Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 5.61 XMR at 398.3$ per unit. Take profit: 401.1519 (0.72 %) & Stop Loss: 396.874 (0.36 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 5.61 XMR at 398.3$ per unit. Take profit: 401.1519 (0.72 %) & Stop Loss: 396.874 (0.36 %)
Position
Entry 398.3$
Qty 5.6102 XMR
Size 2234.5488$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 401.1519 (+0.72%)
TP $ 16$
SL 396.874 (-0.36%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5642
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.84×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.10×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.01×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 06:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.024708 15m : 0.128488 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 14/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5271 | r1h: 0.062% · r4h: 1.789% · r1d: -0.80% · r3d: 1.62% · ema21_slope: -0.0087% · dist_ema21: 0.930% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5941 | rs_1h: 0.226% · rs_4h: 2.064% · rs_1d: 0.65% · rs_3d: 4.03% · beta_24h: 0.405 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2875 | rvol_20: 1.01× · zscore_50: -0.330 · trend: -29.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5423 | ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 54.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.756% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.336% | 0.9R | -0.540% | 1.5R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.487% | 1.4R | -0.540% | 1.5R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.487% | 1.4R | -0.540% | 1.5R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.487% | 1.4R | -0.937% | 2.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.072% | 3.0R | -0.937% | 2.6R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.49 | bear_high | -5.66% | +0.83 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.30 | bear_medium | -2.13% | +0.34 | 14/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.11 | bear_low | -1.60% | +0.11 | 14/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_low |
45%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.17 | bear_low_confirmed | -0.91% | +0.19 | 14/08 09:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 1.004×ATR | p0 | +1.75×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.082×ATR | p0 | +0.893×ATR | p54 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 2.945×ATR | p63 | +1.168×ATR | p63 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.124×ATR | p0 | +1.174×ATR | p56 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62929.2
-0.00267318
62761
0.024708
63202.9
-0.00884395
62644
0.128488
63712.8
-0.0163836
62669
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392.54
186
0.6744
0.5195
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0.5829
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0.423
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0.0449
1
1.07
1.4274
0.45
0.55
1
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1
0.5631
0.3226
4.5463
0.55
1.0399
4.5759
1.4274
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0.3247
0.08
-0.2794
0.4058
0.5641
0
0.6445
-5.322
9.6472
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:28 | 398.30000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:59 | 397.62000000 | -0.171% |
| 3 | 10:06 | 397.21000000 | -0.274% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 07:45:00 | 396.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:35:00 | 393.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 09:10:00 | 397.04 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 09:30:00 | 394.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 09:50:00 | 397.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 11:55:00 | 401.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 12:25:00 | 399.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 12:35:00 | 403.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 13:10:00 | 401.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 13:25:00 | 398.02 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 16:45:00 | 403.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 19:30:00 | 393.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 395.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:15:00 | 398.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:15:00 | 392.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 397.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:30:00 | 394.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 06:45:00 | 397.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:30:00 | 393.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 12:30:00 | 403.11 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 375.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 400.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 13:00:00 | 394.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 400.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 390.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:00:00 | 393.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 409.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:00:00 | 392.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 393.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 403.11 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 398.3 | 396.874 | 401.1519 | 2 | 496.88 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 396.874 - 398.3 = -1.426
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 398.3 - 401.1519 = -2.8519
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.8519 / -1.426 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2234.5488 | 100 | 5.6102 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.426 = -5.61
Taille de position USD = -5.61 x 398.3 = -2234.46
Donc, tu peux acheter -5.61 avec un stoploss a 396.874
Avec un position size USD de -2234.46$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5.61 x -1.426 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5.61 x -2.8519 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.72 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4293 % | 119.92 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 398.3 | 396.874 | 401.1519 | 2 | 496.88 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 396.874 - 398.3 = -1.426
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 398.3 - 401.1519 = -2.8519
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.8519 / -1.426 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.336% | 0.9R | -0.540% | 1.5R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.487% | 1.4R | -0.540% | 1.5R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.487% | 1.4R | -0.540% | 1.5R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.487% | 1.4R | -0.937% | 2.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.072% | 3.0R | -0.937% | 2.6R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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