122556479
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1274
- obi_top10 : 0.0895
- micro_price : 402.99490336
- spread_pct : 0.074492
- mid_price : 402.88
- bid_wall_price : 398
- bid_wall_size : 729.93
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 405
- ask_wall_size : 615.63
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1275
- obi_top5_std : 0.0001
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7194
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
400.5
- balance_zone_bottom:
393.18
- balance_zone_mid:
396.84
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786525200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786708800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4768
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
52
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8572
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786705200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
400.5
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7308
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.4771
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 2.95547245 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
52
inside_close_ratio
0.7308
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4771
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:40 | 401.91000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 08:47 | 401.91000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 08:52 | 401.68000000 | -0.057% |
| 4 | 08:58 | 401.68000000 | -0.057% |
| 5 | 09:05 | 401.68000000 | -0.057% |
| 6 | 09:11 | 401.56000000 | -0.087% |
| 7 | 09:17 | 401.56000000 | -0.087% |
| 8 | 09:23 | 401.12000000 | -0.197% |
| 9 | 09:29 | 401.12000000 | -0.197% |
| 10 | 09:35 | 401.12000000 | -0.197% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7194ms
Confidence avant OB :
86%
→
86%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.127
avg 0.128
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.090
Microstructure
Mid Price
402.8800
Micro Price
402.9949
Spread
0.0745%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
398.0000
Size
729.93
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
405.0000
Size
615.63
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401.91 | 396.5445 | 415.3239 | 2.5 | 509.12 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 401.91
- Stop Loss: 396.5445
- Take Profit: 415.3239
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 396.5445 - 401.91 = -5.3655
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 401.91 - 415.3239 = -13.4139
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -13.4139 / -5.3655 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 599.2455 | 100 | 1.491 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -5.3655
Taille de position = 8 / -5.3655 = -1.49
Taille de position USD = -1.49 x 401.91 = -598.85
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.49 avec un stoploss a 396.5445
Avec un position size USD de -598.85$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.49 x -5.3655 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.49 x -13.4139 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.49
- Taille de position USD -598.85
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.34 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4157 % | 106.04 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401.91 | 396.5445 | 415.3239 | 2.5 | 509.12 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 401.91
- Stop Loss: 396.5445
- Take Profit: 415.3239
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 396.5445 - 401.91 = -5.3655
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 401.91 - 415.3239 = -13.4139
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -13.4139 / -5.3655 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 415.3239
[entry_price] => 401.91
[stop_loss] => 396.00795
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 18:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.335%
(5.3655)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.008% | 0.0R | -1.070% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.008% | 0.0R | -1.433% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.008% | 0.0R | -1.433% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.008% | 0.0R | -1.826% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.008% | 0.0R | -1.826% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 143 |
| 24h | +1.764% | 1.3R | -1.826% | 1.4R | 1.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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