Short Trade on DOGE (BosPullback)
With 16720.66 DOGE at 0.0699$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06909 (1.16 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07038 (0.69 %)
Short Trade on DOGE (BosPullback)
With 16720.66 DOGE at 0.0699$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06909 (1.16 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07038 (0.69 %)
Position
Entry 0.0699$
Qty 16720.6605 DOGE
Size 1168.8243$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06909 (+1.16%)
TP $ 13.54$
SL 0.07038 (-0.69%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 1.69
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5369
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.57×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.68×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 14/08 06:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 14/08 11:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4794 | r1h: 0.141% · r4h: 0.248% · r1d: -0.87% · r3d: -0.75% · ema21_slope: -0.0505% · dist_ema21: -0.336% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5258 | rs_1h: 0.004% · rs_4h: 0.372% · rs_1d: 0.86% · rs_3d: 0.85% · beta_24h: 0.786 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2059 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.506 · trend: -29.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5958 | ADX: 21.0 (weak) · Chop: 48.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.413% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.104% | 0.2R | -0.197% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.104% | 0.2R | -0.272% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.491% | 0.7R | -0.272% | 0.4R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.491% | 0.7R | -0.298% | 0.4R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.491% | 0.7R | -0.881% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -5.66% | -0.08 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.74 | bear_medium | -2.10% | +0.14 | 14/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.63 | bear_low | -1.05% | +0.02 | 14/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | — | range_low | -0.22% | +0.04 | 14/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 41b | — | 4.567×ATR | p56 | -0.589×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.602×ATR | p0 | -0.721×ATR | p54 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.392×ATR | p43 | +0.528×ATR | p32 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.422×ATR | p94 | +2.102×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.069207
146
0.3696
0.4742
0.3253
0.2586
0.38
1
0.3102
0.4298
0.3559
0.3245
0.563
0.2495
-0.1016
-0.0828
0.3333
0.5474
-0.49
0.55
0.45
-1
3
1
0.4829
0.2808
3.884
0.55
1.3599
3.1351
-0.49
0.5566
0.1789
0.36
-0.1373
0.5474
0.4167
0.8833
0.2495
-10.506
3.4921
1
0
0
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0.069207
0.070352
0.070352
0.069207
0.069316
0.068872
0.069094
0.5701
0.070801
0.07008
0.0704405
0.6961
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:49 | 0.06990300 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 11:55 | 0.06987900 | -0.03% |
| 3 | 13:07 | 0.06985800 | -0.06% |
| 4 | 13:31 | 0.07000500 | +0.15% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0699 | 0.07038 | 0.06909 | 1.69 | 0.08101 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07038 - 0.0699 = 0.00047999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0699 - 0.06909 = 0.00081000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00081000000000001 / 0.00047999999999999 = 1.6875
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1168.8243 | 100 | 16720.6605 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00047999999999999 = 16666.67
Taille de position USD = 16666.67 x 0.0699 = 1165
Donc, tu peux acheter 16666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.07038
Avec un position size USD de 1165$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 16666.67 x 0.00047999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 16666.67 x 0.00081000000000001 = 13.5
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 13.5$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.16 % | 13.54 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.69 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -0.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8097 % | 117.91 % | 18 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0699 | 0.07038 | 0.06909 | 1.69 | 0.08101 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07038 - 0.0699 = 0.00047999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0699 - 0.06909 = 0.00081000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00081000000000001 / 0.00047999999999999 = 1.6875
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.104% | 0.2R | -0.197% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.104% | 0.2R | -0.272% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.491% | 0.7R | -0.272% | 0.4R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.491% | 0.7R | -0.298% | 0.4R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.491% | 0.7R | -0.881% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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