Short Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 453.8 ZRO at 0.773$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7536 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7906 (2.29 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 10:10:05
hyperliquid
ZRO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 10:10
→ 14:25
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.7729$
Qty 453.7964 ZRO
Size 350.7529$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7536 (+2.5%)
TP $ 8.76$
SL 0.7906 (-2.29%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 1.09
Status
loss
PnL
-2.29%
/ -8.03$
MAE -3.77%
MFE +0.38%
0.2R
expires
14 Aug 16:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 69242)
#45 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 10:00
score du 14/08/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0808
Quality Score
0.418
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 10:00
14/08 10:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#45 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.40×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.53×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.32×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 06:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4176
Score SMA
0.4505
Rank
#45
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0808
Rank Norm SMA
0.1360
Calculé le
14/08/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3135 | r1h: -0.451% · r4h: -0.183% · r1d: -6.51% · r3d: -11.70% · ema21_slope: -0.2005% · dist_ema21: -1.933% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3402 | rs_1h: -0.422% · rs_4h: -0.078% · rs_1d: -4.96% · rs_3d: -9.43% · beta_24h: 1.653 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1810 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.793 · trend: -26.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6823 | ADX: 37.9 (trend) · Chop: 54.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.925% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.290%
(0.0177)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.375% | 0.2R | -0.901% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.375% | 0.2R | -1.814% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.375% | 0.2R | -2.205% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.375% | 0.2R | -3.772% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.375% | 0.2R | -3.806% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.375% | 0.2R | -4.072% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.27
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.47 | bear_high | -5.66% | -0.60 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.25 | bear_medium | -2.13% | -0.60 | 14/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.25 | bear_low | -1.54% | -0.22 | 14/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | bear_low_confirmed | -0.79% | -0.05 | 14/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 1.499×ATR | p0 | -0.669×ATR | p40 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 3.848×ATR | p62 | -2.197×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 4.933×ATR | p92 | -2.258×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.431×ATR | p63 | -1.001×ATR | p38 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.79055905
- tp_price: 0.75360675
- atr: 0.00705162
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T20:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 44
- total: 47
- score: 0.3135
- delta_2h: -0.0211
- extension_atr: -2.1
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0808
- confidence: 0.935
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:10 | 0.77293000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 11:10 | 0.77571000 | +0.364% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7729 | 0.7906 | 0.7536 | 1.09 | 0.9583 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7729
- Stop Loss: 0.7906
- Take Profit: 0.7536
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7906 - 0.7729 = 0.0177
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7729 - 0.7536 = 0.0193
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0193 / 0.0177 = 1.0904
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 350.7529 | 100 | 453.7964 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0177
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0177 = 451.98
Taille de position USD = 451.98 x 0.7729 = 349.34
Donc, tu peux acheter 451.98 avec un stoploss a 0.7906
Avec un position size USD de 349.34$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 451.98 x 0.0177 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 451.98 x 0.0193 = 8.72
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.72$
Résumé
- Taille de position 451.98
- Taille de position USD 349.34
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8.72
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0904
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 8.76 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.29 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -2.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6795 % | 117 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7729 | 0.7906 | 0.7536 | 1.09 | 0.9583 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7729
- Stop Loss: 0.7906
- Take Profit: 0.7536
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7906 - 0.7729 = 0.0177
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7729 - 0.7536 = 0.0193
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0193 / 0.0177 = 1.0904
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7536
[entry_price] => 0.7729
[stop_loss] => 0.79237
[rr_ratio] => 0.99
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 18:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7536
[entry_price] => 0.7729
[stop_loss] => 0.79414
[rr_ratio] => 0.91
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 18:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7536
[entry_price] => 0.7729
[stop_loss] => 0.79591
[rr_ratio] => 0.84
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 18:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7536
[entry_price] => 0.7729
[stop_loss] => 0.79945
[rr_ratio] => 0.73
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-14 19:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.290%
(0.0177)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.375% | 0.2R | -0.901% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.375% | 0.2R | -1.814% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.375% | 0.2R | -2.205% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.375% | 0.2R | -3.772% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.375% | 0.2R | -3.806% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.375% | 0.2R | -4.072% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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