Short Trade on APT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 756.12 APT at 0.536$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5224 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5464 (1.98 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 09:10:04
hyperliquid
APT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 09:10
→ 15:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.5358$
Qty 756.1222 APT
Size 405.1303$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5224 (+2.5%)
TP $ 10.13$
SL 0.5464 (-1.98%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 1.26
Status
loss
PnL
-0.80%
/ -3.25$
MAE -1.38%
MFE +0.60%
0.3R
expires
14 Aug 15:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 69190)
#8 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 09:00
score du 14/08/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7388
Quality Score
0.594
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 09:00
14/08 09:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#8 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 06:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 14/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 14/08 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5938
Score SMA
0.5455
Rank
#8
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7388
Rank Norm SMA
0.7662
Calculé le
14/08/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3191 | r1h: -0.960% · r4h: -0.427% · r1d: -4.93% · r3d: -8.20% · ema21_slope: -0.1904% · dist_ema21: -2.222% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3720 | rs_1h: -0.796% · rs_4h: -0.152% · rs_1d: -3.47% · rs_3d: -5.79% · beta_24h: 1.194 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8913 | rvol_20: 2.44× · zscore_50: 2.732 · trend: 99.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8454 | ADX: 41.4 (trend) · Chop: 24.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.806% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -1.978%
(0.0106)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.168% | 0.1R | -0.653% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.597% | 0.3R | -0.653% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.597% | 0.3R | -1.176% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.597% | 0.3R | -1.381% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.597% | 0.3R | -1.381% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.597% | 0.3R | -1.381% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.02
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.70 | bear_high | -5.66% | -0.77 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bear_medium | -1.85% | -0.56 | 14/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_low | -1.51% | -0.31 | 14/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | — | bear_low | -0.78% | -0.00 | 14/08 08:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.183×ATR | p21 | -1.991×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 33b | — | 10.062×ATR | p100 | -3.123×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 6.083×ATR | p96 | -2.613×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.073×ATR | p14 | -1.234×ATR | p59 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.5463803
- tp_price: 0.522405
- atr: 0.00423212
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T19:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 45
- total: 48
- score: 0.3191
- delta_2h: -0.0824
- extension_atr: -2.66
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7388
- confidence: 0.936
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5358 | 0.5464 | 0.5224 | 1.26 | 0.533 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5358
- Stop Loss: 0.5464
- Take Profit: 0.5224
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5464 - 0.5358 = 0.0106
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5358 - 0.5224 = 0.0134
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0134 / 0.0106 = 1.2642
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 405.1303 | 100 | 756.1222 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0106
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0106 = 754.72
Taille de position USD = 754.72 x 0.5358 = 404.38
Donc, tu peux acheter 754.72 avec un stoploss a 0.5464
Avec un position size USD de 404.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 754.72 x 0.0106 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 754.72 x 0.0134 = 10.11
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 10.11$
Résumé
- Taille de position 754.72
- Taille de position USD 404.38
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 10.11
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.2642
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 10.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.98 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.25 $ | -0.80 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3811 % | 69.81 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5358 | 0.5464 | 0.5224 | 1.26 | 0.533 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5358
- Stop Loss: 0.5464
- Take Profit: 0.5224
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5464 - 0.5358 = 0.0106
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5358 - 0.5224 = 0.0134
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0134 / 0.0106 = 1.2642
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -1.978%
(0.0106)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.168% | 0.1R | -0.653% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.597% | 0.3R | -0.653% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.597% | 0.3R | -1.176% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.597% | 0.3R | -1.381% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.597% | 0.3R | -1.381% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.597% | 0.3R | -1.381% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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