Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 104.56 LIT at 2.209$ per unit. Take profit: 2.1536 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2853 (3.46 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 10:10:04
hyperliquid
LIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 10:10
→ 16:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 2.2088$
Qty 104.564 LIT
Size 230.9609$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.1536 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.77$
SL 2.2853 (-3.46%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.72
Status
loss
PnL
-1.58%
/ -3.64$
MAE -2.43%
MFE +0.40%
0.1R
expires
14 Aug 16:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 69265)
#47 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 10:00
score du 14/08/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0378
Quality Score
0.401
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
16.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 10:02
14/08 10:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#47 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#47 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.71×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.73×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.24×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 06:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4005
Score SMA
0.4557
Rank
#47
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0378
Rank Norm SMA
0.1979
Calculé le
14/08/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3077 | r1h: -0.629% · r4h: -0.686% · r1d: -6.13% · r3d: -10.35% · ema21_slope: -0.2175% · dist_ema21: -1.864% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3383 | rs_1h: -0.600% · rs_4h: -0.581% · rs_1d: -4.58% · rs_3d: -8.08% · beta_24h: 0.601 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2913 | rvol_20: 1.05× · zscore_50: -0.255 · trend: -34.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4354 | ADX: 27.3 (trend) · Chop: 74.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.420% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.463%
(0.0765)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.376% | 0.1R | -0.729% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.398% | 0.1R | -1.924% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.398% | 0.1R | -1.924% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.398% | 0.1R | -2.431% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.398% | 0.1R | -2.431% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.398% | 0.1R | -2.431% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -5.66% | +0.76 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -1.7ATR | — | 0.30 | bear_medium | -2.13% | -0.63 | 14/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.29 | bear_low | -1.54% | -0.45 | 14/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.31 | bear_low_confirmed | -0.82% | +0.01 | 14/08 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 1.48×ATR | p0 | -0.131×ATR | p9 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 2.941×ATR | p42 | -1.156×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 22b | — | 6.444×ATR | p100 | -1.626×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.905×ATR | p55 | -1.389×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.28530819
- tp_price: 2.15358
- atr: 0.03060328
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T20:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 45
- total: 47
- score: 0.3077
- delta_2h: -0.032
- extension_atr: -1.31
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0378
- confidence: 0.957
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:10 | 2.20880000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:10 | 2.20620000 | -0.118% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2088 | 2.2853 | 2.1536 | 0.72 | 4.1967 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.2088
- Stop Loss: 2.2853
- Take Profit: 2.1536
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2853 - 2.2088 = 0.0765
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.2088 - 2.1536 = 0.0552
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0552 / 0.0765 = 0.7216
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 230.9609 | 100 | 104.564 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0765
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0765 = 104.58
Taille de position USD = 104.58 x 2.2088 = 231
Donc, tu peux acheter 104.58 avec un stoploss a 2.2853
Avec un position size USD de 231$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 104.58 x 0.0765 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 104.58 x 0.0552 = 5.77
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.77$
Résumé
- Taille de position 104.58
- Taille de position USD 231
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.77
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7216
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.77 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.46 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.64 $ | -1.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.4312 % | 70.2 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2088 | 2.2853 | 2.1536 | 0.72 | 4.1967 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.2088
- Stop Loss: 2.2853
- Take Profit: 2.1536
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2853 - 2.2088 = 0.0765
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.2088 - 2.1536 = 0.0552
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0552 / 0.0765 = 0.7216
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.463%
(0.0765)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.376% | 0.1R | -0.729% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.398% | 0.1R | -1.924% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.398% | 0.1R | -1.924% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.398% | 0.1R | -2.431% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.398% | 0.1R | -2.431% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.398% | 0.1R | -2.431% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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