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Short Trade on KAITO

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14 Aug 2026 at 09:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 362.98 KAITO at 0.401$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3912 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4233 (5.48 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 14 Aug 2026 09:10 → 15:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.4013$

Qty 362.9802 KAITO

Size 145.6494$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3912 (+2.52%)

TP $ 3.67$

SL 0.4233 (-5.48%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.46

Status win PnL +1.63% / +2.37$ MAE -2.77% MFE +1.83% 0.3R expires 14 Aug 15:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 69211)
#47 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000

Quality Score
0.330
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
7.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 09:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#47 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.48 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#47 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.48 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d near -0.32×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

14/08 06:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

13/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

14/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

14/08 08:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.3297
Score SMA
0.3845
Rank
#47 / 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.0683
Calculé le
14/08/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1337 r1h: -0.811% · r4h: -2.049% · r1d: -10.63% · r3d: -37.97% · ema21_slope: -0.4616% · dist_ema21: -4.296%
Force Relative 25% 0.1964 rs_1h: -0.647% · rs_4h: -1.774% · rs_1d: -9.18% · rs_3d: -35.56% · beta_24h: 0.431
Volume 20% 0.1490 rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.765 · trend: -63.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7382 ADX: 41.3 (trend) · Chop: 51.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.325% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.482% (0.0220)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.774% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.774% 0.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.563% 0.1R -2.774% 0.5R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +1.834% 0.3R -2.774% 0.5R 0.7× 72
8h +2.816% 0.5R -2.774% 0.5R 1.0× 96
12h +2.816% 0.5R -2.774% 0.5R 1.0× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.54
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 51% late near -0.3ATR — 0.36 bear_high -5.66% -1.00 13/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
51%
choppy 50% late — — -0.02 bear_medium -1.85% -1.00 14/08 08:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 48% late — — -0.03 bear_low -1.51% -0.85 14/08 08:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 42% mid near 0.4ATR — 0.07 bear_low -0.78% -0.13 14/08 08:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 16b — 8.444×ATR p83 -3.207×ATR p100
4h ↓ down late 77b — 30.148×ATR p100 -2.745×ATR p93
1h ↑ up late 5b — 0.594×ATR p0 -2.269×ATR p82
15m ↓ down mid 16b — 3.583×ATR p63 -1.587×ATR p72

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.42329977
  2. tp_price: 0.3912285
  3. atr: 0.00881591
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-14T19:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 48
  2. total: 48
  3. score: 0.1337
  4. delta_2h: -0.0469
  5. extension_atr: -1.78
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4013 0.4233 0.3912 0.46 0.284
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4013
  • Stop Loss: 0.4233
  • Take Profit: 0.3912

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4233 - 0.4013 = 0.022

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4013 - 0.3912 = 0.0101

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0101 / 0.022 = 0.4591

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
145.6494 100 362.9802 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.022

Taille de position = 8 / 0.022 = 363.64

Taille de position USD = 363.64 x 0.4013 = 145.93

Donc, tu peux acheter 363.64 avec un stoploss a 0.4233

Avec un position size USD de 145.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 363.64 x 0.022 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 363.64 x 0.0101 = 3.67

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.67$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 363.64
  • Taille de position USD 145.93
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.67
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4591

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.52 % 3.67 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.48 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
2.37 $ 1.63
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.7735 % 50.59 % 13
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4013 0.4233 0.3912 0.46 0.284
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4013
  • Stop Loss: 0.4233
  • Take Profit: 0.3912

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4233 - 0.4013 = 0.022

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4013 - 0.3912 = 0.0101

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0101 / 0.022 = 0.4591

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.482% (0.0220)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.774% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.774% 0.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.563% 0.1R -2.774% 0.5R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +1.834% 0.3R -2.774% 0.5R 0.7× 72
8h +2.816% 0.5R -2.774% 0.5R 1.0× 96
12h +2.816% 0.5R -2.774% 0.5R 1.0× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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