Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 756.14 KAITO at 0.402$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3928 (2.24 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4124 (2.64 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 13:00:13
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_pullback_v1
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 13:00
→ 15:20
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.4018$
Qty 756.1437 KAITO
Size 303.8563$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3928 (+2.24%)
TP $ 6.81$
SL 0.4124 (-2.64%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.85
Status
win
PnL
+2.24%
/ +6.81$
MAE -1.64%
MFE +2.94%
1.1R
expires
15 Aug 01:00
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 69352)
#46 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 12:00
score du 14/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0027
Quality Score
0.329
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
7.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 12:46
14/08 12:46
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#46 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#46 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.32×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 14/08 12:31 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 13:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3292
Score SMA
0.3744
Rank
#46
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0027
Rank Norm SMA
0.0441
Calculé le
14/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1771 | r1h: -0.552% · r4h: -0.133% · r1d: -9.88% · r3d: -37.46% · ema21_slope: -0.4012% · dist_ema21: -2.864% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2042 | rs_1h: -1.153% · rs_4h: -0.342% · rs_1d: -9.26% · rs_3d: -36.52% · beta_24h: -0.515 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1525 | rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.713 · trend: -67.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6301 | ADX: 41.6 (trend) · Chop: 64.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.231% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.638%
(0.0106)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.714% | 0.3R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.956% | 0.7R | -0.348% | 0.1R | 5.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.937% | 1.1R | -0.348% | 0.1R | 8.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.937% | 1.1R | -1.638% | 0.6R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.937% | 1.1R | -1.638% | 0.6R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.16
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.36 | bear_high | -5.66% | -1.00 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | — | -0.03 | bear_medium | -1.57% | -1.00 | 14/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | -0.03 | range_low | -0.71% | -0.52 | 14/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.08 | range_low | +0.02% | -0.09 | 14/08 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 8.444×ATR | p83 | -3.207×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 78b | — | 31.201×ATR | p100 | -3.286×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 0.843×ATR | p0 | -1.705×ATR | p67 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.482×ATR | p47 | -0.489×ATR | p35 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.41243
- tp_price: 0.39278944
- atr: 0.00362422
- expires_at: 2026-08-15T05:00:13+00:00
Details
- rank: 47
- total: 47
- score: 0.1771
- avg_rank_8h: 47.1
- rank_velocity: -0.1
- pullback_depth_atr: 3.37
- trigger_price: 0.40237
- fip_24h: -0.25
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4018 | 0.4124 | 0.3928 | 0.85 | 0.294 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4018
- Stop Loss: 0.4124
- Take Profit: 0.3928
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4124 - 0.4018 = 0.0106
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4018 - 0.3928 = 0.009
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.009 / 0.0106 = 0.8491
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 303.8563 | 100 | 756.1437 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0106
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0106 = 754.72
Taille de position USD = 754.72 x 0.4018 = 303.25
Donc, tu peux acheter 754.72 avec un stoploss a 0.4124
Avec un position size USD de 303.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 754.72 x 0.0106 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 754.72 x 0.009 = 6.79
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.79$
Résumé
- Taille de position 754.72
- Taille de position USD 303.25
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.79
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8491
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.24 % | 6.81 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.64 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.81 $ | 2.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3484 % | 13.21 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4018 | 0.4124 | 0.3928 | 0.85 | 0.294 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4018
- Stop Loss: 0.4124
- Take Profit: 0.3928
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4124 - 0.4018 = 0.0106
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4018 - 0.3928 = 0.009
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.009 / 0.0106 = 0.8491
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.638%
(0.0106)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.714% | 0.3R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.956% | 0.7R | -0.348% | 0.1R | 5.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.937% | 1.1R | -0.348% | 0.1R | 8.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.937% | 1.1R | -1.638% | 0.6R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.937% | 1.1R | -1.638% | 0.6R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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