Short Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 4.61 ZEC at 489.94$ per unit. Take profit: 486.4688 (0.71 %) & Stop Loss: 491.6756 (0.35 %)
Short Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 4.61 ZEC at 489.94$ per unit. Take profit: 486.4688 (0.71 %) & Stop Loss: 491.6756 (0.35 %)
Position
Entry 489.94$
Qty 4.6094 ZEC
Size 2258.3278$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 486.4688 (+0.71%)
TP $ 16$
SL 491.6756 (-0.35%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4157
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.49×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.17×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.15×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 14/08 12:31 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.56674 15m : 0.506971 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 14/08 12:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5262 | r1h: 0.952% · r4h: 0.555% · r1d: -0.03% · r3d: 3.51% · ema21_slope: -0.0427% · dist_ema21: 0.087% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5664 | rs_1h: 0.351% · rs_4h: 0.346% · rs_1d: 0.60% · rs_3d: 4.46% · beta_24h: 1.120 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4856 | rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 0.664 · trend: 6.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4797 | ADX: 10.2 (weak) · Chop: 51.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.855% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.263% | 0.7R | -0.645% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.759% | 2.1R | -0.645% | 1.8R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.767% | 2.2R | -0.657% | 1.9R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.767% | 2.2R | -1.176% | 3.3R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.767% | 2.2R | -1.798% | 5.1R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -5.66% | +0.22 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_medium | -1.57% | +0.19 | 14/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.5ATR | near -0.9ATR | 0.53 | bear_low | -0.97% | +0.13 | 14/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.52 | range_low | -0.01% | +0.03 | 14/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 1.285×ATR | p0 | -0.428×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 1.253×ATR | p0 | -0.172×ATR | p14 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.979×ATR | p37 | +0.207×ATR | p10 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 4.264×ATR | p76 | +1.346×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62825.8
0.00552547
63173
0.56674
63089.3
0.000659835
63131
0.506971
63605.2
-0.0072522
63144
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[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0649888632153
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
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[detected_trend] => range
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480.39
197
0.4391
0.4993
0.3192
0.1665
0.4442
1
0.2809
0.4664
0.2969
0.4744
0.5435
0.4343
-0.047
-0.03
0.6667
0.6502
0.3857
0.35
0.65
-1
2
1
0.667
0.4802
2.7057
0.5
1.7014
2.5575
0.3857
0.4705
0.2357
0.46
-0.0024
0.3608
0.4267
0.7896
0.4343
-7.343
5.6379
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 11:25:00 | 487.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 12:05:00 | 484 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 12:20:00 | 486.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 12:30:00 | 486.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 13:10:00 | 482.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 13:25:00 | 486.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 14:20:00 | 480.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 14:45:00 | 484.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:10:00 | 482.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:35:00 | 490.75 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 20:15:00 | 487.26 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 01:15:00 | 488.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 03:15:00 | 494.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 05:15:00 | 489.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 495 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 07:45:00 | 484.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 09:15:00 | 491.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 13:15:00 | 486.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 14:15:00 | 480.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:30:00 | 489.43 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 16:00:00 | 466.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 08:00:00 | 474.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:00:00 | 483.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 17:00:00 | 499 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 02:00:00 | 484.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 498.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 482.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 495 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 14:00:00 | 480.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:00:00 | 490.75 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 489.94 | 491.6756 | 486.4688 | 2 | 1371.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 491.6756 - 489.94 = 1.7356
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 489.94 - 486.4688 = 3.4712
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.4712 / 1.7356 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2258.3278 | 100 | 4.6094 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.7356 = 4.61
Taille de position USD = 4.61 x 489.94 = 2258.62
Donc, tu peux acheter 4.61 avec un stoploss a 491.6756
Avec un position size USD de 2258.62$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4.61 x 1.7356 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4.61 x 3.4712 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.71 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4041 % | 114.09 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 489.94 | 491.6756 | 486.4688 | 2 | 1371.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 491.6756 - 489.94 = 1.7356
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 489.94 - 486.4688 = 3.4712
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.4712 / 1.7356 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.263% | 0.7R | -0.645% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.759% | 2.1R | -0.645% | 1.8R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.767% | 2.2R | -0.657% | 1.9R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.767% | 2.2R | -1.176% | 3.3R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.767% | 2.2R | -1.798% | 5.1R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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